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Aspmyra Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Bodo/Glimt
64%
#Confidence
No odds data available for this match.
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This Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom prediction centers on a table-topping home side in imperious form hosting a mid-table travelers at Aspmyra Stadion. Bodo/Glimt sit second with 32 points from 14 games, riding a run that includes ten wins in league play and a stunning home record of six wins and just one loss this season.
Lillestrom, fourth on 25 points, have been solid but streakier, with five losses already and a defense conceding at exactly double the rate of their hosts. Their away form is decent on paper but they've struggled against the league's better sides.
Both teams enter with low fatigue after nine days' rest, though Bodo/Glimt face a Champions League qualifier days later, a factor that could see slight squad rotation. Still, their attacking output—2.43 goals per game at home—dwarfs Lillestrom's defensive numbers.
Head-to-head meetings in 2026 have been one-sided, with Bodo/Glimt winning comfortably in both league and cup fixtures this year. Combined with the points-per-game gap and superior home record, this points strongly toward a home win. Expect goals at Aspmyra, with Bodo/Glimt's attack the deciding factor in this Eliteserien clash.
Moderate
Strong
Favorable
High
2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two 2026 meetings both went to Bodo/Glimt, a 2-0 league win in April and a 4-0 NM Cupen thrashing...
The two 2026 meetings both went to Bodo/Glimt, a 2-0 league win in April and a 4-0 NM Cupen thrashing in March. Looking back further, Bodo/Glimt have dominated this fixture consistently, with Lillestrom managing just isolated cup upsets. There's no recent evidence of Lillestrom troubling their hosts at Aspmyra, and the trend of comfortable home victories looks set to continue given the current form gap between these sides.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
9/10
Bodo/Glimt have won ten of their last fourteen matches, losing only twice, and their home...
Bodo/Glimt have won ten of their last fourteen matches, losing only twice, and their home record this season reads six wins from seven with just a single defeat. They're averaging 2.43 goals per game with a miserly 0.79 conceded, backed by eight clean sheets. Recent scorelines include a 3-0 win over Ham-Kam and a 5-0 demolition of Tromso, showing ruthless attacking depth. Injuries to Bassi, Riisnaes, Mikkelsen and Sjong are notable but haven't disrupted results. With a Champions League qualifier looming days later, slight rotation risk exists, but this squad's depth has proven more than capable of handling multiple competitions this season.
12 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5/10
Lillestrom have won eight of fourteen but their recent form has been inconsistent, alternating wins...
Lillestrom have won eight of fourteen but their recent form has been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses across their last several fixtures including a defeat to league leaders Viking. Their away record shows four wins from seven, but they've conceded 1.0 goals per game on the road against sides with genuine quality. Injuries to Kitolano, Alperud and Jebara have thinned their options. They can score—22 goals in 14 games—but their defensive fragility against top-half opposition is the concern here, and this fixture pits them against the league's best attack.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom - Match Analysis
Bodo/Glimt's home record this season is nearly flawless—six wins and just one loss from seven games at Aspmyra. Their 2.43 goals-per-game average at home, paired with Lillestrom's leakier defense on the road, creates a significant quality gap. Add in a 0.50 points-per-game advantage and dominant 2026 head-to-head results, and the statistical case for a home win is compelling.
Beyond the straight home win, Over 2.5 Goals looks attractive given a combined 4.0 goals per game across both sides this season. Bodo/Glimt -1 Asian Handicap also suits their tendency to win by multiple goals at home, offering better odds than the standard moneyline while still reflecting their clear on-field superiority.
It's unlikely but not impossible. Lillestrom can score—22 goals in 14 games—and have shown they can beat mid-table sides away from home. However, key injuries and a defense that's shipped goals against stronger opponents make containing Bodo/Glimt's attack a tall order. Their best hope lies in an efficient counter-attacking performance and capitalizing on Bodo/Glimt's slight rotation risk ahead of a midweek European qualifier.
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