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Aspmyra Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Bodo/Glimt
63%
#Confidence
No odds data available for this match.
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Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad prediction points firmly toward a home victory as the third-placed Eliteserien side host a struggling Fredrikstad outfit at Aspmyra Stadion on July 17th.
Bodo/Glimt have been one of the division's most potent sides, averaging 2.55 goals per game and conceding just one per match. Their home record is particularly formidable — five games played, four wins, one loss, and a stunning 21 goals scored. Fredrikstad arrive in poor shape, winning just one of their six away fixtures this season while conceding ten goals on the road.
Fredrikstad carry a significant injury burden into this match, with S. Kvile, S. Owusu, and S. Sorlokk all sidelined — a blow to their attacking options. Bodo/Glimt also have A. Mikkelsen unavailable through injury, but the squad depth at Aspmyra is considerably greater.
With a points-per-game differential of 0.82 in Bodo/Glimt's favour, a seven-place gap in the standings, and a combined goals-per-game rate of 3.91, this match has all the hallmarks of a high-scoring home win. Bodo/Glimt are backed confidently to win, with Over 2.5 Goals offering strong additional value given both teams' attacking and defensive profiles.
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2026 Season
Last 6 head-to-head matchups
Looking only at meetings within the last two years, Bodo/Glimt hammered Fredrikstad 5-0 at Aspmyra in November 2025, while Fredrikstad...
Looking only at meetings within the last two years, Bodo/Glimt hammered Fredrikstad 5-0 at Aspmyra in November 2025, while Fredrikstad won 1-0 at home in July 2025. That gives one win each in recent Eliteserien encounters, though the goal difference heavily favours Bodo/Glimt. The 5-0 result at this exact venue underlines the home side's capacity to dominate when Fredrikstad visit the north — a pattern that carries real weight here.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
8/10
Bodo/Glimt have been in excellent Eliteserien form, winning seven of eleven league matches and posting...
Bodo/Glimt have been in excellent Eliteserien form, winning seven of eleven league matches and posting a goal difference of plus-17. Their attack is the standout feature — 28 goals scored at 2.55 per game — while the defence has kept five clean sheets. At Aspmyra specifically, they have scored 21 goals in five home games, a remarkable rate. Pre-season friendlies saw them beat Start 4-0 and Molde 4-1, suggesting sharpness heading into this fixture. A. Mikkelsen is injured but the squad remains deep and dangerous.
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4/10
Fredrikstad's season has been deeply inconsistent, winning just four of eleven league games and conceding...
Fredrikstad's season has been deeply inconsistent, winning just four of eleven league games and conceding 20 goals — a rate of 1.82 per match. Their away record is particularly alarming: one win, one draw, and four defeats in six road trips, shipping ten goals in the process. They have not kept a single clean sheet all season. Three players — S. Kvile, S. Owusu, and S. Sorlokk — are currently sidelined with injuries, further weakening a side that lost their most recent friendly 3-1 to Vålerenga. Confidence looks fragile.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad - Match Analysis
Bodo/Glimt sit seven places above Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien standings and hold a 0.82 points-per-game advantage. At Aspmyra Stadion, they have scored 21 goals in just five home games this season. Fredrikstad, meanwhile, have won only once away from home all season and carry three injury absentees into this fixture. The quality gap is substantial, making a home victory the most logical outcome by a considerable margin.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out as the top alternative market. Bodo/Glimt average 2.55 goals per game overall and have scored 21 at home in five matches, while Fredrikstad have failed to keep a single clean sheet in eleven league games. The combined 3.91 goals-per-game rate makes this a high-probability market. Draw No Bet on Bodo/Glimt also offers a safety net, removing the slim draw risk while retaining strong expected value.
Fredrikstad head into this game with at least three confirmed absentees — S. Kvile (knee), S. Owusu (muscle), and S. Sorlokk (foot) — all missing. This depletes their attacking and midfield options significantly. For a side that has already struggled to score away from home, losing key personnel against one of the division's best defences makes the task even harder. Their injury list is a meaningful factor tilting the odds further toward Bodo/Glimt.
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