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AI Predicted Winner
Tromso
49%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Aalesund | Draw | Tromso✦ AI Pick |
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Aalesund vs Tromso prediction: this Eliteserien clash pits a relegation-threatened Aalesund side against third-placed Tromso, who remain firmly in the hunt for European qualification. The gap in class is stark — Aalesund sit 14th with just 0.92 points per game, while Tromso boast 2.07 points per game and the division's second-best defensive record.
Aalesund's home form offers some hope, with one win and four draws from seven, but their underlying numbers are alarming: 2.15 goals conceded per game and zero clean sheets all season. A heavy 6-1 loss at Valerenga and a narrow defeat to league leaders Viking highlight ongoing defensive fragility, though six injury absences compound the issue further.
Tromso arrive on the back of a strong league run, winning four of their last five domestic fixtures, though a midweek Europa League qualifying defeat could bring some fatigue into this trip. Their away record — three wins, two draws, one loss — remains solid, and they've kept eight clean sheets in 15 matches this season.
Given the quality gap and Tromso's superior scoring and defensive metrics, an away win is the most probable outcome. However, Aalesund's tendency to draw at home (four draws in seven) and Tromso's occasional inconsistency on the road keep a stalemate firmly in play. Expect goals at both ends given Aalesund's leaky defense, with Tromso favored to edge a competitive contest for the win in this Eliteserien preview.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These sides met once already this season, drawing 1-1 in Tromso back in May, continuing a pattern of tightly contested...
These sides met once already this season, drawing 1-1 in Tromso back in May, continuing a pattern of tightly contested meetings. Looking back further, a March 2025 friendly saw Aalesund edge a narrow 1-0 win, though that carries limited weight given its non-competitive nature. Across the sample available, results have been close, with draws a recurring theme between these two Norwegian clubs, suggesting this fixture rarely produces one-sided outcomes despite the current gap in league standing.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
13 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
4/10
Aalesund have won just two of their last thirteen league matches, sitting 14th and deep...
Aalesund have won just two of their last thirteen league matches, sitting 14th and deep in relegation trouble. Their most recent form shows a heavy 6-1 defeat at Valerenga and a narrow home loss to league-leading Viking, though they did manage a home draw against Molde. Defensively they've been extremely porous, conceding 2.15 goals per game with zero clean sheets all season — a major concern against a clinical Tromso attack. Six players are missing through injury, further stretching a thin squad. Their home record shows resilience in draws (four from seven) but a lack of cutting edge going forward remains their biggest issue heading into this match.
13 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
6.7/10
Tromso sit third in Eliteserien with an excellent 2.07 points-per-game average, winning nine of fifteen...
Tromso sit third in Eliteserien with an excellent 2.07 points-per-game average, winning nine of fifteen league matches and losing just twice. Their recent form includes emphatic 4-0 and 4-1 wins over Valerenga and Ham-Kam, though a midweek European qualifying loss to Hradec Kralove snapped their momentum slightly. Defensively they're the standout in this matchup, conceding just 1.0 goal per game with eight clean sheets in fifteen outings. Their away form is solid too, with three wins from six on the road. With Europa League football adding to their schedule, squad rotation is possible, but their quality gap over Aalesund remains significant heading into this trip.





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Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Aalesund vs Tromso - Match Analysis
Tromso sit third in Eliteserien with 2.07 points per game compared to Aalesund's 0.92, and their defense has conceded just 1.0 goal per game with eight clean sheets versus Aalesund's zero. The 11-place table gap and Aalesund's six current injury absences reinforce a significant quality gap in Tromso's favor heading into this fixture.
Aalesund have drawn four of seven home matches this season, showing they can be stubborn on their own turf even without securing wins. Tromso also played a Europa League qualifier just days before this match, raising fatigue and rotation concerns that could open the door for Aalesund to snatch an unlikely point or even a shock win.
Beyond the outright winner, Over 2.5 Goals stands out given Aalesund's leaky defense and Tromso's attacking form, while Draw No Bet: Tromso offers protection against Aalesund's home draw habit. These alternative markets can offer better value than a straight moneyline bet given the match's specific dynamics.
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