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Color Line Stadion
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AI Predicted Winner
Molde
49%
#Confidence
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Aalesund vs Molde prediction for this Eliteserien Round 13 clash at Color Line Stadion pits a struggling home side against one of the division's more consistent performers. Molde arrive ranked fifth with 19 points from 11 games, while Aalesund sit 13th with just 11 points — a gap that tells the story of this matchup clearly.
Aalesund have been frustratingly inconsistent, drawing five of eleven league games and failing to keep a single clean sheet all season. Their defensive record of conceding 1.82 goals per game is among the worst in the division. Molde, by contrast, have won six of eleven and carry a positive goal difference, though their away form is notably weaker — just one win in five road trips.
Aalesund carry a significant injury burden, with five players listed as unavailable, which further limits their options against a quality opponent. Molde also have absentees but retain enough depth to cope. Both sides had a friendly during the break, so fatigue is not a major factor.
The quality gap and Aalesund's defensive frailty point firmly toward a Molde win. Their superior points-per-game rate (1.73 vs 1.0) and better goal difference make them clear favourites despite the home-field factor. Expect a competitive but ultimately Molde-controlled contest.
Moderate
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Only one meeting falls within the last two years: a pre-season friendly in February 2026 where Aalesund thrashed Molde 4-1...
Only one meeting falls within the last two years: a pre-season friendly in February 2026 where Aalesund thrashed Molde 4-1 away from home. That result is difficult to read into given its friendly nature. The broader historical record heavily favours Aalesund in this fixture — they have won five of the last seven encounters across all competitions — though that historical pattern predates the current form and standings gap significantly.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsEliteserien matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5/10
Aalesund have managed just two wins in eleven Eliteserien outings, drawing five and losing four....
Aalesund have managed just two wins in eleven Eliteserien outings, drawing five and losing four. Their home record is particularly underwhelming — one win, three draws, and two defeats from six home games, with zero clean sheets all season. They concede nearly two goals per game, making them one of the leakier defences in the division. Five players are currently sidelined through injury or surgery, including Ngongo (surgery) and Johannsson (injury), which stretches the squad thin. Despite a morale-boosting friendly win over Kristiansund, their league form remains a concern.
11 of 15 in Eliteserien
Form Rating
5.3/10
Molde have been solid overall, winning six of eleven league games and posting a positive...
Molde have been solid overall, winning six of eleven league games and posting a positive goal difference. Their home form is excellent — five wins from six at Molde Stadion — but their away record is a genuine weakness, with just one win in five road trips and nine goals conceded away from home. They lost their most recent friendly 4-1 to Bodo/Glimt, though pre-season results carry limited weight. Several players are unavailable including Kikkenborg (Achilles) and Dahl (knee), but the squad has sufficient depth to field a competitive XI.
2026 Season
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Aalesund vs Molde - Match Analysis
Molde's superiority in the standings — fifth versus thirteenth — and a 0.73 points-per-game advantage make them clear favourites regardless of venue. Aalesund have conceded nearly two goals per game and kept zero clean sheets all season, making them vulnerable to any attack of quality. While home advantage is real, the gap in squad quality and league position is simply too large for Aalesund to overcome based on current form.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out strongly. Aalesund have failed to keep a single clean sheet in eleven league games, and the combined goals average sits at exactly 3.0 per game. Both teams have scored in the majority of their matches this season. Draw No Bet: Molde is also worth considering — it covers you if the game ends level while still backing the stronger side, given Molde's inconsistent away record adds a small but real draw risk.
Moderate
Even
High
Molde have won just once in five away league games, conceding nine goals on the road. That weakness is the main reason this isn't a high-confidence call. However, Aalesund's home record is equally poor — one win from six at Color Line Stadion — which neutralises much of the home advantage. The quality differential ultimately outweighs venue concerns, but Molde's away struggles do keep the draw and even an Aalesund upset within realistic range.
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