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Swansea.com Stadium
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AI Predicted Winner
Swansea
45%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Swansea✦ AI Pick | Draw | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|
Dafabet | |||
BetfairBest Odds | |||
Betano | |||
| Best Odds |
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Swansea vs Burnley prediction: this Championship clash at the Swansea.com Stadium pits a promotion-chasing home side against a struggling Burnley outfit rooted in the relegation zone. Swansea sit third with 11 points from six games, unbeaten in four of their last five league outings, while Burnley have failed to win any of their opening six matches and occupy 23rd place.
Swansea's defensive record stands out, with four clean sheets in six games and just 0.67 goals conceded per game, though a 3-1 loss at Southampton is a recent blemish. Burnley have shipped 13 goals in six matches and are without a win, though three draws show some resilience against tougher sides.
Burnley's injury list is extensive, with several first-team players missing, further weakening an already porous defense. Swansea will also be without a few squad members, but their overall depth looks stronger.
Given the near-20-place gap in the table and Swansea's superior points-per-game, home advantage should prove decisive. Expect goals at both ends given Burnley's leaky defense, but Swansea's control and quality edge point toward a routine home win, with the bookmakers' 43.5% implied probability for Swansea aligning closely with the underlying form and table gap.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two sides met twice last season in the Championship, both games going Burnley's way — a 2-0 win at...
The two sides met twice last season in the Championship, both games going Burnley's way — a 2-0 win at Swansea in March 2025 and a 1-0 victory at Turf Moor in November 2024. Burnley have won four straight meetings across recent seasons. However, this H2H record predates Burnley's dramatic drop in form this campaign, and Swansea's current squad and table position look far stronger than in those previous fixtures.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsChampionship matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Championship
Form Rating
6/10
Swansea have lost just once in their last six matches, sitting third with 11 points...
Swansea have lost just once in their last six matches, sitting third with 11 points and a plus-4 goal difference. Their defense has been the foundation, with four clean sheets and only 0.67 goals conceded per game, though last weekend's 3-1 defeat at Southampton showed vulnerability against attacking quality. At home, they're unbeaten across three games this season, winning one and drawing two. Injuries to Burgess, Franco, and Stewart limit squad depth, but Swansea's balance between defensive solidity and clinical finishing (1.33 goals per game) makes them a tough home draw. Watch for their front line to exploit Burnley's leaky backline.
6 of 15 in Championship
Form Rating
2.7/10
Burnley remain winless through six league games, sitting 23rd with just three points and a...
Burnley remain winless through six league games, sitting 23rd with just three points and a minus-6 goal difference. Three draws offer some floor, but they've conceded 13 goals already, including a 4-1 loss to Norwich and a 3-1 defeat to West Brom. Their away form is particularly worrying: no wins in three attempts, with 5 goals conceded to just 3 scored. A lengthy injury list, including several defenders and midfielders ruled out, compounds their defensive fragility. With so many key absences, Burnley will need a resilient rearguard performance just to avoid another heavy defeat on the road.
Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Swansea vs Burnley - Match Analysis
Swansea sit third in the Championship table with 11 points from six games, while Burnley are 23rd with just three points and no wins all season. The 20-place gap, Swansea's plus-4 goal difference against Burnley's minus-6, and home advantage all combine to make Swansea clear favorites, backed by a 43.5% implied market probability.
Over 2.5 Goals looks attractive given combined goals per game sit at 2.5 and Burnley concede over two goals per match on average. Swansea Draw No Bet is also worth considering as a safer alternative, protecting against Burnley's tendency to secure draws even in difficult away fixtures, having drawn three of their six league games this season.
Swansea are unbeaten in four of their last five league games and have kept four clean sheets, showing defensive strength. Burnley, in contrast, remain winless through six matches with 13 goals conceded. This stark form gap, combined with Burnley's lengthy injury list, strongly supports a Swansea win as the most likely outcome in this Championship fixture.
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