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Charlton
Charlton6th in Championship (3-1-1)
VS
QPR
QPR3rd in Championship (3-1-1)

Charlton vs QPR

Wednesday, Sep 9, 2026 · --:--

The Valley

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AI Confidence: 40%
Charlton33%Draw 27%QPR40%

AI Predicted Winner

QPR

40%

#Confidence

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No odds data available for this match.

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AI Match Analysis

Charlton vs QPR at The Valley pits two Championship sides level on 10 points and both boasting 2.0 points per game, making this one of the tighter fixtures on paper this weekend.

Charlton arrive on the back of consecutive league wins before a heavy midweek League Cup defeat to Tottenham and a draw with West Brom, while their most recent Championship outing saw them thumped 4-0 away at Stoke. That result exposes a defense that's conceded seven goals in five league games, though the attack has still delivered 1.2 goals per game at home.

QPR sit three places higher despite an almost identical points tally, backed by the division's better defensive record among the two sides at 0.8 goals conceded per game. A shock home loss to Middlesbrough was their only blemish in five, and they've won both away Championship fixtures this season without conceding.

Charlton's home form (two wins from two) offers genuine encouragement, but QPR's superior goal difference and away record make them slightly favored. Both sides carry significant injury lists, adding uncertainty to team selection. Expect a close, competitive contest with QPR's road form and tighter defense edging out Charlton's home comfort, though a draw remains a live outcome given how evenly matched these teams are on the underlying numbers.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Charlton3-1-160.0%
QPR3-1-160.0%
Goals Scored
Charlton6
QPR7
Goals Conceded
Charlton7
QPR4
Goal Difference
Charlton-1
QPR+3

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 9 head-to-head matchups

Charlton (4)Draws (2)QPR (3)
Feb 6, 26
(H)Charlton0 - 0QPR(A)
D
Aug 30, 25
(H)QPR3 - 1Charlton(A)
H
Aug 9, 22
(H)Charlton1 - 1QPR(A)
H
Jun 27, 20
(H)Charlton1 - 0QPR(A)
H
Dec 21, 19
(H)QPR2 - 2Charlton(A)
D
Apr 9, 16
(H)QPR2 - 1Charlton(A)
H
Aug 8, 15
(H)Charlton2 - 0QPR(A)
H
Feb 22, 14
(H)Charlton1 - 0QPR(A)
H
Nov 23, 13
(H)QPR1 - 0Charlton(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings have been sparse but instructive. The last two encounters split evenly: a scoreless draw at Charlton in February...

Recent meetings have been sparse but instructive. The last two encounters split evenly: a scoreless draw at Charlton in February and a 3-1 QPR win at Loftus Road in August 2025. Across the last two years, that's one win apiece with a draw, showing no clear dominance either way. With both sides scoring goals but also showing defensive vulnerabilities in these head-to-heads, expect another tightly contested affair at The Valley.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsChampionship matches highlighted

Charlton

7 of 15 in Championship

L
D
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
L
W

Form Rating

6/10

Charlton Form Analysis

Trending

Charlton have won three of their last five league games but the underlying picture is...

Charlton have won three of their last five league games but the underlying picture is mixed — a 4-0 hammering at Stoke and a 5-1 League Cup thrashing by Tottenham highlight defensive fragility away from home. Their home form is unbeaten in two league fixtures this season, both wins, which offers real encouragement for this fixture. Charlton have been hit hard by injuries, with eight players unavailable including several defenders and forwards, which could stretch squad depth. Goals have arrived steadily at 1.2 per game, but conceding 1.4 per game remains the primary concern heading into this clash.

QPR

8 of 15 in Championship

L
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
D
L
L
L

Form Rating

6/10

QPR Form Analysis

Analysis

QPR have won three of their last five, with the only real dent being a...

QPR have won three of their last five, with the only real dent being a surprise home loss to Middlesbrough last time out. Their away form has been excellent, winning both Championship road trips this season without conceding a goal, a strong sign ahead of this trip to London. Defensively they've been the tighter of these two sides, shipping just 0.8 goals per game, though they've also failed to score in two of five matches. Two injury absences are far more manageable than Charlton's list, giving QPR a fitness edge heading into this fixture.

shieldCharlton8

  • W. Mannion profile photo

    W. Mannion

    Shoulder Injury
    Out
  • N. Chalobah profile photo

    N. Chalobah

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • K. Ramsay profile photo

    K. Ramsay

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • M. Godden profile photo

    M. Godden

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • C. Kelman profile photo

    C. Kelman

    Shoulder Injury
    Out
W. MannionCharlton
N. ChalobahCharlton
K. RamsayCharlton
M. GoddenCharlton
C. KelmanCharlton
J. EdwardsCharlton
B. KoumetioCharlton
C. SichenjeCharlton

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

shieldQPR2

  • B. Kemper profile photo

    B. Kemper

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • K. Dembele profile photo

    K. Dembele

    Knee Injury
    Out
B. KemperQPR
K. DembeleQPR

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Charlton vs QPR - Match Analysis

Why is QPR given a slight edge over Charlton despite matching points totals?

Both teams have 10 points from five games, but QPR's goal difference of +3 compares favorably to Charlton's -1, and QPR concede fewer goals per game. QPR have also won both away league fixtures this season without conceding, whereas Charlton were thrashed 4-0 in their last league outing at Stoke. These factors combine to give QPR a marginal statistical advantage heading into this match.

Why might Charlton cause an upset against QPR at The Valley?

Charlton are unbeaten at home in the league this season, winning both fixtures at The Valley without conceding. Home comfort plus a recent run of only one loss in five league games gives them a genuine platform to trouble QPR, especially if the visitors' longer injury-free run leads to any complacency after a shock loss to Middlesbrough last time out.

What alternative bets should I consider for Charlton vs QPR?

Draw No Bet: QPR stands out given their stronger defensive numbers and away form, protecting your stake if the match ends level. Under 2.5 Goals is another sensible alternative market, as QPR's tight defense and Charlton's inconsistent scoring output suggest this could finish lower-scoring than the season's combined average of 2.6 goals per game.

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