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Cardiff
Cardiff22nd in Championship (0-3-2)
VS
Stoke City
Stoke City12th in Championship (2-0-3)

Cardiff vs Stoke City

Tuesday, Sep 8, 2026 · --:--

Cardiff City Stadium

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AI Confidence: 31%
Cardiff40%Draw 31%Stoke City29%

AI Predicted Winner

Draw

31%

#Confidence

Compare Odds

SportsbookCardiffDraw✦ AI PickStoke City
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AI Match Analysis

Cardiff vs Stoke City prediction: this Championship clash at Cardiff City Stadium pits two struggling sides against each other, with Cardiff sitting bottom of the table on just three points from five games and Stoke City only marginally better off in 12th.

Cardiff have failed to win a single league match this season, drawing three and losing one from their last four, with defeats to Portsmouth and QPR either side of a draw against Sheffield United. Their home form offers some comfort though, having drawn both matches at Cardiff City Stadium without conceding more than they've scored. Stoke arrive on the back of a confidence-boosting win, thrashing Charlton 4-0 last time out after back-to-back league defeats to Wolves and Southampton.

Injuries bite both sides, with Cardiff missing three players including defender Curtis Chambers, while Stoke's absentee list is longer with five out through injury. Neither team looks convincing defensively, and with a combined goals-per-game rate of 2.5, goals look likely.

Bookmakers make Cardiff narrow favorites at home despite their winless start, largely down to Stoke's poor away record with two defeats from two on the road. Expect a tight, error-strewn affair between two sides short on confidence, with the draw holding real appeal given both teams' struggles to find consistency.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Cardiff0-3-10.0%
Stoke City1-0-325.0%
Goals Scored
Cardiff6
Stoke City4
Goals Conceded
Cardiff7
Stoke City9
Goal Difference
Cardiff-1
Stoke City-5

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Cardiff (3)Draws (6)Stoke City (1)
Apr 12, 25
(H)Cardiff0 - 1Stoke City(A)
A
Feb 8, 25
(H)Stoke City3 - 3Cardiff(A)
A
Dec 14, 24
(H)Stoke City2 - 2Cardiff(A)
D
Feb 24, 24
(H)Cardiff2 - 1Stoke City(A)
H
Nov 4, 23
(H)Stoke City0 - 0Cardiff(A)
D
Apr 22, 23
(H)Cardiff1 - 1Stoke City(A)
D
Dec 10, 22
(H)Stoke City2 - 2Cardiff(A)
D
Mar 16, 22
(H)Cardiff2 - 1Stoke City(A)
H
Oct 30, 21
(H)Stoke City3 - 3Cardiff(A)
D
Mar 16, 21
(H)Cardiff0 - 0Stoke City(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These two have met regularly in recent Championship seasons, with the meeting in April 2025 going Stoke's way 1-0 away...

These two have met regularly in recent Championship seasons, with the meeting in April 2025 going Stoke's way 1-0 away from home. Their FA Cup tie in February 2025 ended 3-3, continuing a pattern of high-scoring, tightly contested fixtures between these sides. Draws have been a recurring theme in this fixture over the years, and with both teams out of form, another stalemate wouldn't surprise.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsChampionship matches highlighted

Cardiff

5 of 15 in Championship

L
L
D
L
D
D
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W

Form Rating

5.7/10

Cardiff Form Analysis

Trending

Cardiff remain winless in the league this season, picking up three draws and a loss...

Cardiff remain winless in the league this season, picking up three draws and a loss from four matches, sitting bottom of the Championship table with just three points. Their away form has been particularly troubling, losing to Portsmouth and QPR in their last two outings, though at home they've shown more resilience with two draws from two. Goal difference of minus three reflects an inconsistent attack that has scored six but conceded seven. Defenders Curtis Chambers, D. Lawlor and W. Fish are all missing through injury, further weakening a backline already low on confidence. Watch for whether Cardiff can find any cutting edge in front of their own fans, where they've at least avoided defeat so far this season.

Stoke City

9 of 15 in Championship

W
W
L
L
L
L
W
D
W
D
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

Stoke City Form Analysis

Analysis

Stoke City head into this match full of confidence after a commanding 4-0 win over...

Stoke City head into this match full of confidence after a commanding 4-0 win over Charlton, though that follows back-to-back defeats to Wolves and Southampton. Their form line reads three losses and a win from four, but the away form is the bigger concern, having lost both road matches this season without a point on offer. Defensively they've been porous, conceding nine in five games at over two per match, though they did keep a clean sheet against Charlton. Five players are sidelined through injury, a significant blow to squad depth. The attacking spark shown in their last outing will need replicating away from home if Stoke are to end their winless away run.

shieldCardiff3

  • C. Chambers profile photo

    C. Chambers

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • W. Fish profile photo

    W. Fish

    Hernia
    Out
  • D. Lawlor profile photo

    D. Lawlor

    Muscle Injury
    Out
C. ChambersCardiff
W. FishCardiff
D. LawlorCardiff

shieldStoke City5

  • A. Cresswell profile photo

    A. Cresswell

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • B. Gibson profile photo

    B. Gibson

    Head Injury
    Out
  • S. Ingelsson profile photo

    S. Ingelsson

    Injury
    Out
  • J. Tchamadeu profile photo

    J. Tchamadeu

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Ampah profile photo

    A. Ampah

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
A. CresswellStoke City
B. GibsonStoke City
S. IngelssonStoke City
J. TchamadeuStoke City
A. AmpahStoke City

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Cardiff vs Stoke City - Match Analysis

Why is Cardiff only a narrow favorite against bottom-half Stoke City?

Despite sitting bottom of the Championship table without a win all season, Cardiff get a slight edge due to home advantage and a more stable home record, having avoided defeat at Cardiff City Stadium so far. Stoke's poor away form, with two defeats from two on the road, works in Cardiff's favor here, but neither team's underlying numbers justify strong confidence in either direction.

What alternative bets should I consider for Cardiff vs Stoke City?

Given the high combined goals-per-game rate of 2.5 and both teams' defensive struggles, Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score both look like strong alternative markets. The draw also carries appeal at odds of 3.55, reflecting the genuinely tight nature of this contest between two out-of-form Championship sides.

What are the stakes for Cardiff and Stoke City in this match?

Cardiff sit bottom of the Championship and face early relegation concerns after a winless start, making any positive result crucial for confidence and survival hopes. Stoke, while not in immediate danger, need to arrest their poor away form to climb away from the lower-mid table and build on their recent win over Charlton.

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