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VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart4th in Bundesliga (13-4-6)
VS
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg15th in Bundesliga (5-5-13)

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg

Sunday, Mar 1, 2026 · --:--

MHPArena

Final
VfB Stuttgart
4–0
VfL Wolfsburg

VfB Stuttgart won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction strongly favors the home side in this Bundesliga preview. Stuttgart sits 4th with Champions League qualification secured, while Wolfsburg languishes in 15th place, just five points above the relegation zone. The 11-position gap and massive 1.00 points-per-game differential highlight Stuttgart's superiority this season. Bookmaker consensus reflects this disparity with 64.6% probability for a home win. Stuttgart's impressive home record (8 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) contrasts sharply with Wolfsburg's woeful away form (3 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). The visitors arrive with extensive injury problems, missing 10 key players including captain Maximilian Arnold and striker Jonas Wind. Stuttgart faces fatigue concerns after their midweek Europa League defeat to Celtic, but their superior quality should prevail. Expert picks favor the home win as the smart bet, with football tips today pointing to Stuttgart's attacking prowess against Wolfsburg's porous defense. Free tips suggest backing Stuttgart to capitalize on their home advantage and secure vital points in their Champions League push.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

VfB Stuttgart (4)Draws (2)VfL Wolfsburg (4)
Oct 18, 25
(H)VfL Wolfsburg0 - 3VfB Stuttgart(A)
A
Feb 15, 25
(H)VfB Stuttgart1 - 2VfL Wolfsburg(A)
A
Sep 28, 24
(H)VfL Wolfsburg2 - 2VfB Stuttgart(A)
D
Mar 2, 24
(H)VfL Wolfsburg2 - 3VfB Stuttgart(A)
A
Oct 7, 23
(H)VfB Stuttgart3 - 1VfL Wolfsburg(A)
H
Mar 18, 23
(H)VfB Stuttgart0 - 1VfL Wolfsburg(A)
A
Oct 1, 22
(H)VfL Wolfsburg3 - 2VfB Stuttgart(A)
H
Apr 30, 22
(H)VfB Stuttgart1 - 1VfL Wolfsburg(A)
D
Dec 11, 21
(H)VfL Wolfsburg0 - 2VfB Stuttgart(A)
A
Apr 21, 21
(H)VfB Stuttgart1 - 3VfL Wolfsburg(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters favor Stuttgart with three wins from the last four meetings since 2024. Stuttgart dominated the reverse fixture in...

Recent encounters favor Stuttgart with three wins from the last four meetings since 2024. Stuttgart dominated the reverse fixture in October 2025, winning 3-0 away at Wolfsburg's Volkswagen Arena. The previous season saw mixed results with Wolfsburg winning 2-1 at Stuttgart before drawing 2-2 at home. Stuttgart's superior current form and home advantage suggest they should continue their recent dominance in this fixture, especially given Wolfsburg's defensive frailties this campaign.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

VfB Stuttgart

9 of 15 in Bundesliga

L
D
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
D

Form Rating

7/10

VfB Stuttgart Form Analysis

Trending

Stuttgart enters this match with mixed recent form, winning three of their last five Bundesliga...

Stuttgart enters this match with mixed recent form, winning three of their last five Bundesliga games. Their home fortress remains strong with eight wins from eleven matches at the MHPArena this season. The attacking unit averages 1.91 goals per game, spearheaded by their dynamic forward line. However, fatigue concerns loom after Wednesday's Europa League elimination to Celtic, with only two days' rest before this fixture. Key injuries to Luka Jovanovic (back) are manageable, though Dan-Axel Zagadou and Josha Diehl remain questionable. Their defensive solidity at home (conceding just 1.09 goals per game) provides the foundation for another strong performance. Stuttgart's Champions League position offers motivation to maintain their excellent home record.

VfL Wolfsburg

14 of 15 in Bundesliga

L
D
L
L
L
D
W
L
D
L
W
W
D
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

VfL Wolfsburg Form Analysis

Analysis

Wolfsburg's season continues to spiral downward with just five wins from 23 matches, placing them...

Wolfsburg's season continues to spiral downward with just five wins from 23 matches, placing them dangerously close to relegation. Their recent form shows one win in five games, highlighting their struggles for consistency. Away from home, they've managed only three victories all season, scoring a meager 1.18 goals per game on the road. The injury crisis is catastrophic with 10 players unavailable, including captain Arnold (groin), goalkeeper Cleiton (ankle), and top scorer Wind (thigh). Mattias Svanberg and Mohamed Amoura are also doubtful. Their defensive record is alarming, conceding 2.13 goals per game overall. The eight-day rest advantage provides some physical benefit, but the personnel shortage severely limits tactical options. Wolfsburg desperately needs points to escape the relegation battle.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
VfB Stuttgart13-4-656.5%
VfL Wolfsburg5-5-1321.7%
Goals Scored
VfB Stuttgart44
VfL Wolfsburg33
Goals Conceded
VfB Stuttgart32
VfL Wolfsburg49

shieldVfB Stuttgart3

  • D. Zagadou profile photo

    D. Zagadou

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Diehl profile photo

    J. Diehl

    Injury
    Questionable
  • L. Jovanovic profile photo

    L. Jovanovic

    Back Injury
    Out
D. ZagadouVfB Stuttgart
J. DiehlVfB Stuttgart
L. JovanovicVfB Stuttgart

shieldVfL Wolfsburg12

  • J. Wind profile photo

    J. Wind

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • J. Maehle profile photo

    J. Maehle

    Shoulder Injury
    Out
  • J. Lindstrom profile photo

    J. Lindstrom

    Illness
    Out
  • M. Arnold profile photo

    M. Arnold

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • M. Svanberg profile photo

    M. Svanberg

    Injury
    Questionable
J. WindVfL Wolfsburg
J. MaehleVfL Wolfsburg
J. LindstromVfL Wolfsburg
M. ArnoldVfL Wolfsburg
M. SvanbergVfL Wolfsburg
RogerioVfL Wolfsburg
P. WimmerVfL Wolfsburg
K. FischerVfL Wolfsburg
M. AmouraVfL Wolfsburg
J. SeeltVfL Wolfsburg
CleitonVfL Wolfsburg
B. DardaiVfL Wolfsburg

Showing 1-5 of 12 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
VfB Stuttgart+12
VfL Wolfsburg-16

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg - Match Analysis

Why is Stuttgart so strongly favored against Wolfsburg?

Stuttgart's dominance stems from their 11-position league advantage and superior 1.87 points-per-game average versus Wolfsburg's relegation-threatened 0.87. The home side boasts an excellent MHPArena record (8-2-1) while Wolfsburg struggles away from home (3-2-6). Additionally, Wolfsburg's injury crisis has sidelined 10 key players including captain Arnold and top scorer Wind, severely weakening their already fragile squad depth and tactical options.

What alternative bets should I consider for Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given the teams' combined 3.34 goals per game average and Wolfsburg's defensive vulnerabilities (2.13 conceded/game). Stuttgart -1 Asian Handicap provides attractive odds for backing the home side to win convincingly, reflecting their quality advantage. Both Teams to Score could also appeal given Stuttgart's attacking threat and Wolfsburg's occasional scoring ability, though their defensive frailties make this riskier.

How does Wolfsburg's injury crisis affect this prediction?

Wolfsburg's 10 missing players create a catastrophic personnel shortage that severely limits their tactical flexibility and quality. Key absences include captain Maximilian Arnold (groin), goalkeeper Cleiton (ankle), and striker Jonas Wind (thigh), removing their leadership, defensive stability, and attacking threat. With Svanberg and Amoura also doubtful, Wolfsburg lacks the depth to compete effectively against Stuttgart's superior squad, making the home win even more likely.

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