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VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart4th in Bundesliga (10-2-5)
VS
Union Berlin
Union Berlin9th in Bundesliga (6-4-6)

VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Sunday, Jan 18, 2026 · --:--

MHPArena

Final
VfB Stuttgart
1–1
Union Berlin

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin prediction favors the home side in this crucial Bundesliga preview. Stuttgart sits 4th with 32 points, targeting Champions League qualification, while Union Berlin languishes in 9th with just 22 points. Stuttgart's recent form shows resilience with victories over Eintracht Frankfurt (3-2) and a stunning 4-1 win at Leverkusen, demonstrating their attacking prowess. Union Berlin arrives with mixed results, drawing with Mainz (2-2) but showing defensive frailties. Key injuries plague Stuttgart with Demirovic, Zagadou, and Silas sidelined, though their squad depth remains strong. Union's Robert Skov remains out with muscle problems. The head-to-head record from recent years shows competitive encounters, including a thrilling 4-4 draw and Stuttgart's 3-2 home victory last season. Stuttgart's superior league position, home advantage at MHPArena, and better attacking output (32 goals vs Union's 22) make them clear favorites. Our expert picks suggest backing Stuttgart's quality to shine through, with football tips today pointing toward a home victory in this pivotal clash.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
VfB Stuttgart10-2-558.8%
Union Berlin6-4-637.5%
Goals Scored
VfB Stuttgart32
Union Berlin22
Goals Conceded
VfB Stuttgart25
Union Berlin25
Goal Difference
VfB Stuttgart+7
Union Berlin-3

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin - Match Analysis

Why is Stuttgart strongly favored against Union Berlin?

Stuttgart's superior league position (4th vs 9th), 15-point advantage, and home form at MHPArena make them clear favorites. Their attacking output of 32 goals compared to Union's 22 demonstrates the quality gap. Stuttgart are fighting for Champions League qualification while Union sit in mid-table mediocrity. The hosts have won three of the last six meetings and possess better squad depth despite current injury concerns.

How do Stuttgart's injuries affect this VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin prediction?

Stuttgart's injury list includes key players like striker Demirovic, defender Zagadou, and winger Silas, which could impact their attacking fluency. However, their squad depth remains superior to Union Berlin's options. Union also miss Robert Skov through muscle injury. While injuries create uncertainty, Stuttgart's overall quality and home advantage should compensate for these absences, maintaining their favoritism in this crucial encounter.

What alternative bets should I consider for this match?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking tendencies and their history of high-scoring encounters, including a 4-4 draw previously. Stuttgart -1 Asian Handicap provides good odds considering their quality advantage. Both Teams to Score appeals as Union typically find the net even in defeats. These markets suit the match dynamics better than straight win bets, offering diverse betting opportunities.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

VfB Stuttgart (4)Draws (3)Union Berlin (3)
Aug 23, 25
(H)Union Berlin2 - 1VfB Stuttgart(A)
H
Apr 19, 25
(H)Union Berlin4 - 4VfB Stuttgart(A)
D
Dec 6, 24
(H)VfB Stuttgart3 - 2Union Berlin(A)
H
Mar 8, 24
(H)VfB Stuttgart2 - 0Union Berlin(A)
H
Oct 31, 23
(H)VfB Stuttgart1 - 0Union Berlin(A)
H
Oct 21, 23
(H)Union Berlin0 - 3VfB Stuttgart(A)
A
Apr 1, 23
(H)Union Berlin3 - 0VfB Stuttgart(A)
H
Oct 9, 22
(H)VfB Stuttgart0 - 1Union Berlin(A)
A
Mar 12, 22
(H)Union Berlin1 - 1VfB Stuttgart(A)
D
Oct 24, 21
(H)VfB Stuttgart1 - 1Union Berlin(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides have produced entertaining affairs. In their last meeting this season, Union Berlin secured a 2-1...

Recent encounters between these sides have produced entertaining affairs. In their last meeting this season, Union Berlin secured a 2-1 home victory in August 2025. However, Stuttgart dominated the previous campaign with a 3-2 home win and drew 4-4 away in a goal-fest. The head-to-head record shows Stuttgart winning three of the last six meetings, with Union taking two victories and one draw. Goals have been plentiful in this fixture, with both teams regularly finding the net.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

VfB Stuttgart

9 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
W
W
D
W
W
L
W
L
W
D
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

VfB Stuttgart Form Analysis

Trending

Stuttgart enters this match in solid form despite recent injury concerns. Their 3-2 victory over...

Stuttgart enters this match in solid form despite recent injury concerns. Their 3-2 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt showcased their fighting spirit, while the impressive 4-1 triumph at Bayer Leverkusen highlighted their attacking capabilities. The team has scored 32 goals in 17 league matches, demonstrating consistent offensive threat. However, key absences including striker Ermedin Demirovic (foot injury), defender Dan-Axel Zagadou (muscle injury), and winger Silas (ankle injury) will test squad depth. Midfielder Yannik Keitel also remains sidelined with a thigh problem. Despite these setbacks, Stuttgart's home record at MHPArena has been strong, and they'll look to maintain their Champions League push. Watch for attacking midfielder Enzo Millot to step up in Demirovic's absence.

Union Berlin

11 of 15 in Bundesliga

D
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
W
L

Form Rating

5.7/10

Union Berlin Form Analysis

Analysis

Union Berlin's inconsistent campaign continues with mixed recent results. The 2-2 draw against Mainz extended...

Union Berlin's inconsistent campaign continues with mixed recent results. The 2-2 draw against Mainz extended their winless run to three matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have plagued their season. They've managed just 22 goals in 16 games, struggling for consistent attacking output. Their away form has been particularly concerning, winning only three of nine road fixtures. Key injuries include Robert Skov (muscle injury) and Andras Markgraf (leg injury), limiting tactical options. However, their 3-1 victory over RB Leipzig in December showed they can raise their game against quality opposition. The team sits in mid-table mediocrity, lacking the urgency of their hosts. Striker Jordan Siebatcheu will be crucial for providing the attacking threat needed to trouble Stuttgart's defense.

shieldVfB Stuttgart8

  • D. Zagadou profile photo

    D. Zagadou

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • Silas profile photo

    Silas

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • E. Demirovic profile photo

    E. Demirovic

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • Y. Keitel profile photo

    Y. Keitel

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • L. Assignon profile photo

    L. Assignon

    Shoulder Injury
    Questionable
D. ZagadouVfB Stuttgart
SilasVfB Stuttgart
E. DemirovicVfB Stuttgart
Y. KeitelVfB Stuttgart
L. AssignonVfB Stuttgart
J. DiehlVfB Stuttgart
B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart
L. JaquezVfB Stuttgart

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

shieldUnion Berlin4

  • R. Skov profile photo

    R. Skov

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • J. Haberer profile photo

    J. Haberer

    Yellow Cards
    Questionable
  • A. Markgraf profile photo

    A. Markgraf

    Leg Injury
    Out
  • D. Bogdanov profile photo

    D. Bogdanov

    Injury
    Out
R. SkovUnion Berlin
J. HabererUnion Berlin
A. MarkgrafUnion Berlin
D. BogdanovUnion Berlin

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.