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MHPArena
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AI Predicted Winner
VfB Stuttgart
66%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | VfB Stuttgart✦ AI Pick | Draw | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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VfB Stuttgart host bottom-placed Borussia Mönchengladbach at the MHPArena with bookmakers strongly backing the home side in this VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction. Stuttgart sit 11th but carry momentum from a Champions League win over Slovan Bratislava and a clean Bundesliga victory at Paderborn.
Gladbach arrive bottom of the table without a single point, having lost all five league matches and conceded 18 goals in the process. Their form string reads five straight losses, a defensive record that marks them as the weakest side in the division this season.
Stuttgart's own home form is modest (one win, one loss in two matches) and they carry a lengthy injury list including Mittelstadt and Zagadou, but Gladbach's dysfunction going forward offers little resistance. The underdog has shipped 3.6 goals per game on average, a number too extreme to ignore against a host averaging 1.6 goals scored.
Recent head-to-head meetings have favored Stuttgart too, including a comfortable 4-0 win in May 2024. Expect Stuttgart to control proceedings and convert their chances, making the home win the clear value play alongside a goals-heavy alternative market given Gladbach's leaky defense.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Stuttgart have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters since 2024, including a 4-0 romp in May...
Stuttgart have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters since 2024, including a 4-0 romp in May 2024 and a narrow 1-0 win in August 2025. Gladbach's only win in this stretch came via a 3-0 away victory in January 2026. The pattern favors the home side strongly, and with Gladbach's current freefall in form, history and present-day form are pointing in the same direction.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted
5 of 15 in Bundesliga
Form Rating
7/10
Stuttgart's domestic form is mixed — two wins and three losses in their last five...
Stuttgart's domestic form is mixed — two wins and three losses in their last five Bundesliga matches — but their underlying performances have improved, highlighted by a 3-0 Champions League win over Slovan Bratislava and a comfortable 2-0 away win at Paderborn. Defensively they've conceded 1.8 goals per game, a figure inflated by a 5-1 loss to Bayern. Injuries are a concern, with Mittelstadt, Zagadou, Al Dakhil, Diehl and Nartey all missing, testing squad depth. Still, firepower up front (1.6 goals per game) combined with Gladbach's defensive collapse should allow Stuttgart to control this fixture at home.
6 of 15 in Bundesliga
Form Rating
6.3/10
Gladbach are bottom of the Bundesliga with zero points from five matches, having lost every...
Gladbach are bottom of the Bundesliga with zero points from five matches, having lost every single league game this season. Their defense has been shredded, conceding 18 goals already including a 5-0 defeat to Freiburg and a 4-3 loss to Elversberg. Scoring hasn't been the issue (1.4 goals per game) but their inability to keep clean sheets — zero all season — is the core problem. Key absentees include Itakura, Kleindienst and Castrop, further weakening an already fragile backline. Away from home they've lost all three matches played, conceding heavily each time, which bodes poorly against a Stuttgart side rediscovering its scoring touch.
Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach - Match Analysis
Stuttgart hold a commanding 1.2 points-per-game advantage and face a Gladbach side without a single point from five matches this season. Gladbach have conceded 18 goals already, averaging 3.6 per game, while Stuttgart's recent Champions League and cup form shows improving sharpness. Bookmakers reflect this gap with Stuttgart priced at 67.7% implied probability, among the clearest favorites in this Bundesliga round.
Over 2.5 goals stands out given Gladbach's leaky defense and Stuttgart's attacking output, with combined goals per game at 3.0 this season. A Stuttgart -1 Asian Handicap also offers better odds than the straight win market for those confident in a comfortable home victory. Both options provide solid alternatives to the moneyline given the scale of the quality gap between these two sides.
Gladbach's five straight losses and zero points make them statistically the division's weakest team right now, directly lowering their win probability to just 14.7%. Their defense has failed to keep a single clean sheet, conceding heavily in nearly every match. Combined with three straight away losses, this sustained slump strongly supports Stuttgart as the confident pick in this matchup.
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