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MHPArena
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AI Predicted Winner
Borussia Dortmund
38%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | VfB Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: this Bundesliga clash at MHPArena pits an inconsistent Stuttgart side against a Dortmund team that has won both league games this season. Stuttgart sit 10th with one win and one loss, having leaked six goals already, while Dortmund are third with a perfect record, scoring five and conceding just two.
Stuttgart's form is a mixed bag — a comfortable win over Köln followed by a 5-1 thumping at Bayern München exposed real defensive fragility, though a Champions League win over Viking shows attacking quality remains intact. Dortmund arrive full of confidence, unbeaten across their last four competitive outings and carrying momentum from a Champions League win over Villarreal.
Injuries bite harder for Dortmund, who are missing several defensive and midfield options including Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini through suspension, which could open space for Stuttgart's attack. Still, the gap in points per game and defensive solidity favors the visitors.
Expect goals at both ends given Stuttgart's leaky defense and Dortmund's attacking sharpness. The bookmaker consensus makes Stuttgart favorites, but Dortmund's superior form and defensive numbers suggest this is closer to a coin flip, with a slight edge to the home side given their home record this season and the added personnel troubles hitting Dortmund's backline.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent meetings between these sides have been shared, with the most notable being a 3-3 draw in Dortmund in late...
Recent meetings between these sides have been shared, with the most notable being a 3-3 draw in Dortmund in late 2025 and a comfortable 2-0 Dortmund win in Stuttgart earlier in 2026. Across the last two years, Dortmund have avoided defeat in the two most recent encounters, while Stuttgart's home record in this fixture has been shaky. Goals have been a consistent theme, with both matches producing plenty of attacking action.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted
6 of 15 in Bundesliga
Form Rating
6.7/10
Stuttgart have won one and lost one of their opening two Bundesliga games, sitting 10th...
Stuttgart have won one and lost one of their opening two Bundesliga games, sitting 10th with a negative goal difference already. Their attack looks sharp — five goals scored in two matches — but the defense has been alarmingly open, conceding six including a 5-1 mauling at Bayern. A Champions League win over Viking offers encouragement heading into this one. Injuries are a major concern, with several defensive options sidelined including Zagadou, Assignon, and Nartey, thinning options at the back further. Stuttgart's home form has been solid so far this season, winning their only home league fixture, and they'll need that pattern to continue against a much sharper Dortmund side.
6 of 15 in Bundesliga
Form Rating
7/10
Dortmund have made a flawless start, winning both Bundesliga fixtures while conceding just twice, and...
Dortmund have made a flawless start, winning both Bundesliga fixtures while conceding just twice, and adding a Champions League win over Villarreal to their momentum. Their defense has tightened notably compared to last season, and the attack remains potent with 2.5 goals per game. However, suspensions to Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini following red cards leave gaps in central defense, a significant concern against a Stuttgart side capable of scoring goals. Away form has been positive too, with a win on the road already this campaign. Dortmund's balance of attacking output and defensive discipline makes them the form team entering this fixture, even with personnel questions at the back.
Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries
Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Analysis
Bookmakers favor Stuttgart largely due to home advantage and MHPArena factors, but the underlying numbers tell a different story. Dortmund boast a perfect record, conceding only two goals in two matches compared to Stuttgart's six. Home advantage narrows the gap, but Stuttgart's defensive frailty — especially after conceding five at Bayern — makes this a genuinely competitive matchup rather than a clear Stuttgart edge.
Over 2.5 Goals looks like the strongest alternative given both teams are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game and Stuttgart's defense has struggled significantly. Draw No Bet: Borussia Dortmund is another solid option for those wanting protection against a draw while still backing the form team. Both markets offer better value than the standard moneyline given the tactical uncertainty.
Dortmund will be without Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini due to red card suspensions from their Champions League fixture, weakening their defensive structure against a Stuttgart attack that has already shown scoring quality. This makes Dortmund's clean sheet record harder to maintain, increasing the likelihood of goals for both sides in this matchup.
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