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RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig3rd in Bundesliga (16-5-7)
VS
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach13th in Bundesliga (7-9-12)

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Saturday, Apr 11, 2026 · --:--

Red Bull Arena

Final
RB Leipzig
1–0
Borussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction strongly favors the hosts in this Bundesliga preview. Leipzig sits 3rd with Champions League qualification secured, while Gladbach languishes in 13th with just 30 points from 28 games. The 10-position gap and 0.82 points-per-game differential highlight Leipzig's superiority this season. Bookmaker consensus supports Leipzig at 63.1% probability, reflecting their home advantage at Red Bull Arena. Leipzig's attack averages 1.96 goals per game compared to Gladbach's meager 1.25, while their defense concedes just 1.29 versus Gladbach's leaky 1.71. Recent form shows Leipzig winning four of their last six matches, including a dominant 5-0 home victory over Hoffenheim. Gladbach's struggles continue with just one win in their last six outings. Key injuries impact both sides, with Leipzig missing goalkeeper Gulacsi and defender Lukeba, while Gladbach lose striker Kleindienst. The football tips today point to a comfortable home victory, making Leipzig excellent value despite short odds. Our expert picks suggest backing the hosts with confidence in this mismatch between Champions League contenders and mid-table strugglers.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
RB Leipzig16-5-757.1%
Borussia Mönchengladbach7-9-1225.0%
Goals Scored
RB Leipzig55
Borussia Mönchengladbach35
Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig36
Borussia Mönchengladbach48
Goal Difference
RB Leipzig+19
Borussia Mönchengladbach-13

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach - Match Analysis

Why is RB Leipzig so strongly favored against Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Leipzig sits 10 positions higher in the Bundesliga table with a massive 23-point advantage and 0.82 better points-per-game record. Their attacking output (1.96 goals/game vs 1.25) and defensive solidity (1.29 conceded vs 1.71) create a significant quality gap. Home advantage at Red Bull Arena, where they've won nine of 14 matches, further strengthens their position against struggling Gladbach.

What alternative bets should I consider for Leipzig vs Gladbach?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given the teams' combined 3.21 goals per game average and Leipzig's attacking prowess against Gladbach's leaky defense. Leipzig -1 Asian Handicap provides enhanced odds for their expected winning margin. Both Teams to Score Yes could hit if Gladbach find rare attacking inspiration, though their away scoring record suggests caution with this market.

How do the key injuries affect this match prediction?

Leipzig miss goalkeeper Gulacsi and defender Lukeba, but their squad depth should handle these absences without major impact. More significantly, Gladbach lose striker Kleindienst to knee injury, removing their primary goal threat. This absence further weakens an already struggling attack that averages just 1.25 goals per game, making Leipzig's defensive task easier and strengthening the home win prediction.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

RB Leipzig (5)Draws (2)Borussia Mönchengladbach (3)
Nov 28, 25
(H)Borussia Mönchengladbach0 - 0RB Leipzig(A)
D
Mar 29, 25
(H)Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 0RB Leipzig(A)
H
Nov 9, 24
(H)RB Leipzig0 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach(A)
D
Feb 17, 24
(H)RB Leipzig2 - 0Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
H
Sep 23, 23
(H)Borussia Monchengladbach0 - 1RB Leipzig(A)
A
Mar 11, 23
(H)RB Leipzig3 - 0Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
H
Sep 17, 22
(H)Borussia Monchengladbach3 - 0RB Leipzig(A)
H
May 2, 22
(H)Borussia Monchengladbach3 - 1RB Leipzig(A)
H
Dec 11, 21
(H)RB Leipzig4 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
H
Feb 27, 21
(H)RB Leipzig3 - 2Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters favor Leipzig with three wins, two draws, and one Gladbach victory since 2024. The reverse fixture this season...

Recent encounters favor Leipzig with three wins, two draws, and one Gladbach victory since 2024. The reverse fixture this season ended goalless at Borussia-Park, but Leipzig dominated the previous meeting with a 2-0 home victory. Gladbach's last win came in March 2025, breaking a pattern of Leipzig dominance. The head-to-head record shows Leipzig's growing superiority, particularly at home where they've been clinical.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

RB Leipzig

14 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
W
L
W
W
D
D
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

5.7/10

RB Leipzig Form Analysis

Trending

Leipzig enters with solid momentum, winning four of their last six matches including impressive victories...

Leipzig enters with solid momentum, winning four of their last six matches including impressive victories over Werder Bremen (2-1 away) and Hoffenheim (5-0 at home). Their recent form shows resilience with comeback wins and dominant displays when clicking. At Red Bull Arena, they've been particularly strong with nine wins from 14 home games this season. The attack has been prolific, averaging nearly two goals per game, while their defense remains organized despite some lapses. Key absences include goalkeeper Gulacsi and defender Lukeba through injury, but their squad depth should cope. Striker Benjamin Šeško has been instrumental in their attacking threat this campaign.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

14 of 15 in Bundesliga

D
D
W
L
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

3.7/10

Borussia Mönchengladbach Form Analysis

Analysis

Gladbach's season has been disappointing with just seven wins from 28 matches, leaving them in...

Gladbach's season has been disappointing with just seven wins from 28 matches, leaving them in mid-table mediocrity. Recent form shows one win in six games, highlighting their struggles for consistency. Away from home, they've managed only three wins all season with a concerning defensive record. Their attack lacks potency, scoring just 1.25 goals per game, while conceding 1.71 shows defensive frailties. The absence of striker Kleindienst through knee injury removes their main goal threat. Manager Daniel Farke faces pressure to improve results, but this challenging trip to Leipzig offers little hope for immediate improvement given their poor away record.

shieldRB Leipzig7

  • P. Gulacsi profile photo

    P. Gulacsi

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • L. Zingerle profile photo

    L. Zingerle

    Wrist Injury
    Out
  • C. Lukeba profile photo

    C. Lukeba

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • B. Gruda profile photo

    B. Gruda

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • S. Sani profile photo

    S. Sani

    Hip Injury
    Out
P. GulacsiRB Leipzig
L. ZingerleRB Leipzig
C. LukebaRB Leipzig
B. GrudaRB Leipzig
S. SaniRB Leipzig
C. HarderRB Leipzig
V. GebelRB Leipzig

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldBorussia Mönchengladbach2

  • R. Hack profile photo

    R. Hack

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • T. Kleindienst profile photo

    T. Kleindienst

    Knee Injury
    Out
R. HackBorussia Mönchengladbach
T. KleindienstBorussia Mönchengladbach

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.