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RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig5th in Bundesliga (12-4-6)
VS
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund2nd in Bundesliga (15-6-1)

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund

Saturday, Feb 21, 2026 · --:--

Red Bull Arena

Final
RB Leipzig
2–2
Borussia Dortmund

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction highlights a fascinating clash between two teams in contrasting form. This Bundesliga preview features fifth-placed Leipzig (40 points) hosting second-placed Dortmund (51 points) at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig enters with mixed recent form, drawing 2-2 with Wolfsburg before suffering a DFB Pokal exit to Bayern Munich. Their home record remains solid with seven wins from eleven matches, though defensive vulnerabilities have emerged. Dortmund arrives in exceptional form, winning five consecutive matches including a commanding 4-0 victory over Mainz and a crucial 2-0 Champions League win against Atalanta. The visitors boast the league's second-best attack with 47 goals scored. Key injuries impact both sides - Leipzig miss goalkeeper Gulacsi and midfielder Ouedraogo, while Dortmund are without defenders Schlotterbeck and Sule plus midfielder Can. Our expert picks favor the away side based on superior form and attacking prowess, though Leipzig's home advantage could prove decisive. These football tips today suggest backing Dortmund's momentum, with free tips pointing toward an entertaining encounter between two attacking-minded teams.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
RB Leipzig12-4-654.5%
Borussia Dortmund15-6-168.2%
Goals Scored
RB Leipzig42
Borussia Dortmund47
Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig30
Borussia Dortmund20
Goal Difference
RB Leipzig+12
Borussia Dortmund+27

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Analysis

Why is Borussia Dortmund favored despite playing away from home?

Dortmund's exceptional five-match winning streak, superior league position (2nd vs 5th), and impressive away record of six wins from eleven matches make them favorites. Their recent 4-0 victory over Mainz and 2-0 Champions League win against Atalanta demonstrate their current quality and momentum, outweighing Leipzig's home advantage at Red Bull Arena.

How do the injury lists affect this RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

Both teams face significant absences that could influence the outcome. Leipzig miss goalkeeper Gulacsi and key midfielder Ouedraogo, while Dortmund are without defenders Schlotterbeck and Sule plus midfielder Can. These defensive injuries for Dortmund create opportunities for Leipzig's attack, though Dortmund's superior depth and current form still give them the edge.

What makes this fixture particularly important for both teams' season objectives?

This match carries huge implications for European qualification and title aspirations. Dortmund, sitting second with 51 points, need victories to maintain pressure on Bayern Munich and secure Champions League football. Leipzig, fifth with 40 points, require wins to break into the top four and achieve European qualification, making this a crucial six-pointer for their season ambitions.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

RB Leipzig (7)Draws (1)Borussia Dortmund (2)
Oct 4, 25
(H)Borussia Dortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig(A)
D
Mar 15, 25
(H)RB Leipzig2 - 0Borussia Dortmund(A)
H
Nov 2, 24
(H)Borussia Dortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig(A)
H
Apr 27, 24
(H)RB Leipzig4 - 1Borussia Dortmund(A)
H
Dec 9, 23
(H)Borussia Dortmund2 - 3RB Leipzig(A)
A
Apr 5, 23
(H)RB Leipzig2 - 0Borussia Dortmund(A)
H
Mar 3, 23
(H)Borussia Dortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig(A)
H
Sep 10, 22
(H)RB Leipzig3 - 0Borussia Dortmund(A)
H
Apr 2, 22
(H)Borussia Dortmund1 - 4RB Leipzig(A)
A
Nov 6, 21
(H)RB Leipzig2 - 1Borussia Dortmund(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry with Leipzig holding a slight edge. In their last meeting this...

Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry with Leipzig holding a slight edge. In their last meeting this season, the teams drew 1-1 at Signal Iduna Park in October 2025. Leipzig won the previous encounter 2-0 at home in March 2025, demonstrating their effectiveness on home soil against Dortmund. The head-to-head record from the last two years shows Leipzig with one win, one draw, and Dortmund yet to secure victory in their recent meetings, giving the hosts psychological confidence.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

RB Leipzig

13 of 15 in Bundesliga

D
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
D
W
L

Form Rating

5/10

RB Leipzig Form Analysis

Trending

RB Leipzig's recent form presents a mixed picture with inconsistent results across competitions. They managed...

RB Leipzig's recent form presents a mixed picture with inconsistent results across competitions. They managed a 2-2 draw with struggling Wolfsburg in their last league outing, showing resilience but defensive fragility. The 2-0 DFB Pokal defeat to Bayern Munich highlighted their vulnerability against top-tier opposition. However, their earlier victories over Cologne (2-1 away) and Heidenheim (3-0 away) demonstrated their attacking capabilities. At home, Leipzig have been relatively strong with seven wins from eleven matches, though they've conceded concerning goals. Key absences include goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and midfielder Assan Ouedraogo through injury. Benjamin Sesko remains their primary attacking threat, leading their goalscoring efforts this season.

Borussia Dortmund

10 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
D
W
D
D
W
L

Form Rating

7/10

Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Analysis

Borussia Dortmund enters this fixture in outstanding form, riding a five-match winning streak that showcases...

Borussia Dortmund enters this fixture in outstanding form, riding a five-match winning streak that showcases their title credentials. Their recent 4-0 demolition of Mainz demonstrated their attacking prowess, while the 2-0 Champions League victory over Atalanta proved their European pedigree. Away from home, Dortmund have been impressive with six wins from eleven matches, scoring freely throughout. The absence of key defenders Nico Schlotterbeck and Niklas Sule, plus midfielder Emre Can, creates defensive concerns. However, their attacking trio continues to fire, with the team averaging over two goals per game. Karim Adeyemi and Donyell Malen have been instrumental in their recent success, providing pace and clinical finishing.

shieldRB Leipzig5

  • P. Gulacsi profile photo

    P. Gulacsi

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • K. Nedeljkovic profile photo

    K. Nedeljkovic

    Back Injury
    Out
  • S. Sani profile photo

    S. Sani

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • A. Ouedraogo profile photo

    A. Ouedraogo

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • V. Gebel profile photo

    V. Gebel

    Knee Injury
    Out
P. GulacsiRB Leipzig
K. NedeljkovicRB Leipzig
S. SaniRB Leipzig
A. OuedraogoRB Leipzig
V. GebelRB Leipzig

shieldBorussia Dortmund4

  • N. Sule profile photo

    N. Sule

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • E. Can profile photo

    E. Can

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • N. Schlotterbeck profile photo

    N. Schlotterbeck

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • F. Mane profile photo

    F. Mane

    Thigh Injury
    Out
N. SuleBorussia Dortmund
E. CanBorussia Dortmund
N. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund
F. ManeBorussia Dortmund

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.