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Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV11th in Bundesliga (5-7-8)
VS
Union Berlin
Union Berlin9th in Bundesliga (6-7-8)

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin

Saturday, Feb 14, 2026 · --:--

Volksparkstadion

Final
Hamburger SV
3–2
Union Berlin

Hamburger SV won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin prediction favors the home side in this crucial Bundesliga preview. Hamburg sits 11th with 22 points, while Union Berlin occupies 9th with 25 points, making this a vital mid-table clash. Hamburg's recent form shows resilience with a 2-0 victory at Heidenheim and a creditable 2-2 draw against Bayern Munich at home. Their Volksparkstadion advantage could prove decisive, having secured important wins against Stuttgart and Werder Bremen this season. Union Berlin arrives with mixed form, drawing 1-1 with Frankfurt but suffering a heavy 3-1 defeat at Hoffenheim previously. Both teams struggle for consistency, but Hamburg's home record gives them the edge. Key injuries affect both squads - Hamburg miss A. Gronbaek and A.S. Lokonga, while Union are without J. Juranovic and D. Leite. This represents excellent football tips today for backing the home side, with our expert picks suggesting Hamburg can capitalize on their venue advantage to secure three valuable points in their push up the table.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Hamburger SV5-7-825.0%
Union Berlin6-7-828.6%
Goals Scored
Hamburger SV21
Union Berlin26
Goals Conceded
Hamburger SV29
Union Berlin34
Goal Difference
Hamburger SV-8
Union Berlin-8

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin - Match Analysis

Why is Hamburger SV favored despite being lower in the table?

Hamburg's home advantage proves decisive in this prediction. They've secured important victories against Stuttgart and Werder Bremen at the Volksparkstadion this season, while Union Berlin have won just three away games all campaign. Hamburg's recent 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich at home demonstrates their ability to rise to the occasion on familiar territory, making them strong favorites despite their league position.

What alternative bets should I consider for Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?

Draw No Bet: Hamburger SV offers the best alternative market, providing insurance against a draw while backing Hamburg's home strength. Under 2.5 Goals also presents value, given both teams' recent low-scoring encounters and defensive approaches. Both Teams to Score - No could be worth considering, as Union have struggled for goals away from home this season.

How do the injury concerns affect this match prediction?

Both teams face significant absences that could impact the game's flow. Hamburg miss creative midfielder A. Gronbaek and defensive midfielder A.S. Lokonga, potentially affecting their build-up play. Union's defensive injuries to D. Leite and J. Juranovic are more concerning given their already poor away defensive record. These absences favor a cagier encounter, supporting the under goals markets and Hamburg's chances of controlling the game at home.

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Last 3 head-to-head matchups

Hamburger SV (0)Draws (2)Union Berlin (1)
Sep 28, 25
(H)Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburger SV(A)
D
Apr 28, 19
(H)Union Berlin2 - 0Hamburger SV(A)
H
Nov 26, 18
(H)Hamburger SV2 - 2Union Berlin(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters between these sides are limited, with their last Bundesliga meeting ending 0-0 at Union's stadium in September...

Recent head-to-head encounters between these sides are limited, with their last Bundesliga meeting ending 0-0 at Union's stadium in September 2025. Historical records from their 2. Bundesliga days show a competitive rivalry - Union won 2-0 at home in 2019, while Hamburg secured a 2-2 draw at the Volksparkstadion in 2018. The pattern suggests tight contests with few goals, indicating both teams' defensive organization when facing each other.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

Hamburger SV

13 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
D
D
D
L
D
L
W
L
W
L
D
L
W
L

Form Rating

4.3/10

Hamburger SV Form Analysis

Trending

Hamburger SV enters this fixture with encouraging recent displays despite their mid-table position. Their last...

Hamburger SV enters this fixture with encouraging recent displays despite their mid-table position. Their last outing saw them claim a vital 2-0 away victory at struggling Heidenheim, demonstrating improved away form. At home, they've shown character by holding Bayern Munich to a 2-2 draw and defeating both Stuttgart (2-1) and Werder Bremen (3-2) at the Volksparkstadion. However, goalless draws against Gladbach and St. Pauli highlight their occasional lack of cutting edge. The absence of creative midfielder A. Gronbaek through thigh injury could impact their attacking fluidity, while A.S. Lokonga's unavailability weakens their midfield options. Despite these setbacks, Hamburg's home form provides optimism for this encounter.

Union Berlin

13 of 15 in Bundesliga

D
L
L
D
D
D
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
D
D

Form Rating

4.7/10

Union Berlin Form Analysis

Analysis

Union Berlin's recent performances reflect their inconsistent campaign, with just one win in their last...

Union Berlin's recent performances reflect their inconsistent campaign, with just one win in their last five league matches. Their 1-1 draw with Frankfurt showed fighting spirit after falling behind, but the 3-1 defeat at Hoffenheim exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Away from home, Union have struggled significantly, managing only three wins from eleven road trips this season. Their attacking output remains concerning, scoring just 26 goals in 21 league games. The injuries to key defender D. Leite (muscle injury) and right-back J. Juranovic further complicate their defensive setup. While they've shown resilience in big games - holding Bayern to a 2-2 draw earlier this season - their overall away form suggests they'll find it difficult to secure points at the Volksparkstadion.

shieldHamburger SV5

  • A. S. Lokonga profile photo

    A. S. Lokonga

    Injury
    Out
  • J. Dompe profile photo

    J. Dompe

    Coach's decision
    Questionable
  • A. Gronbaek profile photo

    A. Gronbaek

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • A. Rossing-Lelesiit profile photo

    A. Rossing-Lelesiit

    Injury
    Out
  • F. Balde profile photo

    F. Balde

    Injury
    Questionable
A. S. LokongaHamburger SV
J. DompeHamburger SV
A. GronbaekHamburger SV
A. Rossing-LelesiitHamburger SV
F. BaldeHamburger SV

shieldUnion Berlin4

  • D. Leite profile photo

    D. Leite

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • R. Skov profile photo

    R. Skov

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • J. Juranovic profile photo

    J. Juranovic

    Injury
    Out
  • T. Rothe profile photo

    T. Rothe

    Injury
    Out
D. LeiteUnion Berlin
R. SkovUnion Berlin
J. JuranovicUnion Berlin
T. RotheUnion Berlin

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.