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FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 0516th in Bundesliga (4-6-10)
VS
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg11th in Bundesliga (6-4-10)

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg

Saturday, Feb 7, 2026 · --:--

Mewa Arena

Final
FSV Mainz 05
2–0
FC Augsburg

FSV Mainz 05 won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg prediction centers on a crucial relegation battle at the Mewa Arena. This Bundesliga preview highlights two teams fighting for survival, with Mainz sitting 16th (18 points) in the relegation playoff spot and Augsburg just three points above them in 11th. Mainz has shown impressive recent form with back-to-back wins against Leipzig and Wolfsburg, demonstrating their fighting spirit when facing adversity. Their home advantage could prove decisive, having secured vital victories in recent matches at the Mewa Arena. Augsburg arrives with mixed form, showing resilience with a crucial win over St. Pauli but struggling for consistency throughout the campaign. Both teams face significant injury concerns that could impact team selection. Our expert picks favor the home side based on current momentum and the psychological advantage of playing at home in such a critical fixture. These free tips suggest Mainz's recent upturn makes them the value choice in this football tips today encounter.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
FSV Mainz 054-6-1020.0%
FC Augsburg6-4-1030.0%
Goals Scored
FSV Mainz 0523
FC Augsburg24
Goals Conceded
FSV Mainz 0533
FC Augsburg37
Goal Difference
FSV Mainz 05-10
FC Augsburg-13

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg - Match Analysis

Why is Mainz strongly favored despite being in the relegation playoff spot?

Mainz's recent form transformation with consecutive wins over Leipzig and Wolfsburg demonstrates their improved confidence and tactical setup. Their home advantage at the Mewa Arena, combined with their dominant 4-1 head-to-head victory earlier this season, gives them psychological superiority. Augsburg's poor away record of just two wins in nine road trips this season significantly undermines their chances in this crucial encounter.

What alternative bets should I consider for FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' recent scoring patterns and defensive vulnerabilities under relegation pressure. Draw No Bet on Mainz provides insurance while maintaining upside potential. Both Teams to Score appeals strongly, as both sides possess attacking threats but have shown defensive frailties throughout the campaign, making for an open, entertaining encounter.

How do the injury concerns affect both teams' chances?

Mainz faces challenges with goalkeeper Robin Zentner and defender Andreas Hanche-Olsen sidelined, but their squad has shown resilience in recent victories. Augsburg's problems appear more severe with captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw's knee injury weakening their defensive leadership, while Dimitrios Giannoulis's absence removes crucial pace from their attacking transitions. These factors favor Mainz's depth and recent momentum.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

FSV Mainz 05 (6)Draws (1)FC Augsburg (3)
Sep 20, 25
(H)FC Augsburg1 - 4FSV Mainz 05(A)
A
Feb 8, 25
(H)FSV Mainz 050 - 0FC Augsburg(A)
D
Sep 20, 24
(H)FC Augsburg2 - 3FSV Mainz 05(A)
A
Feb 17, 24
(H)FSV Mainz 051 - 0FC Augsburg(A)
H
Sep 23, 23
(H)FC Augsburg2 - 1FSV Mainz 05(A)
H
Feb 11, 23
(H)FSV Mainz 053 - 1FC Augsburg(A)
H
Aug 20, 22
(H)FC Augsburg1 - 2FSV Mainz 05(A)
A
Apr 6, 22
(H)FC Augsburg2 - 1FSV Mainz 05(A)
H
Oct 22, 21
(H)FSV Mainz 054 - 1FC Augsburg(A)
H
Feb 28, 21
(H)FSV Mainz 050 - 1FC Augsburg(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Mainz, who dominated the reverse fixture earlier this season with a commanding 4-1 victory at...

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Mainz, who dominated the reverse fixture earlier this season with a commanding 4-1 victory at Augsburg's WWK Arena. The previous meeting in February 2025 ended goalless, but Mainz has won three of the last five encounters between these sides. This psychological edge, combined with their superior recent record in this fixture, gives the home team confidence heading into this crucial relegation battle.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

FSV Mainz 05

11 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
W
L
W
D
D
W
D
D
L
L
L
D
L
W

Form Rating

5/10

FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Trending

Mainz has transformed their season with back-to-back victories, stunning RB Leipzig 2-1 away before dismantling...

Mainz has transformed their season with back-to-back victories, stunning RB Leipzig 2-1 away before dismantling Wolfsburg 3-1 at home. This represents a dramatic turnaround from their earlier struggles, showing character when it matters most. Their attacking play has improved significantly, scoring five goals in two matches while tightening defensively. Key injuries to goalkeeper Robin Zentner and defender Andreas Hanche-Olsen present challenges, but the squad depth has been tested positively. Jonathan Burkardt has emerged as the focal point in attack, providing the clinical edge needed in relegation battles.

FC Augsburg

14 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
W
D
D
L
D
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
D

Form Rating

4/10

FC Augsburg Form Analysis

Analysis

Augsburg's form remains inconsistent despite a morale-boosting 2-1 home win over St. Pauli in their...

Augsburg's form remains inconsistent despite a morale-boosting 2-1 home win over St. Pauli in their last outing. Prior to that victory, they suffered defeats to Bayern Munich and Borussia Mönchengladbach, highlighting their vulnerability against quality opposition. Their away record has been particularly concerning, managing just two wins in nine road trips this season. Captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw's knee injury compounds their defensive issues, while the absence of Dimitrios Giannoulis removes pace from their attacking transitions. Kristijan Jakic remains doubtful with a calf problem, limiting midfield options.

shieldFSV Mainz 058

  • A. Caci profile photo

    A. Caci

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Leitsch profile photo

    M. Leitsch

    Injury
    Questionable
  • R. Zentner profile photo

    R. Zentner

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • A. Hanche-Olsen profile photo

    A. Hanche-Olsen

    Injury
    Out
  • B. Hollerbach profile photo

    B. Hollerbach

    Injury
    Out
A. CaciFSV Mainz 05
M. LeitschFSV Mainz 05
R. ZentnerFSV Mainz 05
A. Hanche-OlsenFSV Mainz 05
B. HollerbachFSV Mainz 05
S. KawasakiFSV Mainz 05
N. VeratschnigFSV Mainz 05
M. DalFSV Mainz 05

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

shieldFC Augsburg5

  • D. Giannoulis profile photo

    D. Giannoulis

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • K. Jakic profile photo

    K. Jakic

    Calf Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Gouweleeuw profile photo

    J. Gouweleeuw

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • C. Matsima profile photo

    C. Matsima

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • U. Ogundu profile photo

    U. Ogundu

    Inactive
    Out
D. GiannoulisFC Augsburg
K. JakicFC Augsburg
J. GouweleeuwFC Augsburg
C. MatsimaFC Augsburg
U. OgunduFC Augsburg

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.