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FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg13th in Bundesliga (5-4-10)
VS
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli17th in Bundesliga (3-5-11)

FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026 · --:--

WWK Arena

Final
FC Augsburg
2–1
FC St. Pauli

FC Augsburg won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli prediction centers on a crucial relegation battle at the WWK Arena. This Bundesliga preview features two teams desperate for points, with Augsburg (13th, 19 points) hosting St. Pauli (17th, 14 points) in what could prove decisive for survival. Augsburg enters with momentum after their stunning 2-1 victory over Bayern Munich, ending a difficult run that included heavy defeats to Leipzig and Gladbach. St. Pauli arrives with medium fatigue risk after drawing 1-1 with Leipzig just four days ago, though they showed resilience in that performance. The home advantage could prove crucial here, as Augsburg has been more competitive at the WWK Arena this season. Both teams face significant injury concerns - Augsburg missing captain Gouweleeuw and defender Matsima, while St. Pauli lacks key players Hountondji and Metcalfe. Our expert picks favor Augsburg to capitalize on home conditions and superior rest, making this one of today's most compelling football tips today for value-seeking bettors.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 3 head-to-head matchups

FC Augsburg (1)Draws (1)FC St. Pauli (1)
Sep 14, 25
(H)FC St. Pauli2 - 1FC Augsburg(A)
H
Feb 1, 25
(H)FC St. Pauli1 - 1FC Augsburg(A)
D
Sep 15, 24
(H)FC Augsburg3 - 1FC St. Pauli(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry with mixed results. In their last three meetings since 2024, the...

Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry with mixed results. In their last three meetings since 2024, the record stands at one win each and one draw. St. Pauli won 2-1 at home in September 2025, while Augsburg dominated 3-1 at the WWK Arena in September 2024. Their most recent clash at St. Pauli's ground ended 1-1 in February 2025, suggesting these teams are evenly matched when they meet.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

FC Augsburg

13 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
D
D
L
D
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
D

Form Rating

3.7/10

FC Augsburg Form Analysis

Trending

Augsburg's recent form shows dramatic inconsistency but encouraging signs of life. Their last outing produced...

Augsburg's recent form shows dramatic inconsistency but encouraging signs of life. Their last outing produced a memorable 2-1 victory away to Bayern Munich, a result that could provide massive confidence boost. However, this followed concerning defeats including a 4-0 thrashing at Gladbach and a 6-0 home humiliation against Leipzig. At home, they've shown more resilience with draws against Freiburg and Union Berlin, plus victories over Bayer Leverkusen and Hamburg. Key injuries to captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (knee) and defender Chrislain Matsima (muscle) weaken their defensive options. Kristijan Jakic remains questionable with a calf problem. Striker Phillip Tietz has been their main attacking threat this season.

FC St. Pauli

12 of 15 in Bundesliga

D
D
L
L
D
D
W
D
W
L
L
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

3.7/10

FC St. Pauli Form Analysis

Analysis

St. Pauli's form reflects their relegation battle position with just one win in their last...

St. Pauli's form reflects their relegation battle position with just one win in their last ten league matches. Their recent 1-1 draw with Leipzig showed fighting spirit, coming after a goalless Hamburg derby that highlighted their defensive solidity. However, they've struggled for goals and consistency, managing just 17 goals in 19 league games. Away from home, they've been particularly vulnerable with only one away win all season. Critical injuries to defender Aremu Hountondji (ankle) and midfielder Connor Metcalfe (knee) limit their options. Defender David Nemeth is also sidelined with a groin injury. Johannes Eggestein remains their primary goal threat, but service has been inconsistent throughout the campaign.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
FC Augsburg5-4-1026.3%
FC St. Pauli3-5-1115.8%
Goals Scored
FC Augsburg22
FC St. Pauli17
Goals Conceded
FC Augsburg36
FC St. Pauli32

shieldFC Augsburg3

  • K. Jakic profile photo

    K. Jakic

    Calf Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Gouweleeuw profile photo

    J. Gouweleeuw

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • C. Matsima profile photo

    C. Matsima

    Muscle Injury
    Out
K. JakicFC Augsburg
J. GouweleeuwFC Augsburg
C. MatsimaFC Augsburg

shieldFC St. Pauli3

  • C. Metcalfe profile photo

    C. Metcalfe

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • D. Nemeth profile photo

    D. Nemeth

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • A. Hountondji profile photo

    A. Hountondji

    Ankle Injury
    Out
C. MetcalfeFC St. Pauli
D. NemethFC St. Pauli
A. HountondjiFC St. Pauli

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
FC Augsburg-14
FC St. Pauli-15

FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli - Match Analysis

Why is Augsburg favored despite being only slightly higher in the table?

Augsburg's home advantage proves crucial in this relegation battle, especially after their confidence-boosting victory over Bayern Munich. They've had seven days rest compared to St. Pauli's three, and their home form has been significantly better than St. Pauli's away record this season. The psychological impact of beating Bayern cannot be understated for a team fighting relegation.

What alternative bets should I consider for Augsburg vs St. Pauli?

Draw No Bet: Augsburg offers excellent value, protecting against a draw while backing the home advantage. Over 2.5 Goals presents opportunity given both teams' desperation for points. The Asian Handicap Augsburg -0.5 could appeal to those confident in the home win, offering better odds than the straight win market.

How do the injury lists affect this relegation battle?

Both teams face significant absences that could prove decisive. Augsburg miss captain Gouweleeuw and key defender Matsima, weakening their backline. St. Pauli lack defender Hountondji and midfielder Metcalfe, limiting their tactical options. However, Augsburg's superior rest period should help them cope better with these personnel issues in this crucial six-pointer clash.

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