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Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach14th in Bundesliga (5-7-11)
VS
Union Berlin
Union Berlin9th in Bundesliga (7-7-9)

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 · --:--

Borussia-Park

Final
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–0
Union Berlin

Borussia Mönchengladbach won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin prediction centers on a closely contested Bundesliga preview between two mid-table sides. Gladbach sits 14th with 22 points, while Union Berlin occupies 9th with 28 points, creating a five-place gap that favors the visitors. Both teams struggle defensively, conceding 1.70 and 1.61 goals per game respectively, suggesting an open encounter. Gladbach's home form remains problematic with just two wins in 11 matches, while Union's away record shows three wins from 11 trips. Key injuries plague both squads - Gladbach miss striker Tim Kleindienst and creative force Gio Reyna, while Union are without defender Diogo Leite and right-back Josip Juranovic. The bookmaker consensus slightly favors Gladbach at 39.5% despite their lower league position, reflecting home advantage in what appears a coin-flip encounter. With both teams drawing 30% of matches and combining for just 2.39 goals per game, this shapes as a tight affair. Our expert picks lean toward the draw given the narrow margins, while football tips today suggest exploring alternative markets in this evenly-matched contest.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Borussia Mönchengladbach5-7-1121.7%
Union Berlin7-7-930.4%
Goals Scored
Borussia Mönchengladbach26
Union Berlin29
Goals Conceded
Borussia Mönchengladbach39
Union Berlin37
Goal Difference
Borussia Mönchengladbach-13
Union Berlin-8

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin - Match Analysis

Why is the draw the most likely outcome for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin?

Both teams exhibit remarkably similar characteristics that favor a stalemate. They combine for a 30.4% draw rate, well above the Bundesliga average, while their low scoring rates (2.39 combined goals per game) suggest a cagey encounter. Gladbach's home struggles and Union's away difficulties create perfect conditions for a share of points, especially with key players missing from both squads.

What alternative bets should I consider for this Bundesliga match?

The Under 2.5 Goals market offers excellent value given both teams' defensive approaches and low scoring averages. Draw No Bet backing Union Berlin eliminates draw risk while capitalizing on their superior league position. Both Teams to Score 'No' also appeals, as Gladbach have failed to score in 43% of their matches this season, while Union's defensive organization often frustrates opponents.

How do the key injuries affect this prediction?

Gladbach's absences prove more damaging, losing striker Tim Kleindienst (their leading scorer) and creative midfielder Gio Reyna. These losses severely hamper their already limited attacking threat. Union miss defender Diogo Leite and right-back Josip Juranovic, weakening their defensive structure but not eliminating their threat. The injury impact slightly favors Union, though both teams enter significantly weakened.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Borussia Mönchengladbach (4)Draws (2)Union Berlin (4)
Oct 17, 25
(H)Union Berlin3 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach(A)
H
Feb 15, 25
(H)Union Berlin1 - 2Borussia Mönchengladbach(A)
A
Sep 28, 24
(H)Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 0Union Berlin(A)
H
Apr 28, 24
(H)Borussia Monchengladbach0 - 0Union Berlin(A)
D
Dec 9, 23
(H)Union Berlin3 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
H
Apr 23, 23
(H)Borussia Monchengladbach0 - 1Union Berlin(A)
A
Oct 30, 22
(H)Union Berlin2 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
H
Jan 22, 22
(H)Borussia Monchengladbach1 - 2Union Berlin(A)
A
Aug 29, 21
(H)Union Berlin2 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
H
Jan 30, 21
(H)Union Berlin1 - 1Borussia Monchengladbach(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters favor Union Berlin, who have dominated this fixture with four wins from the last six meetings since 2024....

Recent encounters favor Union Berlin, who have dominated this fixture with four wins from the last six meetings since 2024. Most notably, Union secured a commanding 3-1 victory at home in October 2025, showcasing their superiority in this matchup. The reverse fixture last season saw Gladbach win 2-1 away, but Union's overall record demonstrates their ability to consistently trouble their opponents. Goals have been plentiful in recent clashes, with only one goalless draw in their last six encounters.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

Borussia Mönchengladbach

13 of 15 in Bundesliga

L
L
D
D
L
D
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
D
W

Form Rating

3.3/10

Borussia Mönchengladbach Form Analysis

Trending

Borussia Mönchengladbach endure a torrid campaign, managing just five wins from 23 league matches. Their...

Borussia Mönchengladbach endure a torrid campaign, managing just five wins from 23 league matches. Their recent form shows alarming inconsistency - suffering heavy defeats to Freiburg (2-1), Frankfurt (3-0), and Stuttgart (3-0) at home. The Foals score a meager 1.13 goals per game while conceding 1.70, highlighting both attacking impotence and defensive frailty. Home advantage provides little comfort with only two victories at Borussia-Park this season. The absence of striker Tim Kleindienst severely hampers their goal threat, while Gio Reyna's injury removes crucial creativity. Captain Lars Stindl remains their primary attacking outlet, but lacks consistent support. Manager Gerardo Seoane faces mounting pressure as relegation concerns intensify.

Union Berlin

13 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
L
D
L
L
D
D
D
W
W
W
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Union Berlin Form Analysis

Analysis

Union Berlin show greater resilience despite their own struggles, collecting 28 points from 23 matches....

Union Berlin show greater resilience despite their own struggles, collecting 28 points from 23 matches. Their recent form displays typical Union grit - a vital 1-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen followed by a disappointing 3-2 loss at Hamburg. The Iron Ones score 1.26 goals per game while conceding 1.61, marginally better than their hosts. Away form remains problematic with just three wins from 11 trips, but their defensive organization often keeps them competitive. Key absences include center-back Diogo Leite and right-back Josip Juranovic, weakening their defensive structure. Striker Jordan Siebatcheu leads their attack, while midfielder Janik Haberer's fitness remains questionable. Coach Urs Fischer's pragmatic approach typically yields results in tight encounters.

shieldBorussia Mönchengladbach4

  • R. Hack profile photo

    R. Hack

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • N. Ngoumou profile photo

    N. Ngoumou

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • T. Kleindienst profile photo

    T. Kleindienst

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • G. Reyna profile photo

    G. Reyna

    Muscle Injury
    Out
R. HackBorussia Mönchengladbach
N. NgoumouBorussia Mönchengladbach
T. KleindienstBorussia Mönchengladbach
G. ReynaBorussia Mönchengladbach

shieldUnion Berlin6

  • D. Leite profile photo

    D. Leite

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • R. Skov profile photo

    R. Skov

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • J. Juranovic profile photo

    J. Juranovic

    Injury
    Out
  • J. Haberer profile photo

    J. Haberer

    Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Ilic profile photo

    A. Ilic

    Yellow Cards
    Out
D. LeiteUnion Berlin
R. SkovUnion Berlin
J. JuranovicUnion Berlin
J. HabererUnion Berlin
A. IlicUnion Berlin
T. RotheUnion Berlin

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.