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Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund1st in Bundesliga (4-0-0)
VS
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen8th in Bundesliga (2-1-1)

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Friday, Oct 9, 2026 · --:--

Signal Iduna Park

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AI Confidence: 67%
Borussia Dortmund67%Draw 18%Werder Bremen15%

AI Predicted Winner

Borussia Dortmund

67%

#Confidence

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SportsbookBorussia Dortmund✦ AI PickDrawWerder Bremen
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AI Match Analysis

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction: this Bundesliga clash at Signal Iduna Park pits the division's early pacesetter against a mid-table side still searching for defensive stability. Dortmund have won all four league games this season, conceding just twice while scoring nine, and arrive full of confidence after beating Stuttgart and Paderborn in recent weeks.

Werder Bremen have been competitive going forward, winning two of their last three and scoring freely, but their defense has leaked eight goals in four matches, including a 4-1 loss to Freiburg. That imbalance makes them vulnerable against a Dortmund side built on ruthless home form, where they've won both games this term without conceding.

Dortmund do have some squad depth concerns with five players sidelined through injury, but the quality remaining looks more than sufficient against this opponent. Bremen's away form is also a red flag — one win in three on the road this season with five goals conceded.

Expect goals at both ends given Bremen's attacking output, but Dortmund's superior quality and home dominance should see them control this one from the front. A comfortable home win is the most likely outcome, with the scoreline potentially getting out of hand if Bremen's backline struggles again.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Borussia Dortmund4-0-0100.0%
Werder Bremen2-1-150.0%
Goals Scored
Borussia Dortmund9
Werder Bremen8
Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund2
Werder Bremen8
Goal Difference
Borussia Dortmund+7
Werder Bremen0

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Borussia Dortmund (7)Draws (2)Werder Bremen (1)
May 16, 26
(H)Werder Bremen0 - 2Borussia Dortmund(A)
A
Jan 13, 26
(H)Borussia Dortmund3 - 0Werder Bremen(A)
H
Jan 25, 25
(H)Borussia Dortmund2 - 2Werder Bremen(A)
D
Aug 31, 24
(H)Werder Bremen0 - 0Borussia Dortmund(A)
D
Mar 9, 24
(H)Werder Bremen1 - 2Borussia Dortmund(A)
A
Oct 20, 23
(H)Borussia Dortmund1 - 0Werder Bremen(A)
H
Feb 11, 23
(H)Werder Bremen0 - 2Borussia Dortmund(A)
A
Aug 20, 22
(H)Borussia Dortmund2 - 3Werder Bremen(A)
A
Apr 18, 21
(H)Borussia Dortmund4 - 1Werder Bremen(A)
H
Dec 15, 20
(H)Werder Bremen1 - 2Borussia Dortmund(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Dortmund have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since 2024, including a 3-0 home win...

Dortmund have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings since 2024, including a 3-0 home win in January and a 2-0 away win last May. The only blemish was a goalless draw in Bremen back in 2024. Dortmund's attacking edge has been clear in head-to-head matches, scoring freely while keeping Bremen off the scoresheet in two of the last three encounters.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

Borussia Dortmund

6 of 15 in Bundesliga

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W

Form Rating

7.7/10

Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Trending

Dortmund are perfect through four league games, winning every match while conceding only twice and...

Dortmund are perfect through four league games, winning every match while conceding only twice and keeping three clean sheets. Their attack has been devastating, averaging 2.25 goals per game, and their home record this season shows two wins from two without conceding a goal. Injuries to Can, Kaba, Konstantelias, Lerma and Mane thin the squad, but the available quality has still produced ruthless performances. Recent form includes battling wins over Hoffenheim and a Champions League victory against Villarreal, showing composure under pressure. With low fatigue risk and 20 days' rest before this game, Dortmund look primed to continue their flawless start at Signal Iduna Park.

Werder Bremen

8 of 15 in Bundesliga

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Form Rating

5.7/10

Werder Bremen Form Analysis

Analysis

Werder Bremen sit eighth with a mixed record — two wins, a draw and a...

Werder Bremen sit eighth with a mixed record — two wins, a draw and a loss across their last four, scoring eight and conceding eight. Their attack has shown promise, including a 3-1 win over RB Leipzig, but defensive fragility remains a concern after shipping four goals to Freiburg. Away from home this season they've managed just a draw and a loss, failing to win on the road. Six players are missing through injury, further stretching an already stretched squad. Bremen will need a much-improved defensive display to trouble a rampant Dortmund side on their own patch.

shieldBorussia Dortmund5

  • E. Can profile photo

    E. Can

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • G. Konstantelias profile photo

    G. Konstantelias

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Mane profile photo

    F. Mane

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • J. Lerma profile photo

    J. Lerma

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • M. Kaba profile photo

    M. Kaba

    Injury
    Out
E. CanBorussia Dortmund
G. KonstanteliasBorussia Dortmund
F. ManeBorussia Dortmund
J. LermaBorussia Dortmund
M. KabaBorussia Dortmund

shieldWerder Bremen6

  • J. Stage profile photo

    J. Stage

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • F. Agu profile photo

    F. Agu

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • S. Lynen profile photo

    S. Lynen

    Hip Injury
    Out
  • M. N'Diaye profile photo

    M. N'Diaye

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • J. Njinmah profile photo

    J. Njinmah

    Thigh Injury
    Out
J. StageWerder Bremen
F. AguWerder Bremen
S. LynenWerder Bremen
M. N'DiayeWerder Bremen
J. NjinmahWerder Bremen
K. ToppWerder Bremen

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Match Analysis

Why is Borussia Dortmund strongly favored against Werder Bremen?

Dortmund are unbeaten through four Bundesliga games, conceding just twice while scoring nine, and have won both home matches this season without conceding. Bremen, by contrast, have leaked eight goals in four games and haven't won away from home this season. The gap in defensive solidity and home form makes Dortmund clear favorites at Signal Iduna Park.

What alternative bets should I consider for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' attacking output and Bremen's defensive issues, with combined goals per game sitting at 4.25 this season. For bettors wanting reduced risk on the match winner, Dortmund Draw No Bet protects against an unlikely draw while still capturing most of the value from backing the home side.

How does recent form affect this Dortmund vs Bremen prediction?

Dortmund's perfect four-game start, including wins over Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, contrasts sharply with Bremen's inconsistent run featuring a heavy loss to Freiburg. Dortmund's defensive solidity under pressure and attacking consistency make them clear favorites, while Bremen's leaky defense on the road raises serious doubts about their ability to contain this high-powered Dortmund attack.

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