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Signal Iduna Park
Bayer Leverkusen won
Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction centers on a compelling Bundesliga preview featuring two Champions League contenders. Dortmund sits second with 64 points, while Leverkusen occupies sixth with 49 points, creating a significant 15-point gap. The home side has been exceptional this season, winning nineteen of twenty-eight matches with an impressive 2.14 goals per game. Their home fortress at Signal Iduna Park has yielded eleven wins from fourteen matches. Leverkusen arrives in mixed form, drawing three of their last five league matches despite their attacking prowess. Key injuries impact both sides - Dortmund miss Adeyemi (suspension) and Can (knee), while Leverkusen's Terrier remains sidelined. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors the hosts at 48.2% probability, reflecting their superior league position and home advantage. Our expert picks suggest backing Dortmund's quality to shine through, with football tips today pointing toward a home victory in this high-stakes encounter.
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Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent encounters between these sides have produced thrilling contests with goals aplenty. Since 2024, the teams have met four times...
Recent encounters between these sides have produced thrilling contests with goals aplenty. Since 2024, the teams have met four times with Dortmund holding a slight edge. Their most recent league meeting in November 2025 saw Dortmund triumph 2-1 at the BayArena, while Leverkusen gained revenge with a 1-0 DFB Pokal victory at Signal Iduna Park in December. The historical pattern shows high-scoring affairs, with their last five meetings averaging over three goals per game. Dortmund's home record against Leverkusen has been particularly strong.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Bundesliga
Form Rating
7/10
Dortmund enters this fixture in outstanding form, having won four of their last five league...
Dortmund enters this fixture in outstanding form, having won four of their last five league matches. Their recent 2-0 victory at Stuttgart demonstrated their away resilience, while the thrilling 3-2 home win against Hamburg showcased their attacking firepower. Marco Reus continues to orchestrate play brilliantly, supported by the pace of Malen and Bynoe-Gittens. Defensively, they've conceded just 1.0 goals per game this season, with goalkeeper Kobel providing excellent shot-stopping. The absence of Adeyemi through suspension removes pace from their attack, while Can's knee injury weakens their midfield options. However, their home record of eleven wins from fourteen matches speaks to their dominance at Signal Iduna Park. Six days' rest ensures they'll be physically fresh for this crucial encounter.
10 of 15 in Bundesliga
Form Rating
6.3/10
Leverkusen's form has been inconsistent recently, managing just one win in their last five league...
Leverkusen's form has been inconsistent recently, managing just one win in their last five league outings. Their 6-3 victory over Wolfsburg was impressive but highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that have plagued them throughout the campaign. Xabi Alonso's side creates chances prolifically, averaging 2.07 goals per game, but their 1.39 goals conceded per match suggests structural issues. Florian Wirtz remains their creative heartbeat, while Victor Boniface provides the focal point in attack. The absence of Terrier through hamstring injury removes a key attacking option, while several players carry fitness doubts. Their away record of six wins from fourteen matches indicates struggles on the road. Seven days' rest provides adequate recovery time, but their medium fixture congestion with upcoming DFB Pokal commitments could affect focus.
2025/2026 Season









Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Analysis
Dortmund's 15-point league advantage reflects genuine quality difference this season. Their exceptional home record of eleven wins from fourteen matches at Signal Iduna Park, combined with Leverkusen's modest away form (six wins from fourteen), creates a significant advantage. Dortmund's superior defensive record (1.0 vs 1.39 goals conceded per game) and consistent form make them clear favorites despite Leverkusen's attacking threat.
Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking capabilities and their history of high-scoring encounters. Both Teams to Score appeals considering Leverkusen's 2.07 goals per game against Dortmund's occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Draw No Bet on Dortmund provides safer exposure to their quality while eliminating draw risk. The Asian Handicap markets also present opportunities given the clear quality gap.
Dortmund's loss of Adeyemi to suspension removes pace from their attack, while Can's knee injury weakens midfield depth. However, their squad quality can absorb these absences. Leverkusen's problems are more concerning - Terrier's hamstring injury removes a key attacking outlet, while several players carry fitness doubts. The injury situation slightly favors Dortmund, who have better squad depth to cope with absences in this crucial encounter.
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