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Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund2nd in Bundesliga (19-7-2)
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen6th in Bundesliga (14-7-7)

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen

Saturday, Apr 11, 2026 · --:--

Signal Iduna Park

Final
Borussia Dortmund
0–1
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction centers on a compelling Bundesliga preview featuring two Champions League contenders. Dortmund sits second with 64 points, while Leverkusen occupies sixth with 49 points, creating a significant 15-point gap. The home side has been exceptional this season, winning nineteen of twenty-eight matches with an impressive 2.14 goals per game. Their home fortress at Signal Iduna Park has yielded eleven wins from fourteen matches. Leverkusen arrives in mixed form, drawing three of their last five league matches despite their attacking prowess. Key injuries impact both sides - Dortmund miss Adeyemi (suspension) and Can (knee), while Leverkusen's Terrier remains sidelined. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors the hosts at 48.2% probability, reflecting their superior league position and home advantage. Our expert picks suggest backing Dortmund's quality to shine through, with football tips today pointing toward a home victory in this high-stakes encounter.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Borussia Dortmund (5)Draws (2)Bayer Leverkusen (3)
Dec 2, 25
(H)Borussia Dortmund0 - 1Bayer Leverkusen(A)
A
Nov 29, 25
(H)Bayer Leverkusen1 - 2Borussia Dortmund(A)
A
May 11, 25
(H)Bayer Leverkusen2 - 4Borussia Dortmund(A)
A
Jan 10, 25
(H)Borussia Dortmund2 - 3Bayer Leverkusen(A)
A
Apr 21, 24
(H)Borussia Dortmund1 - 1Bayer Leverkusen(A)
D
Dec 3, 23
(H)Bayer Leverkusen1 - 1Borussia Dortmund(A)
D
Jan 29, 23
(H)Bayer Leverkusen0 - 2Borussia Dortmund(A)
A
Aug 6, 22
(H)Borussia Dortmund1 - 0Bayer Leverkusen(A)
H
Feb 6, 22
(H)Borussia Dortmund2 - 5Bayer Leverkusen(A)
A
Sep 11, 21
(H)Bayer Leverkusen3 - 4Borussia Dortmund(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides have produced thrilling contests with goals aplenty. Since 2024, the teams have met four times...

Recent encounters between these sides have produced thrilling contests with goals aplenty. Since 2024, the teams have met four times with Dortmund holding a slight edge. Their most recent league meeting in November 2025 saw Dortmund triumph 2-1 at the BayArena, while Leverkusen gained revenge with a 1-0 DFB Pokal victory at Signal Iduna Park in December. The historical pattern shows high-scoring affairs, with their last five meetings averaging over three goals per game. Dortmund's home record against Leverkusen has been particularly strong.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsBundesliga matches highlighted

Borussia Dortmund

11 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
W
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W

Form Rating

7/10

Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Trending

Dortmund enters this fixture in outstanding form, having won four of their last five league...

Dortmund enters this fixture in outstanding form, having won four of their last five league matches. Their recent 2-0 victory at Stuttgart demonstrated their away resilience, while the thrilling 3-2 home win against Hamburg showcased their attacking firepower. Marco Reus continues to orchestrate play brilliantly, supported by the pace of Malen and Bynoe-Gittens. Defensively, they've conceded just 1.0 goals per game this season, with goalkeeper Kobel providing excellent shot-stopping. The absence of Adeyemi through suspension removes pace from their attack, while Can's knee injury weakens their midfield options. However, their home record of eleven wins from fourteen matches speaks to their dominance at Signal Iduna Park. Six days' rest ensures they'll be physically fresh for this crucial encounter.

Bayer Leverkusen

10 of 15 in Bundesliga

W
D
L
D
D
D
W
D
D
L
W
W
D
W
W

Form Rating

6.3/10

Bayer Leverkusen Form Analysis

Analysis

Leverkusen's form has been inconsistent recently, managing just one win in their last five league...

Leverkusen's form has been inconsistent recently, managing just one win in their last five league outings. Their 6-3 victory over Wolfsburg was impressive but highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that have plagued them throughout the campaign. Xabi Alonso's side creates chances prolifically, averaging 2.07 goals per game, but their 1.39 goals conceded per match suggests structural issues. Florian Wirtz remains their creative heartbeat, while Victor Boniface provides the focal point in attack. The absence of Terrier through hamstring injury removes a key attacking option, while several players carry fitness doubts. Their away record of six wins from fourteen matches indicates struggles on the road. Seven days' rest provides adequate recovery time, but their medium fixture congestion with upcoming DFB Pokal commitments could affect focus.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Borussia Dortmund19-7-267.9%
Bayer Leverkusen14-7-750.0%
Goals Scored
Borussia Dortmund60
Bayer Leverkusen58
Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund28
Bayer Leverkusen39

shieldBorussia Dortmund5

  • F. Nmecha profile photo

    F. Nmecha

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • E. Can profile photo

    E. Can

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • K. Adeyemi profile photo

    K. Adeyemi

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • Y. Couto profile photo

    Y. Couto

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • F. Mane profile photo

    F. Mane

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
F. NmechaBorussia Dortmund
E. CanBorussia Dortmund
K. AdeyemiBorussia Dortmund
Y. CoutoBorussia Dortmund
F. ManeBorussia Dortmund

shieldBayer Leverkusen4

  • M. Terrier profile photo

    M. Terrier

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • Lucas profile photo

    Lucas

    Calf Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Quansah profile photo

    J. Quansah

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
  • Arthur profile photo

    Arthur

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
M. TerrierBayer Leverkusen
LucasBayer Leverkusen
J. QuansahBayer Leverkusen
ArthurBayer Leverkusen

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Borussia Dortmund+32
Bayer Leverkusen+19

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Analysis

Why is Borussia Dortmund strongly favored against Bayer Leverkusen?

Dortmund's 15-point league advantage reflects genuine quality difference this season. Their exceptional home record of eleven wins from fourteen matches at Signal Iduna Park, combined with Leverkusen's modest away form (six wins from fourteen), creates a significant advantage. Dortmund's superior defensive record (1.0 vs 1.39 goals conceded per game) and consistent form make them clear favorites despite Leverkusen's attacking threat.

What alternative bets should I consider for this Bundesliga clash?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking capabilities and their history of high-scoring encounters. Both Teams to Score appeals considering Leverkusen's 2.07 goals per game against Dortmund's occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Draw No Bet on Dortmund provides safer exposure to their quality while eliminating draw risk. The Asian Handicap markets also present opportunities given the clear quality gap.

How do recent injuries affect this Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction?

Dortmund's loss of Adeyemi to suspension removes pace from their attack, while Can's knee injury weakens midfield depth. However, their squad quality can absorb these absences. Leverkusen's problems are more concerning - Terrier's hamstring injury removes a key attacking outlet, while several players carry fitness doubts. The injury situation slightly favors Dortmund, who have better squad depth to cope with absences in this crucial encounter.

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