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Hitachi Energy Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Draw
38%
#Confidence
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Vasteras SK FK host Degerfors IF at Hitachi Energy Arena in this Allsvenskan Round 12 clash, with both sides sitting in the bottom half of the table but separated by four positions and five points.
Vasteras enter on the back of a convincing 3-1 away win over Halmstad, sitting ninth with 15 points. However, their home record is a significant concern — they are yet to win at Hitachi Energy Arena this season, picking up three draws and two losses in five home games. Degerfors arrive in 13th place with just 10 points, having lost their last league outing 0-1 to Malmö. Their away record this season reads one win, two draws, and one loss from four trips — marginally better than their dismal home form.
Vasteras carry four injury absences including M. Diallo, J. Ring, F. Nsabiyumva, and A. Boudah, which limits their attacking options. Degerfors are missing J. Pikkarainen and Z. Salifu. Both teams have had seven days' rest, so fatigue is not a factor.
Despite Vasteras holding the positional and PPG advantage, their inability to win at home makes this a genuinely open contest. The combined draw rate of 31.9% and Degerfors' tendency to draw frequently (36.4% draw rate) point toward a tight, low-scoring affair. A home win is the slight favourite, but a draw remains a very live outcome.
Moderate
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2026 Season
Last 9 head-to-head matchups
Head-to-head records from the last two years are limited to friendly matches only. In February 2026, Degerfors won 1-0 at...
Head-to-head records from the last two years are limited to friendly matches only. In February 2026, Degerfors won 1-0 at Vasteras' ground, and in March 2025, Vasteras won 1-0 when visiting Degerfors in another friendly. A July 2024 friendly also ended in a 3-1 Vasteras win. All recent meetings have been pre-season friendlies, so competitive head-to-head data between these sides is absent from the past two years — limiting the predictive value of this record.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5.3/10
Vasteras have been inconsistent across the season, winning four and losing four of eleven league...
Vasteras have been inconsistent across the season, winning four and losing four of eleven league games. Their most recent league result was a strong 3-1 away victory at Halmstad, suggesting some attacking momentum. However, their home form is the real concern — zero wins in five home matches, with three draws and two defeats. They concede heavily at Hitachi Energy Arena, shipping 12 goals in five home games. Four players are currently unavailable through injury or inactivity, which could further blunt their attacking edge in this fixture.
11 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
4.3/10
Degerfors have struggled for consistency, winning just two of eleven league games and sitting 13th...
Degerfors have struggled for consistency, winning just two of eleven league games and sitting 13th with 10 points. Their most recent league match ended in a 0-1 home defeat to Malmö. Positively, their away record this season is more competitive than their home form — one win, two draws, and one loss from four away trips. They score just 1.09 goals per game on average and have failed to score in three league outings. Z. Salifu and J. Pikkarainen are both unavailable, limiting their attacking options further.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF - Match Analysis
Vasteras have not won a single home game this season — three draws and two defeats in five matches at Hitachi Energy Arena. They've conceded 12 goals at home, including a 4-5 loss to Göteborg and a 0-1 defeat to Gais. Despite being the higher-ranked side, their inability to convert home advantage into points is a genuine red flag and a key reason this prediction carries low confidence rather than a straightforward home win call.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out as the top alternative market. The combined goals-per-game rate of 2.91 and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities support goals in this fixture. Draw No Bet on Vasteras is also worth considering — it backs the higher-ranked side while protecting against the draw risk that Degerfors' 36.4% draw rate creates. Both markets offer better risk-adjusted value than a straight home win bet given the context.
Both clubs are in the bottom half and need points to move clear of the relegation zone. Degerfors sit 13th with 10 points, just four above the bottom two, making every point critical. Vasteras are ninth with 15 points — comfortable for now but a loss could see them dragged closer to danger. A win for either side would provide a meaningful buffer, giving this mid-season clash genuine importance for both sets of supporters.
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