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Studenternas IP
Draw
Sirius head into this Allsvenskan clash on July 3rd as clear favorites, and for good reason. Sitting top of the table with 28 points from an unbeaten run of nine wins and one draw, they have been the standout side in Swedish football this season.
Mjallby arrive in Uppsala carrying notable squad concerns that further tilt the balance. Mohamed Soumah is suspended, Noel Milleskog remains sidelined until mid-July, and both Hugo Andersson Mella and Joakim Persson are listed as doubtful. That is a meaningful cluster of absences across their attacking and midfield options, limiting their ability to hurt Sirius on the counter.
Sirius also hold a strong home advantage, and bookmakers reflect that reality with consensus odds pointing to roughly a 56% implied probability of a home win. Our model aligns closely with that assessment, placing Sirius at 54% to take all three points, with a draw at 24% and a Mjallby win at just 22%.
For those looking at the match from a wagering angle, the home win market offers a reasonable value proposition given Sirius's league form and Mjallby's depleted squad. A draw cannot be entirely dismissed given the medium confidence rating, but the weight of evidence points firmly toward Sirius extending their impressive unbeaten run at home.
2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Looking only at meetings within the last two years, Sirius and Mjallby have met twice in Allsvenskan. In July 2025,...
Looking only at meetings within the last two years, Sirius and Mjallby have met twice in Allsvenskan. In July 2025, Mjallby won 2-1 at home, and in July 2025 Sirius hosted the return fixture, also losing 1-2. Both recent encounters went to Mjallby, which is a notable caution flag despite Sirius's dominant current form. However, those results came before Sirius's extraordinary 2026 campaign, and the current quality gap between the sides is substantially wider than it was twelve months ago.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
8/10
Sirius have been sensational in 2026, winning nine of ten Allsvenskan matches and dropping points...
Sirius have been sensational in 2026, winning nine of ten Allsvenskan matches and dropping points only once — a draw at BK Hacken. Their home form is flawless: five wins from five, scoring 13 and conceding just four. They have scored in every league game this season, averaging 2.7 goals per match. The attacking output is elite for Allsvenskan, and their defensive structure has held firm in most outings. Absences of Soumah (suspension) and Milleskog (shoulder) are notable, with Ljungberg and Persson also doubts, meaning the coaching staff must manage squad depth carefully.
10 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5.3/10
Mjallby's season has been inconsistent — four wins, three draws, and three losses across ten...
Mjallby's season has been inconsistent — four wins, three draws, and three losses across ten league games. Their most recent Allsvenskan outings produced back-to-back draws, and a pre-match friendly defeat to FC Copenhagen suggests they are not at peak sharpness heading into this trip. Away from home, however, Mjallby have been surprisingly solid, collecting eleven points from six road fixtures with two wins and three draws. They have kept three clean sheets this season and concede just 1.1 goals per game, meaning they are capable of frustrating opponents. Scoring has been the bigger issue, with four games failing to find the net.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Sirius vs Mjallby AIF - Match Analysis
Sirius are the best team in Allsvenskan by a considerable margin — nine wins from ten league games, a perfect home record, and 28 points from a possible 30. They sit 13 points above Mjallby and average 2.7 goals per game at home. Mjallby have been inconsistent, losing three league matches and drawing their last two. The quality gap is significant, and Sirius's home fortress at Studenternas IP makes them the clear favorite despite some injury concerns.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out as the top alternative market. Sirius have scored in every Allsvenskan game this season and average 2.7 goals per match, while the combined goals-per-game rate of 4.1 is among the highest in the league. Mjallby have also shown attacking intent away from home, scoring nine goals in six road games. Draw No Bet: Sirius is a safer option for those wary of the H2H record, offering protection if the match ends level.
It is worth noting that Mjallby won both meetings between these sides in 2025, suggesting they have historically matched up well against Sirius. However, the 2026 version of Sirius is a different proposition entirely — unbeaten in the league, dominant at home, and operating at a level well above their 2025 form. Mjallby's away resilience keeps the upset probability non-trivial at around 20%, but replicating those 2025 results against this Sirius side would be a genuine shock.
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