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Sirius
Sirius1st in Allsvenskan (17-3-3)
VS
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg4th in Allsvenskan (10-7-5)

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg

Sunday, Oct 18, 2026 · --:--

Studenternas IP

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AI Confidence: 61%
Sirius61%Draw 19%IF Elfsborg20%

AI Predicted Winner

Sirius

61%

#Confidence

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SportsbookSirius✦ AI PickDrawIF Elfsborg
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AI Match Analysis

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg prediction: the Allsvenskan leaders host a side that simply cannot keep pace with their home form. Sirius sit top with 54 points from 23 games and boast a staggering 10-1-1 away record this season, but it's their home numbers that matter here — seven wins, two draws, just two losses at Studenternas IP.

Elfsborg have been solid but unspectacular, sitting fourth with 37 points and a points-per-game mark nearly a full point behind the leaders. Their away form (4-4-3) shows they can be got at on the road, and they've failed to beat Sirius in either meeting this season.

Sirius have scored 2.3 goals per game at home and own a +25 goal difference overall, while Elfsborg's attack has been their weak point, managing only 1.41 per game. Recent head-to-head meetings this year both went Sirius's way, including a 3-1 win in Boras back in July.

With a combined 3.71 goals per game across these sides and Sirius riding genuine title-chasing form, expect goals and a home win. The draw rate between these two has been low in recent meetings, reinforcing a decisive result. Sirius should see this out comfortably against a team short on away firepower this term.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Sirius17-3-373.9%
IF Elfsborg10-7-545.5%
Goals Scored
Sirius53
IF Elfsborg31
Goals Conceded
Sirius28
IF Elfsborg22
Goal Difference
Sirius+25
IF Elfsborg+9

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Sirius (5)IF Elfsborg (5)
Jul 19, 26
(H)IF Elfsborg1 - 3Sirius(A)
A
Mar 8, 26
(H)IF Elfsborg1 - 2Sirius(A)
A
Oct 26, 25
(H)Sirius4 - 0IF Elfsborg(A)
H
Apr 23, 25
(H)IF Elfsborg4 - 3Sirius(A)
H
Oct 6, 24
(H)Sirius4 - 1IF Elfsborg(A)
H
Apr 29, 24
(H)IF Elfsborg2 - 0Sirius(A)
H
Aug 6, 23
(H)IF Elfsborg1 - 0Sirius(A)
H
May 8, 23
(H)Sirius3 - 4IF Elfsborg(A)
A
Sep 18, 22
(H)IF Elfsborg3 - 0Sirius(A)
H
May 14, 22
(H)Sirius2 - 0IF Elfsborg(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These sides have met four times since late 2024, with Sirius winning three. The most lopsided result came in October...

These sides have met four times since late 2024, with Sirius winning three. The most lopsided result came in October 2025 when Sirius thrashed Elfsborg 4-0 at Studenternas IP. Elfsborg's only win in this stretch came away from home in April 2025. Earlier this season, Sirius beat Elfsborg both in the league (3-1) and in the Svenska Cupen (2-1), both played in Boras. The pattern favors Sirius heavily, especially on home soil.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted

Sirius

13 of 15 in Allsvenskan

W
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
W
D

Form Rating

7/10

Sirius Form Analysis

Trending

Sirius have been nearly unstoppable, winning 17 of 23 league games and sitting top of...

Sirius have been nearly unstoppable, winning 17 of 23 league games and sitting top of Allsvenskan with a +25 goal difference. Their recent form shows four straight wins before a draw, including a 1-0 win at Gais. At home they've won seven of eleven, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Thigh injury concerns over O. Liimatta and a suspension for M. Lindberg are minor setbacks given squad depth. Their attack has been relentless, scoring four goals in two of their last six outings, and they'll look to continue that rhythm against a team they've already beaten twice this season.

IF Elfsborg

12 of 15 in Allsvenskan

L
W
W
L
W
D
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
D
D

Form Rating

5.7/10

IF Elfsborg Form Analysis

Analysis

Elfsborg have been steady rather than spectacular, winning 10 of 22 with a healthy draw...

Elfsborg have been steady rather than spectacular, winning 10 of 22 with a healthy draw rate of nearly 32%. Their recent form includes a win over Djurgardens and a narrow victory against Kalmar, but also a loss to Brommapojkarna. Away from home they're a modest 4-4-3, conceding 13 goals in 11 matches. Multiple players are listed as unavailable, including Rohden with a muscle injury, which thins their options against a dominant home side. Their defense has generally held up, but their attack lacks the firepower to trouble a Sirius side scoring freely at Studenternas IP.

shieldSirius2

  • M. Lindberg profile photo

    M. Lindberg

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • O. Liimatta profile photo

    O. Liimatta

    Thigh Injury
    Out
M. LindbergSirius
O. LiimattaSirius

shieldIF Elfsborg4

  • M. Rohden profile photo

    M. Rohden

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • P. Frick profile photo

    P. Frick

    Inactive
    Out
  • L. Hagg profile photo

    L. Hagg

    Inactive
    Out
  • S. Holmen profile photo

    S. Holmen

    Inactive
    Out
M. RohdenIF Elfsborg
P. FrickIF Elfsborg
L. HaggIF Elfsborg
S. HolmenIF Elfsborg

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg - Match Analysis

Why is Sirius strongly favored against IF Elfsborg?

Sirius lead Allsvenskan with 54 points and boast one of the league's best home records, winning seven of eleven at Studenternas IP. Their points-per-game advantage of 0.67 over Elfsborg, combined with a stronger attack and two prior wins over this exact opponent this season, make them clear favorites for this matchup.

What alternative bets should I consider for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

Draw No Bet: Sirius is a strong alternative given their dominance and the low 22.4% combined draw rate between these sides. Over 2.5 Goals also stands out with a combined 3.71 goals per game this season. Both markets capture value while reducing exposure to an unlikely draw outcome.

How does recent form affect the Sirius vs Elfsborg prediction?

Sirius have won four of their last five matches and sit top of the table, while Elfsborg's form has been more mixed with wins and losses interspersed. Sirius's consistency, especially at home, combined with two head-to-head wins over Elfsborg already this season, strongly supports backing the home side again here.

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