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Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS15th in Allsvenskan (3-6-13)
VS
Gais
Gais10th in Allsvenskan (8-6-9)

Orgryte IS vs Gais

Sunday, Oct 18, 2026 · --:--

Gamla Ullevi

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AI Confidence: 47%
Orgryte IS24%Draw 29%Gais47%

AI Predicted Winner

Gais

47%

#Confidence

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SportsbookOrgryte ISDrawGais✦ AI Pick
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AI Match Analysis

Orgryte IS vs Gais prediction: this Gothenburg derby at Gamla Ullevi pits a struggling relegation-zone side against a steadier mid-table outfit. Orgryte sit 15th with just 15 points from 22 games, conceding at an alarming 2.23 goals per game, and head into this fixture on a poor run with only one draw in their last five league outings.

Gais arrive in better shape, sitting 10th with 30 points and a +7 goal difference built on defensive solidity—10 clean sheets in 23 matches and just 0.91 goals conceded per game. However, their away form has been inconsistent, winning only three of eleven on the road, and they were beaten 1-0 by Sirius in their last outing.

The head-to-head picture over the last two years heavily favors the away side, with Gais winning the most recent meeting 4-0 in May 2026. Orgryte's home form (1 win, 6 draws, 4 losses) suggests they're difficult to beat outright but rarely win, which keeps the draw live.

Given Orgryte's leaky defense at home and Gais's superior points-per-game and defensive record, the away side holds a clear statistical edge. Still, Orgryte's tendency to draw at home tempers confidence in a straightforward Gais win, making this a competitive clash with goals likely at both ends.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Orgryte IS3-6-1313.6%
Gais8-6-934.8%
Goals Scored
Orgryte IS25
Gais28
Goals Conceded
Orgryte IS49
Gais21
Goal Difference
Orgryte IS-24
Gais+7

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Orgryte IS (3)Draws (2)Gais (5)
May 3, 26
(H)Gais4 - 0Orgryte IS(A)
H
Mar 3, 24
(H)Gais3 - 0Orgryte IS(A)
H
Sep 28, 23
(H)Orgryte IS1 - 4Gais(A)
A
Jun 1, 23
(H)Gais0 - 1Orgryte IS(A)
A
Sep 29, 21
(H)Gais2 - 1Orgryte IS(A)
H
Aug 3, 21
(H)Orgryte IS1 - 0Gais(A)
H
Sep 28, 20
(H)Orgryte IS0 - 2Gais(A)
A
Aug 22, 20
(H)Gais0 - 0Orgryte IS(A)
D
Sep 24, 19
(H)Gais0 - 0Orgryte IS(A)
D
Jun 17, 19
(H)Orgryte IS1 - 0Gais(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The two Gothenburg rivals have met several times recently, with Gais dominating the head-to-head in the last two years. Their...

The two Gothenburg rivals have met several times recently, with Gais dominating the head-to-head in the last two years. Their most recent meeting in May 2026 saw Gais thrash Orgryte 4-0, continuing a pattern of away teams winning in this fixture historically. Orgryte have struggled to find consistency against their local rivals, and with their current defensive issues, history favors Gais heading into this latest derby.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted

Orgryte IS

13 of 15 in Allsvenskan

L
L
D
L
W
D
L
L
W
L
D
W
L
L
D

Form Rating

3.3/10

Orgryte IS Form Analysis

Trending

Orgryte sit second-from-bottom with only three wins all season and a league-worst defensive record conceding...

Orgryte sit second-from-bottom with only three wins all season and a league-worst defensive record conceding 2.23 goals per game. Their recent form shows just one win in their last five, including heavy defeats to Malmo FF and AIK Stockholm. At home they're more stubborn, picking up six draws in eleven games, but have managed only one home win all season. Multiple injuries compound their problems, with five players sidelined including defensive pieces like W. Svensson and V. Ekblom. Relegation pressure is mounting, and confidence looks fragile after conceding 49 goals in 22 matches—a concerning number for any side fighting to stay up.

Gais

12 of 15 in Allsvenskan

L
W
L
D
W
W
L
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
D

Form Rating

5/10

Gais Form Analysis

Analysis

Gais have been inconsistent but solid defensively, sitting 10th with 30 points and the division's...

Gais have been inconsistent but solid defensively, sitting 10th with 30 points and the division's joint-best defensive record at 0.91 goals conceded per game. Their recent form includes a 3-0 win over Mjallby and a battling draw with BK Hacken, though they were edged 1-0 by league leaders Sirius most recently. Away form is a concern with just three wins in eleven, but their defensive discipline travels well. Several squad absences due to illness and injury could test squad depth, but their underlying numbers—10 clean sheets in 23 games—suggest they remain difficult to break down even without full strength.

shieldOrgryte IS5

  • R. Alm profile photo

    R. Alm

    Injury
    Out
  • J. Tibbling profile photo

    J. Tibbling

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • W. Svensson profile photo

    W. Svensson

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • V. Ekblom profile photo

    V. Ekblom

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • A. Abukar profile photo

    A. Abukar

    Knee Injury
    Out
R. AlmOrgryte IS
J. TibblingOrgryte IS
W. SvenssonOrgryte IS
V. EkblomOrgryte IS
A. AbukarOrgryte IS

shieldGais7

  • D. Collander profile photo

    D. Collander

    Inactive
    Out
  • K. Holmen profile photo

    K. Holmen

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • G. Lundgren profile photo

    G. Lundgren

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • W. Milovanovic profile photo

    W. Milovanovic

    Illness
    Out
  • R. Thorkelsson profile photo

    R. Thorkelsson

    Knee Injury
    Out
D. CollanderGais
K. HolmenGais
G. LundgrenGais
W. MilovanovicGais
R. ThorkelssonGais
M. BawaGais
B. AsumangGais

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Orgryte IS vs Gais - Match Analysis

Why are Gais favored over Orgryte IS despite being the away team?

Gais sit five places and 0.62 points-per-game above Orgryte, with a far superior defensive record conceding under one goal per game compared to Orgryte's 2.23. Orgryte are mired in the relegation zone with just three wins all season and five first-team players missing through injury, while Gais also hold a dominant recent head-to-head record, including a 4-0 win in their last meeting.

Why might Orgryte IS cause an upset at home against Gais?

Orgryte have been stubborn at Gamla Ullevi, picking up six draws in eleven home matches this season, showing they can avoid defeat even when outclassed. Gais have also struggled on the road, winning just three of eleven away games, and arrive off a 1-0 loss to Sirius. If Orgryte's defense holds firm for once, a draw or even a narrow home win isn't out of the question.

What alternative bets should I consider for Orgryte IS vs Gais?

Draw No Bet on Gais offers protection against Orgryte's frequent home draws while still capturing the away side's quality edge. Under 2.5 goals also appeals given Gais's strong defensive record and Orgryte's tendency to struggle scoring, having been blanked seven times this season. Both markets offer better risk-adjusted value than a straight moneyline bet on either side.

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