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Strandvallen
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AI Predicted Winner
Draw
36%
#Confidence
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Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg prediction: this Allsvenskan clash at Strandvallen pits two mid-table sides with strikingly similar profiles against each other. Mjallby sit tenth on 17 points, while Elfsborg are three places and four points better off in seventh, though the gap in points per game is modest at just 0.19.
Mjallby arrive with a mixed run, drawing four of their last five outings across competitions, including a goalless Champions League qualifier and a 4-4 thriller against Sirius. Elfsborg have been similarly streaky, alternating losses and draws before a much-needed 2-1 win at Malmo FF in their last league outing.
Both teams have shown they can concede — Mjallby's defense has leaked 19 goals in 14 games, Elfsborg 18 in 15 — while neither attack is prolific enough to dominate matches outright. That combination of shaky defending and moderate firepower points toward goals being shared.
With a combined draw rate near 38% between these sides this season and the reverse fixture in May ending 1-1, the data suggests this is a genuine coin-flip. Elfsborg's slightly better points-per-game and away record give them a marginal edge, but Mjallby's home form and recent scoring output keep this tight. Expect a close, goal-involved draw as the most probable and best-value outcome here.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
Moderate
2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two sides have met four times since mid-2024, with Elfsborg unbeaten in that span — two draws and two...
The two sides have met four times since mid-2024, with Elfsborg unbeaten in that span — two draws and two wins, including a 3-1 away victory in July 2024. Their only 2026 meeting ended 1-1 in Boras. Mjallby haven't beaten Elfsborg since October 2025, when they won 2-0 at home. The pattern points to tight, competitive matches with draws a recurring theme, reinforcing the likelihood of another closely fought contest at Strandvallen.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5/10
Mjallby have won just once in their last eight matches across all competitions, drawing five...
Mjallby have won just once in their last eight matches across all competitions, drawing five of those, including back-to-back stalemates against Vasteras and Lincoln Red Imps. Their home record this season is modest — two wins, one draw, three losses from six games — though they did put four past Malmo away from home in May. Goals have flowed at both ends, with 20 scored and 19 conceded in the league, reflecting a leaky but functional attack. No fresh injury concerns are listed heading into this one, and their attacking spark from the Malmo and Sirius draws suggests they can trouble Elfsborg if given space in behind.
14 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5/10
IF Elfsborg snapped a three-match winless run with a 2-1 victory at Malmo FF, their...
IF Elfsborg snapped a three-match winless run with a 2-1 victory at Malmo FF, their first win since late April. Draws have defined their season, with six stalemates in 15 league games, the joint-highest draw rate in this fixture. Their away form is balanced — two wins, three draws, two losses — and they've conceded 1.2 goals per game on average, marginally tighter than Mjallby. Forward Frick remains sidelined with a broken ankle, a blow to their attacking options, but the recent win at Malmo shows resilience even without him. Elfsborg's steadier points-per-game gives them a slight statistical edge over their hosts.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg - Match Analysis
Both teams have posted similar points-per-game totals this season, and their combined draw rate sits near 38%, among the highest in this matchup dataset. Mjallby have drawn five of their last eight games, while Elfsborg have six league draws already. Their only 2026 meeting also ended level. With no major quality gap and both defenses prone to lapses, a draw represents the most balanced and statistically supported outcome.
Draw No Bet on Elfsborg is a sound hedge, reflecting their slightly better points-per-game record while protecting against a stalemate. Over 2.5 Goals also stands out, given a combined 2.76 goals-per-game average and shaky defensive numbers from both sides this season. These alternative markets offer flexibility for bettors wary of backing an outright winner in such a tightly contested fixture.
Neither team arrives in dominant form — Mjallby have one win in eight games, while Elfsborg only just ended a winless run with victory over Malmo. Both sides have leaned heavily on draws recently, which supports the case for another shared points result. Elfsborg's slightly sharper away form and defensive numbers give them a marginal edge, but the overall picture favors caution over conviction for either side.
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