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AI Predicted Winner
Hammarby FF
49%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Kalmar FF | Draw | Hammarby FF✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
DafabetBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
888Sport | |||
| Best Odds |
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Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF prediction: this Allsvenskan clash pits a struggling mid-table home side against the league's second-placed challenger. Kalmar sit tenth with 18 points, but their home form is actually solid—five wins from eight at their own ground—while their away record is dismal with zero wins in seven.
Hammarby arrive in excellent shape, sitting second with 27 points and a +18 goal difference built on 2.2 goals scored per game. Their away form shows two wins, two draws and three losses in seven, slightly inconsistent despite the strong overall numbers, and fatigue from European commitments (Conference League qualifying) could be a factor given their tighter turnaround.
Kalmar's only real injury concern is V. Larsson, while Hammarby are without S. Kone through a knee injury. Neither absence looks decisive, but Hammarby's attacking depth gives them more cushion.
The key numbers favor the visitors clearly: an 8-place gap, a 0.60 points-per-game advantage, and nearly a goal-per-game edge in attack. Kalmar's home strength offers some resistance, but Hammarby's superior quality across the board—especially defensively, conceding just 1.0 per game—should be enough to see them through. Expect a competitive alternative-market look at goals given both attacks are finding the net, but the win probability leans firmly toward Hammarby.
Moderate
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The most recent meeting came on 2026-07-12, a 2-0 Hammarby win in Stockholm. Going back through 2024 and 2025, Hammarby...
The most recent meeting came on 2026-07-12, a 2-0 Hammarby win in Stockholm. Going back through 2024 and 2025, Hammarby have dominated this fixture, winning comfortably in Svenska Cupen and league play, including a 4-1 away win at Kalmar in August 2024. There's no recent Kalmar win over Hammarby in the sample from the last two years, reinforcing the pattern of away-team success in this rivalry heading into Saturday's fixture.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
13 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5.7/10
Kalmar have won five, drawn three and lost seven from fifteen games, sitting tenth with...
Kalmar have won five, drawn three and lost seven from fifteen games, sitting tenth with a negative goal difference. Their home form is genuinely strong at five wins, two draws and one loss from eight matches, but their away form has been dreadful with zero wins in seven. Recent results are mixed—a draw at Hacken, a win over Mjallby, but a home loss to Hammarby back in July. V. Larsson is missing through injury, thinning their attacking options. Given they're hosting, their home resilience is the main reason this won't be one-sided, but their overall defensive record (1.4 conceded per game) leaves them vulnerable against a clinical Hammarby attack.
10 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5.3/10
Hammarby have won eight, drawn three and lost four from fifteen games, sitting second with...
Hammarby have won eight, drawn three and lost four from fifteen games, sitting second with an impressive +18 goal difference. They've scored 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.0, reflecting both attacking quality and defensive discipline. Recent form shows draws against Hacken and Rakow Częstochowa, plus a Europa League defeat to Anderlecht, suggesting some fatigue from continental football. S. Kone is out with a knee injury. Their away record away from home is decent but not dominant at two wins, two draws and three losses from seven. Still, their squad depth and superior overall quality make them the clear form team entering this fixture.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF - Match Analysis
Hammarby sit second in Allsvenskan with a +18 goal difference and a 0.60 points-per-game advantage over Kalmar. Their attack averages 2.2 goals per game compared to Kalmar's 1.27, and they've already beaten Kalmar 2-0 in their most recent meeting. Despite Kalmar's solid home form, Hammarby's overall quality and consistency make them the logical pick even away from home.
Kalmar have won five of eight home matches this season, showing they're a different team on home soil compared to their winless away record. If Hammarby's squad shows fatigue from recent European qualifying matches, Kalmar's home comfort could translate into a tighter contest or even a shock result, particularly if they capitalize on set pieces or counter-attacks early.
Over 2.5 Goals looks appealing given both teams' attacking output and combined goals per game near 3.5. Draw No Bet: Hammarby is another sensible option, protecting against a draw while still backing the higher-quality side. Both markets offer better risk-adjusted value than a straight moneyline bet given Kalmar's home strength.
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