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AI Predicted Winner
Sirius
51%
#Confidence
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IF Elfsborg vs Sirius prediction lands as one of the most compelling Allsvenskan fixtures of the round, pitting fourth-placed Elfsborg against the runaway league leaders.
Sirius arrive in extraordinary form, unbeaten in all 11 league matches and sitting nine points clear of second place with a points-per-game rate of 2.64. Their attacking output — nearly three goals per game — is the most potent in the division. Elfsborg, by contrast, have drawn six of their twelve matches and have scored just 1.42 goals per game, though they have not been shut out all season.
Elfsborg carry injury concerns into this match, with P. Frick (broken ankle) and L. Richtner (elbow) both missing. Sirius also have absentees including N. Milleskog (shoulder) and J. Persson (thigh), but their squad depth has been sufficient to maintain their dominant run. Both sides are well-rested, with Elfsborg having 13 days off and Sirius 15 days since their last fixture.
Despite home advantage, the quality gap here is substantial. Sirius's 1.14 points-per-game superiority and their unbeaten away record — four wins and one draw from five road trips — make them genuine favourites. The prediction favours a Sirius win, though Elfsborg's draw-heavy profile and home support could keep this competitive.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
High
2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
From the last two years of head-to-head meetings, Sirius have the upper hand. In a Svenska Cupen clash in March...
From the last two years of head-to-head meetings, Sirius have the upper hand. In a Svenska Cupen clash in March 2026, Sirius won 2-1 at Elfsborg's ground. In October 2025, Sirius thrashed Elfsborg 4-0 on home soil. Going back to April 2025, Elfsborg won 4-3 at home in a high-scoring encounter. The recent trend clearly favours Sirius, who have won two of the last three meetings, including a dominant away victory.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
6.3/10
Elfsborg have been the draw specialists of Allsvenskan, sharing points in six of twelve matches....
Elfsborg have been the draw specialists of Allsvenskan, sharing points in six of twelve matches. Their last league outing ended in a 2-1 home defeat to Hammarby, snapping a run of five consecutive draws. At home specifically, they have won three, drawn three, and lost just once in seven matches — a solid defensive base, conceding only six home goals. However, their attack has been muted, averaging 1.42 goals per game overall. The absences of Frick and Richtner add further concern to their creative output heading into this difficult fixture.
11 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
7.7/10
Sirius have been the story of Allsvenskan 2026. Unbeaten in eleven league games, they have...
Sirius have been the story of Allsvenskan 2026. Unbeaten in eleven league games, they have won nine and drawn two, scoring 31 goals at an average of 2.82 per match. Their away form is equally impressive — four wins and one draw from five road trips, conceding just six goals on the road. Their most recent league result was a wild 4-4 draw with Mjallby, suggesting their defence can be breached, but their attacking firepower consistently compensates. Milleskog and Persson are absent through injury, but the squad has shown remarkable depth throughout the campaign.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
IF Elfsborg vs Sirius - Match Analysis
Sirius's dominance this season transcends home advantage. They are unbeaten in all eleven league matches, averaging 2.82 goals per game, and have won four of five away fixtures. Their points-per-game rate of 2.64 dwarfs Elfsborg's 1.50. When a team is this far ahead in quality and form, the 7% home advantage boost is insufficient to overcome the gap. Sirius are simply the best team in Allsvenskan by a considerable margin.
Draw No Bet on Sirius is the top alternative pick, offering protection if Elfsborg's draw tendency materialises while still backing the superior side. Over 2.5 Goals is also compelling — both teams have failed to score in zero matches this season, and the combined average exceeds four goals per game. Both Teams to Score is another viable option, given Elfsborg's consistent scoring record and Sirius's occasional defensive lapses, as seen in their recent 4-4 draw.
Elfsborg are already struggling offensively, averaging just 1.42 goals per game — well below Sirius's output. Losing Frick to a broken ankle and Richtner to an elbow injury compounds that problem. With creative resources depleted, Elfsborg will find it harder to generate the chances needed to trouble Sirius's defence. While they have not been shut out all season, this is their toughest test, and the absentees make a low-scoring Elfsborg performance more likely.
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