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Borås Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
IF Elfsborg
58%
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IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF prediction: this Allsvenskan clash at Borås Arena pits a fifth-placed side unbeaten in five against a struggling Kalmar team just outside the relegation playoff zone.
Elfsborg have been excellent domestically, winning four of their last five league outings including comfortable victories over Vasteras and Mjallby. Their home record of five wins, three draws and just two losses from ten matches underlines why they're strong favorites here, and a low-scoring 1-0 defense has been a real asset lately.
Kalmar arrive in poor shape, winless in their last two league games and having shipped 29 goals in 19 matches - the joint-worst defensive record in the bottom half. Their away form is particularly alarming: zero wins in ten trips this season with eight defeats, scoring just seven goals on the road.
With an eight-place gap in the table and a 0.63 points-per-game advantage for the hosts, Elfsborg should have enough control at home to see off a Kalmar side low on confidence and consistency. Expect goals at both ends given Elfsborg's attacking form and Kalmar's leaky defense, but the home win remains the clearest path given the gulf in current away form and table position.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in April 2026, when Kalmar won 2-1 as...
The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in April 2026, when Kalmar won 2-1 as the home side against Elfsborg. That result bucked the longer-term trend somewhat, as Elfsborg have historically fared well in this fixture, but with just one data point inside our two-year window, recent head-to-head history offers limited guidance for this reverse fixture at Borås Arena.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
13 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
6/10
Elfsborg sit fifth with 31 points from 19 games, unbeaten in five with four wins...
Elfsborg sit fifth with 31 points from 19 games, unbeaten in five with four wins and a draw during that stretch, including a 3-0 win over Vasteras and a battling 1-0 away success at Mjallby. Their home form is solid - five wins, three draws, two losses - built on a tight defense that's conceded just 1.0 goals per game overall. Injury absentees include Frick, Hagg, Rohden and Olsson, though squad depth appears sufficient given recent results. Elfsborg's balance between defensive solidity and enough goals up top makes them a reliable home banker at this stage of the season.
12 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5/10
Kalmar sit 13th with just 19 points from 19 games, winless in their last two...
Kalmar sit 13th with just 19 points from 19 games, winless in their last two league matches and picking up only one point from a possible six recently. Their away form is the major concern - zero wins in ten road trips this season, with eight losses and just seven goals scored. They've failed to score in eight of 19 league games and conceded 29 times, the type of defensive fragility that's kept them close to the relegation playoff spots. Injuries to Keita, Gustafsson and Larsson compound their issues going into a tough away assignment against a form Elfsborg side.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF - Match Analysis
Elfsborg sit fifth in Allsvenskan, unbeaten in five matches, with a strong home record of five wins from ten. Kalmar, by contrast, are 13th and have not won away from home all season across ten attempts, losing eight of those. The points-per-game gap of 0.63 in Elfsborg's favor, combined with Kalmar's fragile away defense, makes the home side clear favorites in this matchup.
Over 2.5 Goals looks like strong value given the combined goals per game average of 2.53 this season and Kalmar's leaky defense conceding regularly on the road. Draw No Bet on Elfsborg is a solid alternative for bettors wanting insurance against a shock draw, while Elfsborg -1 Asian Handicap suits those confident in a home win by more than a single goal.
Elfsborg's current run of one win, one draw and no losses in their last five outings gives real confidence in their credentials, especially with clean defensive numbers at home. Kalmar's form is the opposite story - winless in two, and struggling for goals having failed to score in nearly half their league matches this season. That form gap directly supports Elfsborg as the stronger side heading into this game.
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