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Gamla Ullevi
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AI Predicted Winner
Draw
38%
#Confidence
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Gais host IF Elfsborg at Gamla Ullevi in an intriguing Allsvenskan mid-table clash on July 12. Elfsborg arrive as the higher-ranked side in third place with 18 points, while Gais sit seventh on 15 points — a modest gap that keeps this match genuinely competitive.
Gais have been solid at home this season, winning three and drawing two of six home league games, conceding just twice across those fixtures. Their defensive record at Gamla Ullevi is a genuine strength. Elfsborg, however, bring an extraordinary draw tendency — six draws from eleven league outings — and have gone four consecutive league matches without a win heading into this fixture.
Both teams carry identical scoring and conceding averages of 1.45 goals per game scored and 1.0 conceded, making this a statistically even contest. The combined draw rate of 40.9% is the standout signal here. Gais have multiple injury absentees, including K. Holmen and A. Hermansen with knee injuries, while Elfsborg are missing P. Frick to a broken ankle.
With both teams closely matched on paper, Elfsborg's relentless draw tendency and Gais's strong home defensive record point firmly toward a share of the spoils. A draw is the most logical outcome, and the value lies in backing it.
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2026 Season
Last 7 head-to-head matchups
Within the last two years, the competitive head-to-head record shows Gais winning 2-0 at home in September 2025 and Gais...
Within the last two years, the competitive head-to-head record shows Gais winning 2-0 at home in September 2025 and Gais winning 2-1 at home in May 2024, while Elfsborg won 2-0 at home in May 2025 and 2-1 at home in August 2024. The pattern is clear: the home side wins. With Gais hosting, that trend marginally favours them, though Elfsborg have shown they can flip the script on their travels.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
5.3/10
Gais have been difficult to beat at Gamla Ullevi, dropping points in just one home...
Gais have been difficult to beat at Gamla Ullevi, dropping points in just one home league game all season — a 1-0 loss to Djurgårdens in the opening round. Since then, they have won three and drawn two at home, keeping five clean sheets across all eleven league outings. Their defensive structure is the foundation: conceding just one goal per game on average. The injury list is a concern, with K. Holmen, A. Hermansen, and G. Lundgren all sidelined, potentially disrupting their settled defensive shape ahead of this fixture.
11 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
6.7/10
IF Elfsborg are the draw specialists of Allsvenskan — six draws from eleven league matches...
IF Elfsborg are the draw specialists of Allsvenskan — six draws from eleven league matches is a remarkable rate. Their last four league games have all ended level, suggesting a team that is hard to beat but equally struggles to convert dominance into victories. Away from home, Elfsborg have won once, drawn three, and lost once in five league trips. They have scored in every league game this season, showing consistent attacking output, but P. Frick's absence through a broken ankle weakens their forward options for this trip.
Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Gais vs IF Elfsborg - Match Analysis
The data points overwhelmingly toward a stalemate. IF Elfsborg have drawn six of eleven league games this season, including four in a row, while Gais have drawn three times at home. Both teams are statistically identical — same goals scored per game, same goals conceded per game — and the combined draw rate sits at 40.9%. When two evenly matched teams with strong defensive records meet, a draw is the most probable single result, not just a fallback option.
Draw No Bet: Gais is the top alternative pick. Gais are unbeaten in five of six home league games, making an away win the least likely outcome. This market pays out on both a Gais win and a draw, covering the two most probable outcomes. Under 2.5 Goals also has merit — both defences concede just one goal per game on average, and four of Elfsborg's last five away games have produced two goals or fewer combined.
Gais carry the heavier injury burden, with K. Holmen and A. Hermansen both out with knee injuries alongside G. Lundgren's Achilles issue. These absences could disrupt their defensive organisation, which has been their primary strength at home. Elfsborg lose P. Frick to a broken ankle, weakening their attacking options on the road. On balance, Gais's injury list is more disruptive, which slightly tempers confidence in a home win and reinforces the draw outlook.
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