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Stora Valla
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AI Predicted Winner
Hammarby FF
61%
#Confidence
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This Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF prediction pits a side fighting the relegation playoffs against one of Allsvenskan's title challengers. Degerfors sit 14th with 19 points from 20 games, while Hammarby are second with 40 points from 21 - a gap that tells most of the story here.
Hammarby's away form has been inconsistent this season (three wins, three draws, four losses on the road), but their overall attacking output is elite, scoring 2.29 goals per game against Degerfors' shaky defense conceding 1.55 per match. The visitors also thrashed Degerfors 4-0 in their most recent meeting back in July.
Degerfors did pick up back-to-back-ish wins recently, including a 3-0 over IFK Goteborg and a 2-0 over Halmstad, showing some home fight. But their home record of three wins, two draws, five losses from ten games is far from convincing against top-half opposition.
Expect Hammarby to control possession and create the better chances, with Degerfors needing a resilient defensive display to stay competitive. Given the class gap and Hammarby's superior scoring rate, this looks like a routine away win, though Degerfors' home fight and Hammarby's occasional away wobbles keep a draw in play.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
Moderate
2026 Season
Last 9 head-to-head matchups
Hammarby have dominated this fixture recently, winning the last three meetings including a 4-0 rout at Stora Valla in July...
Hammarby have dominated this fixture recently, winning the last three meetings including a 4-0 rout at Stora Valla in July 2026. The only blemish for Hammarby in the last two years was a 1-1 draw at Degerfors in November 2025. Across nine meetings covering multiple seasons, Degerfors have not beaten Hammarby, with the visitors typically scoring freely - a pattern that strongly favors Hammarby again here.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsAllsvenskan matches highlighted
13 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
4/10
Degerfors have shown flashes of quality, winning three of their last five including impressive victories...
Degerfors have shown flashes of quality, winning three of their last five including impressive victories over IFK Goteborg (3-0) and Halmstad (2-0), but inconsistency remains the theme with heavy defeats mixed in. Their home record of three wins, two draws and five losses from ten games reflects a side that competes but struggles against stronger opposition. Defensively they've conceded 31 goals in 20 matches, a major concern against Hammarby's potent attack. J. Pikkarainen is out with a knee injury, while two players face suspension risk from yellow card accumulation, thinning an already stretched squad as they battle to avoid the drop.
10 of 15 in Allsvenskan
Form Rating
6.7/10
Hammarby remain one of the league's most potent attacking sides, scoring 48 goals in 21...
Hammarby remain one of the league's most potent attacking sides, scoring 48 goals in 21 games at 2.29 per match, though their away form has cooled with three wins, three draws and four losses on the road. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 win over Brommapojkarna, continuing a run of one win, two draws and one loss in their last five. Defender S. Kone is missing through a knee injury, but the squad depth built for European competition should cushion the impact. With a superb home record of nine wins from eleven, Hammarby's away form is the only slight concern for backers.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF - Match Analysis
Hammarby sit second in Allsvenskan with 40 points versus Degerfors' 19 in the relegation playoff zone, a gap reflected in their points-per-game and goal difference. Hammarby have won three straight meetings with Degerfors, including a 4-0 victory in July 2026, and their attack averages 2.29 goals per game against a Degerfors defense conceding 1.55 per match, making them clear favorites.
Degerfors have shown home resilience, winning three of their last five matches including comfortable victories over IFK Goteborg and Halmstad. Hammarby's away form has been shaky this season with only three wins from ten trips, and fatigue from European and cup commitments could factor in. Still, Hammarby's class and recent 4-0 head-to-head win make an upset a genuine long shot rather than a likely outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals looks like strong value given Degerfors' leaky defense and Hammarby's attacking output, with combined goals per game sitting at 3.24 this season. Draw No Bet: Hammarby FF is also worth considering for bettors wanting protection against a shock draw while still backing the away side's clear quality advantage over Degerfors.
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