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Egypt won
Egypt faces Senegal in a World Cup second-round clash between two teams trending in opposite directions this window. Both sides last played on July 5, meaning fatigue and travel are non-factors here — rest is even, and this preview treats the fixture as a level playing field.
Senegal enter unbeaten in their last three outings, having won five of six overall with a strong plus-20.5 average goal difference, including a 101-59 demolition of Madagascar and an 89-63 win over D.R. Congo. Egypt have been streakier, alternating losses and wins across their last six, winning three but dropping three, including back-to-back defeats to Angola and Mali earlier in the year before rebounding with wins over Uganda and Angola.
The bookmaker consensus makes Senegal clear favorites at 80.7% implied probability versus just 19.3% for Egypt, and the underlying numbers support that gap — Senegal average nearly two more points scored per game while conceding roughly one fewer. With a combined scoring pace near 27.6 points per game across both teams' matches and zero draws recorded in either side's recent form, this points toward a comfortable, competitive-but-decisive Senegal win.
Expect Senegal to control the spread convincingly, with the total leaning toward the over given both teams' scoring outputs this tournament.
Last 6 head-to-head matchups
These two have met three times since 2022, with the series fairly split — Egypt won a high-scoring 2022 World...
These two have met three times since 2022, with the series fairly split — Egypt won a high-scoring 2022 World Cup meeting 76-43, but Senegal responded later that year with a 75-57 win, and Egypt edged Senegal 91-77 in the most recent 2025 AfroBasket meeting. There's no consistent pattern favoring either side outright, but scoring has trended toward blowout margins rather than close finishes in this rivalry.
Last 6 matches across all competitionsWorld Cup matches highlighted
6 of 6 in World Cup
Form Rating
5/10
Egypt sit third in their group with 3 points from 6 games, alternating wins and...
Egypt sit third in their group with 3 points from 6 games, alternating wins and losses throughout the tournament — three wins, three losses, with no consistent momentum. They've shown they can score heavily (91 points against Uganda) but also concede in bulk, conceding 86 and 83 in back-to-back defeats to Mali and Angola. Egypt's away form (2-1) has actually been stronger than their home mark (1-2) this cycle. Multiple players are listed out through injury, including A. Metwaly and M. Abdalatif, which thins their depth heading into a difficult assignment against a red-hot Senegal side.
6 of 6 in World Cup
Form Rating
8.3/10
Senegal top their group at 5-1 with the tournament's best goal difference at plus-123, and...
Senegal top their group at 5-1 with the tournament's best goal difference at plus-123, and they've won three straight coming in, capped by a 101-59 rout of Madagascar. Their only loss came to Ivory Coast, but they responded immediately with two more wins. Senegal's away scoring (91.0 per game, unbeaten in three) is even better than their home output, suggesting this form travels. A few squad members are listed questionable, but the group's overall depth and scoring consistency have carried them regardless.
2027/2028 Season
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Egypt vs Senegal - Match Analysis
Yes, Senegal's spread pick carries solid backing — they've won five of six with a plus-20.5 average goal differential and are riding a three-game win streak. Egypt's inconsistent 3-3 form and thinner squad due to injuries make covering a moderate spread a reasonable expectation for Senegal, though the exact margin depends on line movement closer to tip-off.
The over looks appealing given both teams' scoring pace — combined output across recent matches sits near 27-28 points per game on average, and Senegal in particular has posted multiple 85+ point performances. Egypt also scores in bunches even in losses, suggesting a high-possession, high-scoring affair rather than a defensive grind.
No — both Egypt and Senegal last played on July 5, giving them identical rest of roughly 52-53 days heading into this fixture. Neither side carries fatigue or travel disadvantage into this one, so the outcome should be decided purely by form and matchup quality rather than scheduling factors.
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