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Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz26th in NBA (18-41)
VS
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans25th in NBA (18-42)

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sunday, Mar 1, 2026 · --:--

Utah Jazz Arena

Final
Utah Jazz
105–115
New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction sees two struggling Western Conference teams clash at Utah Jazz Arena. Both teams sit near the bottom of the standings with similar records - Utah at 19-44 and New Orleans at 18-44. The bookmaker consensus heavily favors the visiting Pelicans at 67.4% probability despite their road struggles. New Orleans just defeated Utah 129-118 in their last meeting three days ago, showcasing their offensive firepower. Both teams face challenging fixture congestion with back-to-back games ahead, but neither has a rest advantage here with two days off each. The Pelicans have shown more offensive consistency recently, averaging 115.4 points per game compared to Utah's 118.3. However, Utah's home court advantage and desperate need for wins could level the playing field. Expert picks suggest this NBA picks opportunity favors the over given both teams' defensive struggles, while basketball betting tips point to value in the spread market.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Utah Jazz (4)New Orleans Pelicans (6)
Feb 27, 26
(H)Utah Jazz118 - 129New Orleans Pelicans(A)
A
Mar 3, 25
(H)Utah Jazz121 - 128New Orleans Pelicans(A)
A
Jan 21, 25
(H)New Orleans Pelicans123 - 119Utah Jazz(A)
H
Jan 18, 25
(H)New Orleans Pelicans136 - 123Utah Jazz(A)
H
Jan 24, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans153 - 124Utah Jazz(A)
H
Dec 29, 23
(H)New Orleans Pelicans112 - 105Utah Jazz(A)
H
Nov 28, 23
(H)Utah Jazz114 - 112New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Nov 26, 23
(H)Utah Jazz105 - 100New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Dec 16, 22
(H)Utah Jazz132 - 129New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Dec 14, 22
(H)Utah Jazz121 - 100New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

New Orleans dominates the recent head-to-head series, winning four of the last five meetings including a convincing 129-118 victory just...

New Orleans dominates the recent head-to-head series, winning four of the last five meetings including a convincing 129-118 victory just three days ago at this same venue. The Pelicans have consistently found offensive success against Utah's porous defense, averaging 125.4 points across their last five encounters. Utah managed just one home win in recent meetings, that coming in a 114-112 thriller in November 2023. The total has gone over in three of the last four meetings, with an average combined score of 248 points, indicating both teams struggle defensively in this matchup.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Utah Jazz

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2/10

Utah Jazz Form Analysis

Trending

Utah Jazz enters with a dismal 19-44 record, ranking 26th in the NBA standings. Their...

Utah Jazz enters with a dismal 19-44 record, ranking 26th in the NBA standings. Their home form offers little comfort at 12-20, though they've managed to score 121.2 points per game at home. The Jazz are coming off a disappointing 129-118 home loss to these same Pelicans, marking their fourth loss in five games. Key injuries plague the roster with Lauri Markkanen questionable and multiple rotation players sidelined. Utah's defensive struggles are evident, allowing 126.1 points per game overall and 127.6 at home. The team faces fixture congestion with four games in seven days ahead, including a back-to-back situation that could impact energy levels. Despite their poor record, they've shown occasional offensive flashes, particularly at home where they average over 121 points.

New Orleans Pelicans

15 of 15 in NBA

W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

New Orleans Pelicans Form Analysis

Analysis

New Orleans Pelicans sit at 18-44, slightly worse than Utah but showing recent signs of...

New Orleans Pelicans sit at 18-44, slightly worse than Utah but showing recent signs of life. Their road record of 7-22 is concerning, yet they just proved they can win in Salt Lake City. The Pelicans average 112.9 points on the road while allowing 120.4, indicating defensive issues away from home. Recent form shows promise with wins in three of their last six games, including impressive victories over quality opponents. Jordan Hawkins remains questionable, but the team has managed without several key contributors throughout the season. New Orleans faces an even more congested schedule with five games in seven days, including back-to-back contests. Their offensive efficiency has improved lately, and they've found ways to exploit Utah's defensive weaknesses consistently in recent meetings.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Utah Jazz19-4430.2%
New Orleans Pelicans18-4429.0%
Avg Points Scored
Utah Jazz118.3
New Orleans Pelicans115.4
Avg Points Allowed
Utah Jazz126.1
New Orleans Pelicans120.7

shieldUtah Jazz11

  • Williams Vince

    Questionable
  • Jackson Jaren

    Injured
  • Anderson Kyle

    Injured
  • Bamba Mohamed

    Injured
  • Nurkic Jusuf

    Injured
Williams Vince
Jackson Jaren
Anderson Kyle
Bamba Mohamed
Nurkic Jusuf
Kessler Walker
George Keyonte
Hendricks Taylor
Markkanen Lauri
J. Tonje
W. Clayton

Showing 1-5 of 11 injuries

shieldNew Orleans Pelicans10

  • Springer Jaden

    Injured
  • Looney Kevon

    Injured
  • Alvarado Jose

    Injured
  • Hawkins Jordan

    Questionable
  • Murphy Trey

    Injured
Springer Jaden
Looney Kevon
Alvarado Jose
Hawkins Jordan
Murphy Trey
Y. Missi
T. Alexander
M. Peavy
H. Dickinson
C. Shumate

Showing 1-5 of 10 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Utah Jazz-7.8
New Orleans Pelicans-5.3

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans - Match Analysis

Should I take New Orleans to cover the -6.5 spread?

Yes, the Pelicans have covered in four of their last five meetings with Utah and just won by 11 points at this same venue three days ago. Their offensive efficiency against Utah's poor defense creates a favorable matchup for covering the spread, despite their overall road struggles this season.

Will this game go over 244.5 points?

Strong likelihood for the over given both teams' defensive struggles and recent head-to-head history. Their last meeting produced 247 points, and they've averaged 248 points across recent encounters. Both teams rank near the bottom in defensive efficiency, making the over the preferred total play.

How does the fixture congestion affect this matchup?

Both teams face challenging schedules with multiple games ahead, but neither has a rest advantage here with two days off each. The congestion may actually benefit the over, as tired legs often lead to poor defense. New Orleans faces slightly more congestion with five games in seven days compared to Utah's four.

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