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Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors10th in NBA (34-24)
VS
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs3rd in NBA (41-16)

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs

Thursday, Feb 26, 2026 · --:--

Toronto Raptors Arena

Final
Toronto Raptors
107–110
San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs prediction highlights a fascinating matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions. Toronto sits 10th in the Eastern Conference with a 34-24 record, while San Antonio has surged to 3rd in the Western Conference at 41-16. The Raptors face a critical back-to-back situation after losing to Oklahoma City just yesterday, creating significant fatigue concerns. San Antonio enters with two days rest and riding a five-game winning streak, showcasing elite offensive efficiency. Our NBA picks favor the visiting Spurs to exploit Toronto's tired legs and defensive vulnerabilities. The Raptors have shown inconsistent home form recently, winning just two of their last five at home. Basketball betting tips suggest targeting San Antonio's superior rest advantage and momentum. Expert picks lean toward the Spurs covering the spread and the total going over given both teams' offensive capabilities when healthy.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Toronto Raptors38-2560.3%
San Antonio Spurs43-1672.9%
Avg Points Scored
Toronto Raptors114.0
San Antonio Spurs118.9
Avg Points Allowed
Toronto Raptors111.8
San Antonio Spurs111.8
Point Differential
Toronto Raptors+2.2
San Antonio Spurs+7.1

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs - Match Analysis

Should I take San Antonio to cover the -4.5 spread?

Yes, the Spurs present excellent value covering the spread. Their two-day rest advantage over Toronto's back-to-back situation creates a significant edge. San Antonio has won five straight games and covered in four of their last five, while Toronto struggles defensively when fatigued. The Spurs' superior record and recent form against quality opponents make them a strong spread play in this spot.

Will this game go over or under 225.5 points?

The over appears to be the stronger play despite Toronto's back-to-back fatigue. San Antonio has been averaging over 120 points during their five-game winning streak, while Toronto has shown they can score in bunches at home. Both teams play at a decent pace, and tired legs often lead to less defensive intensity. The Spurs' offensive efficiency combined with Toronto's defensive struggles when fatigued should push this total over.

How does Toronto's back-to-back affect this matchup?

Toronto's back-to-back situation significantly impacts this game, creating both physical and mental fatigue after yesterday's loss to Oklahoma City. Back-to-back teams typically shoot worse percentages and struggle defensively, especially in the second half. With several players already questionable, Toronto's depth will be tested against a well-rested San Antonio team. This rest disadvantage historically favors the visiting team by 3-5 points in similar scenarios.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Toronto Raptors (5)San Antonio Spurs (5)
Oct 28, 25
(H)San Antonio Spurs121 - 103Toronto Raptors(A)
H
Apr 13, 25
(H)San Antonio Spurs125 - 118Toronto Raptors(A)
H
Mar 23, 25
(H)Toronto Raptors89 - 123San Antonio Spurs(A)
A
Jul 21, 24
(H)San Antonio Spurs100 - 89Toronto Raptors(A)
H
Feb 13, 24
(H)Toronto Raptors99 - 122San Antonio Spurs(A)
A
Nov 5, 23
(H)San Antonio Spurs116 - 123Toronto Raptors(A)
A
Feb 9, 23
(H)Toronto Raptors112 - 98San Antonio Spurs(A)
H
Nov 3, 22
(H)San Antonio Spurs100 - 143Toronto Raptors(A)
A
Mar 10, 22
(H)San Antonio Spurs104 - 119Toronto Raptors(A)
A
Jan 5, 22
(H)Toronto Raptors129 - 104San Antonio Spurs(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

San Antonio has dominated this recent head-to-head series, winning both meetings this season including a commanding 121-103 victory in their...

San Antonio has dominated this recent head-to-head series, winning both meetings this season including a commanding 121-103 victory in their first encounter. The Spurs have won four of the last six meetings overall, with Toronto's lone recent success coming via a 123-116 victory in November 2023. San Antonio's average margin of victory in recent matchups has been substantial, suggesting they match up well against Toronto's defensive schemes and pace of play.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Toronto Raptors

15 of 15 in NBA

L
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

6/10

Toronto Raptors Form Analysis

Trending

Toronto enters on a back-to-back after falling 116-107 to Oklahoma City yesterday, marking their second...

Toronto enters on a back-to-back after falling 116-107 to Oklahoma City yesterday, marking their second loss in three games. The Raptors have been inconsistent at home recently, alternating between impressive offensive displays and defensive breakdowns. Their recent 145-127 victory over Golden State showcased their offensive potential, but defensive lapses have been costly. With multiple players listed as questionable due to the quick turnaround, Toronto faces significant depth concerns. The fatigue factor cannot be understated as they've played two games in the last five days while dealing with various injury concerns throughout their rotation.

San Antonio Spurs

15 of 15 in NBA

W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W

Form Rating

8/10

San Antonio Spurs Form Analysis

Analysis

San Antonio arrives in excellent form, winning five straight games and looking like a legitimate...

San Antonio arrives in excellent form, winning five straight games and looking like a legitimate Western Conference contender. Their recent 114-103 victory over Detroit showcased their balanced attack and defensive improvement. The Spurs have been particularly impressive on the road, with Victor Wembanyama anchoring both ends of the floor. Their offensive efficiency has been outstanding during this winning streak, averaging over 120 points per game. With two full days of rest, San Antonio should be physically fresh and mentally focused. Their recent victories over quality opponents like Oklahoma City and Golden State demonstrate their ability to compete with elite teams.

shieldToronto Raptors12

  • Lawson A.J.

    Injured
  • Rhoden Jared

    Injured
  • Jackson-Davis Trayce

    Questionable
  • Roddy David

    Injured
  • Sarr Olivier

    Injured
Lawson A.J.
Rhoden Jared
Jackson-Davis Trayce
Roddy David
Sarr Olivier
Bamba Mohamed
Poeltl Jakob
Agbaji Ochai
Temple Garrett
J. Mogbo
A. Martin
C. Hepburn

Showing 1-5 of 12 injuries

shieldSan Antonio Spurs11

  • Umude Stanley

    Questionable
  • McLaughlin Jordan

    Questionable
  • Biyombo Bismack

    Questionable
  • Waters III Lindy

    Injured
  • Sochan Jeremy

    Injured
Umude Stanley
McLaughlin Jordan
Biyombo Bismack
Waters III Lindy
Sochan Jeremy
Olynyk Kelly
Potter Micah
H. Ingram
A. Flagler
Minix
D. Garcia

Showing 1-5 of 11 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.