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Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns14th in NBA (43-35)
VS
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks25th in NBA (25-53)

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Thursday, Apr 9, 2026 · --:--

Phoenix Suns Arena

Final
Phoenix Suns
112–107
Dallas Mavericks

Phoenix Suns won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks prediction centers on a crucial Western Conference matchup at Phoenix Suns Arena. The Suns (43-35) sit 14th in the West, desperately fighting for playoff positioning, while Dallas (25-53) languishes near the bottom at 25th. Both teams enter with three days of rest, eliminating fatigue concerns. Phoenix has shown offensive firepower recently, averaging 116.7 points in their last three home games, including impressive victories over Utah (134-109) and Charlotte (111-99). Dallas continues to struggle defensively, allowing 118.5 points per game this season. The head-to-head series favors Phoenix, who won both meetings this season (120-111 at home, 123-114 in Dallas). Expert picks suggest taking advantage of Phoenix's home court edge and Dallas's poor road form (12-28 away). Our NBA picks lean toward the Suns covering a moderate spread, with basketball betting tips pointing to the over given both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive weaknesses.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Phoenix Suns (7)Dallas Mavericks (3)
Feb 11, 26
(H)Phoenix Suns120 - 111Dallas Mavericks(A)
H
Nov 13, 25
(H)Dallas Mavericks114 - 123Phoenix Suns(A)
A
Mar 9, 25
(H)Dallas Mavericks116 - 125Phoenix Suns(A)
A
Dec 28, 24
(H)Phoenix Suns89 - 98Dallas Mavericks(A)
A
Nov 9, 24
(H)Dallas Mavericks113 - 114Phoenix Suns(A)
A
Oct 27, 24
(H)Phoenix Suns114 - 102Dallas Mavericks(A)
H
Feb 23, 24
(H)Dallas Mavericks123 - 113Phoenix Suns(A)
H
Jan 25, 24
(H)Dallas Mavericks109 - 132Phoenix Suns(A)
A
Dec 26, 23
(H)Phoenix Suns114 - 128Dallas Mavericks(A)
A
Mar 5, 23
(H)Dallas Mavericks126 - 130Phoenix Suns(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Phoenix dominates this season's head-to-head matchup, sweeping both games against Dallas. The Suns won 120-111 at home in February and...

Phoenix dominates this season's head-to-head matchup, sweeping both games against Dallas. The Suns won 120-111 at home in February and 123-114 on the road in November. Over their last five meetings, Phoenix holds a 4-1 advantage, consistently exploiting Dallas's defensive vulnerabilities. The recent games have been high-scoring affairs, averaging 231 points combined, suggesting both teams struggle defensively against each other's offensive schemes.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Phoenix Suns

15 of 15 in NBA

W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Phoenix Suns Form Analysis

Trending

Phoenix enters with mixed recent form but strong home court performance. The Suns are 26-16...

Phoenix enters with mixed recent form but strong home court performance. The Suns are 26-16 at home this season, averaging 112.6 points while allowing 108.6. Their last three home games showcase their offensive potential: dominant wins over Utah (134-109) and Charlotte (111-99), plus a competitive loss to Milwaukee (105-108). With three days of rest, Phoenix should be fresh and motivated, knowing every game matters in their playoff push. Their home scoring average of 112.6 points indicates consistent offensive production in familiar surroundings.

Dallas Mavericks

0 of 5 in NBA

W
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

4/10

Dallas Mavericks Form Analysis

Analysis

Dallas continues their disappointing season with a dismal 12-28 road record. The Mavericks average just...

Dallas continues their disappointing season with a dismal 12-28 road record. The Mavericks average just 112.3 points away from home while surrendering 118.1, highlighting their struggles on both ends. Their recent form data shows primarily Summer League games, indicating many key players may be resting or injured. With a -4.6 point differential overall and poor defensive metrics (118.5 PPG allowed), Dallas lacks the consistency needed for road success. The three-day rest helps, but their fundamental issues remain problematic against quality opponents.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Phoenix Suns46-3556.8%
Dallas Mavericks28-5434.1%
Avg Points Scored
Phoenix Suns113.3
Dallas Mavericks113.9
Avg Points Allowed
Phoenix Suns110.7
Dallas Mavericks118.5

shieldPhoenix Suns13

  • Richards Nick

    Injured
  • Coffey Amir

    Injured
  • Highsmith Haywood

    Injured
  • Duke Jr. David

    Injured
  • Butler Jared

    Injured
Richards Nick
Coffey Amir
Highsmith Haywood
Duke Jr. David
Butler Jared
Livers Isaiah
Hayes Nigel
J. Bouyea
K. Maluach
R. Dunn
K. Brea
C. Huntley
R. Fleming

Showing 1-5 of 13 injuries

shieldDallas Mavericks15

  • Smith Jr. Dennis

    Injured
  • Lively Dereck

    Injured
  • Hardy Jaden

    Injured
  • Russell D'Angelo

    Injured
  • Davis Anthony

    Injured
Smith Jr. Dennis
Lively Dereck
Hardy Jaden
Russell D'Angelo
Davis Anthony
Martin Caleb
Robinson Jeremiah
Banton Dalano
Jones Tyus
T. Smith
R. Nembhard
A. Johnson
M. Kelly
M. Cisse
M. Cleveland

Showing 1-5 of 15 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Phoenix Suns+2.6
Dallas Mavericks-4.6

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks - Match Analysis

Should I take Phoenix Suns to cover the spread against Dallas?

Yes, Phoenix presents strong value to cover the spread. The Suns are 26-16 at home averaging 112.6 points, while Dallas struggles on the road at 12-28 with poor defensive metrics. Phoenix swept the season series and desperately needs wins for playoff positioning, creating motivation advantages that should translate to a comfortable home victory.

Will this game go over the total points?

The over appears likely given both teams' defensive struggles and offensive capabilities. Phoenix averages 112.6 points at home while Dallas allows 118.1 on the road. Recent head-to-head meetings averaged 231 points, and both teams have shown they can score in bunches when motivated. The pace should favor higher scoring.

How does Dallas's poor season affect their road performance?

Dallas's disappointing 25-53 record significantly impacts road effort and execution. Their 12-28 away record reflects systemic issues with defense (118.1 PPG allowed) and consistency. With playoff hopes eliminated, motivation becomes questionable against desperate teams like Phoenix. The Mavericks' -4.6 point differential suggests they struggle to compete with quality opponents, especially on the road.

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