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New York Knicks
New York Knicks6th in NBA (53-29)
VS
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers15th in NBA (45-37)

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Tuesday, May 5, 2026 · --:--

New York Knicks Arena

Final
New York Knicks
137–98
Philadelphia 76ers

New York Knicks won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The New York Knicks enter this Eastern Conference second round playoff opener as strong home favorites against the Philadelphia 76ers, backed by their superior regular season performance and third seed positioning. The Knicks' higher playoff seeding reflects consistent execution throughout the campaign, giving them both statistical advantages and crucial home court benefit at Madison Square Garden.

New York's offensive system centers around balanced ball movement and assist distribution, creating multiple scoring threats that should challenge Philadelphia's defensive schemes. This multi-faceted approach has proven effective against various defensive styles throughout the season and positions the Knicks well for playoff basketball's increased intensity.

The 76ers bring legitimate fast break capabilities led by VJ Edgecombe, offering them a pathway to quick scoring runs that could shift momentum. However, Philadelphia's lower seeding indicates they faced more inconsistency during the regular season, making them the underdog despite having talented pieces like Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey in their rotation.

The betting market reflects these fundamental advantages, with the Knicks' 68% win probability aligning with their home court edge and superior regular season body of work. While Philadelphia's transition game provides some upset potential, New York's overall depth and playoff positioning suggest they should control this series opener. The statistical foundation favors the home team in what promises to be a competitive Eastern Conference battle.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

New York Knicks (8)Philadelphia 76ers (2)
Feb 12, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers89 - 138New York Knicks(A)
A
Jan 24, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers109 - 112New York Knicks(A)
A
Jan 4, 26
(H)New York Knicks119 - 130Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Dec 20, 25
(H)New York Knicks107 - 116Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Oct 4, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers104 - 113New York Knicks(A)
A
Oct 2, 25
(H)New York Knicks99 - 84Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Apr 1, 25
(H)New York Knicks105 - 91Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Feb 27, 25
(H)New York Knicks110 - 105Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Jan 16, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers119 - 125New York Knicks(A)
A
Nov 13, 24
(H)Philadelphia 76ers99 - 111New York Knicks(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings favor Philadelphia, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters since early 2026. The 76ers dominated...

Recent head-to-head meetings favor Philadelphia, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters since early 2026. The 76ers dominated their most recent meeting in February with a 138-89 blowout victory, followed by a narrow 112-109 win in January. However, the Knicks showed they can compete at home, winning 2 of 4 meetings at Madison Square Garden during this span. The series has been high-scoring, with 6 of the last 8 games exceeding 220 total points, suggesting both teams push pace in this rivalry matchup.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

New York Knicks

15 of 15 in NBA

W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

6/10

New York Knicks Form Analysis

Trending

The Knicks have been solid recently with 4 wins in their last 6 games, though...

The Knicks have been solid recently with 4 wins in their last 6 games, though their recent schedule appears focused on playoff action against Atlanta. They've shown excellent offensive output, scoring 140, 126, and 114 points in their last three victories. At home, New York has been particularly strong this season with a 35-12 record and 117.4 points per game average. Their 4-day rest advantage is crucial, as they'll be fresh and energized for this important conference matchup. The team's +6.8 point differential per game demonstrates their overall quality, and they've proven capable of big performances when well-rested.

Philadelphia 76ers

15 of 15 in NBA

W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

6/10

Philadelphia 76ers Form Analysis

Analysis

Philadelphia enters on a strong note with 3 consecutive wins over Boston, showing they can...

Philadelphia enters on a strong note with 3 consecutive wins over Boston, showing they can compete with elite competition. However, their road form has been inconsistent at 25-21, and they're dealing with multiple injury concerns including questionable status for several rotation players. The 76ers have played 2 games in the last 5 days compared to New York's 1, creating a fatigue disadvantage. Their -0.6 point differential suggests they're closer to .500 quality, and playing on the road against a rested, higher-seeded opponent presents a significant challenge. The team's 15th-place standing reflects their struggles to find consistency this season.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
New York Knicks59-3264.8%
Philadelphia 76ers51-4354.3%
Avg Points Scored
New York Knicks115.8
Philadelphia 76ers114.4
Avg Points Allowed
New York Knicks109.0
Philadelphia 76ers115.0

shieldNew York Knicks

check_circle

No reported injuries

shieldPhiladelphia 76ers7

  • Watford Trendon

    Questionable
  • Terry Dalen

    Questionable
  • Beauchamp MarJon

    Injured
  • Lowry Kyle

    Questionable
  • Walker Jabari

    Questionable
Watford Trendon
Terry Dalen
Beauchamp MarJon
Lowry Kyle
Walker Jabari
T. Martin
Bona Adem

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
New York Knicks+6.8
Philadelphia 76ers-0.6

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers - Match Analysis

Should I take the Knicks to cover the -5.5 spread?

Yes, the Knicks present strong value at -5.5. Their 9-place standings advantage, 4-day rest edge over Philadelphia's 2-day turnaround, and dominant 35-12 home record create multiple advantages. The 76ers' road struggles (25-21) and injury concerns make this spread very manageable for a well-rested New York team playing at Madison Square Garden.

Will this game go over or under 225.5 points?

Lean toward the Over 225.5. Both teams have shown offensive capability, with the Knicks averaging 117.4 points at home and recent head-to-head meetings consistently exceeding 220 points. Philadelphia's pace-pushing style combined with New York's home offensive efficiency should create enough scoring opportunities to surpass this total, especially with both teams relatively healthy.

How does the Knicks' rest advantage affect this matchup?

The rest differential is crucial here. New York's 4 days off compared to Philadelphia's 2-day turnaround provides significant advantages in shooting accuracy, defensive intensity, and overall energy levels. NBA teams with 2+ day rest advantages historically perform better, and this edge should be most apparent in the second half when fatigue typically impacts road teams more severely.

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