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New York Knicks
New York Knicks5th in NBA (43-25)
VS
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers30th in NBA (15-52)

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Tuesday, Mar 17, 2026 · --:--

New York Knicks Arena

Final
New York Knicks
136–110
Indiana Pacers

New York Knicks won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers prediction features a compelling matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions. The Knicks (45-26, 5th in Eastern Conference) host the struggling Pacers (17-54, 30th overall) at Madison Square Garden. New York has been solid at home this season, posting a 26-10 record while averaging 116.9 points per game in front of their crowd. The Knicks are coming off a recent 101-92 victory over Indiana just four days ago, showcasing their ability to control pace against this opponent. With both teams enjoying four days of rest, fatigue shouldn't be a factor, but the Knicks' superior talent and home court advantage make them clear favorites. Indiana's road struggles (6-29 away record) and defensive issues (allowing 121.7 points per game on the road) create significant challenges. Our NBA picks favor the Knicks to cover a substantial spread, while basketball betting tips suggest considering the total given both teams' offensive capabilities. Expert picks lean heavily toward New York in this Eastern Conference clash.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
New York Knicks45-2663.4%
Indiana Pacers17-5423.9%
Avg Points Scored
New York Knicks115.9
Indiana Pacers111.3
Avg Points Allowed
New York Knicks110.1
Indiana Pacers119.9
Point Differential
New York Knicks+5.8
Indiana Pacers-8.6

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers - Match Analysis

Should I take the Knicks to cover the -12.5 spread?

Yes, the Knicks -12.5 spread offers solid value in this matchup. New York's 26-10 home record and Indiana's woeful 6-29 road mark create a significant talent and situational gap. The Knicks recently beat Indiana 101-92 on the road, suggesting they can control this game at home. With both teams rested, New York's superior depth and home court advantage should produce a comfortable victory that covers the substantial spread.

Will this game go over or under 228.5 points?

The Over 228.5 presents strong value based on recent trends and matchup dynamics. Both teams average over 111 points per game, and their recent meetings have been high-scoring affairs. The Knicks score 116.9 points per game at home, while Indiana's road defense allows 121.7 points per game. With both teams rested and playing at an up-tempo pace, this total should be surpassed comfortably in what projects as an offensive-minded contest.

How does the four-day rest affect this matchup?

The four-day rest period benefits both teams equally, eliminating any fatigue advantage. For the Knicks, this rest allows their veteran core to prepare properly and potentially get questionable players healthy. Indiana also benefits from the extended break, but their upcoming schedule congestion (four games in seven days) may lead to workload management. The neutral rest situation means the game will be decided by talent and home court advantage, both favoring New York significantly.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

New York Knicks (4)Indiana Pacers (6)
Mar 13, 26
(H)Indiana Pacers92 - 101New York Knicks(A)
A
Feb 11, 26
(H)New York Knicks134 - 137Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Dec 19, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers113 - 114New York Knicks(A)
A
Jul 17, 25
(H)New York Knicks88 - 91Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Jun 1, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers125 - 108New York Knicks(A)
H
May 30, 25
(H)New York Knicks111 - 94Indiana Pacers(A)
H
May 28, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers130 - 121New York Knicks(A)
H
May 26, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers100 - 106New York Knicks(A)
A
May 24, 25
(H)New York Knicks109 - 114Indiana Pacers(A)
A
May 22, 25
(H)New York Knicks135 - 138Indiana Pacers(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings show a competitive series despite the teams' contrasting records. The Knicks won their most recent encounter 101-92...

Recent head-to-head meetings show a competitive series despite the teams' contrasting records. The Knicks won their most recent encounter 101-92 in Indiana, but the season series has been split with dramatic finishes. Their February meeting went to overtime with Indiana winning 137-134, while December saw New York edge out a 114-113 victory. The Pacers have shown they can score against the Knicks, with three of their last four meetings producing totals over 225 points. However, New York's home court advantage has been crucial, as they've controlled pace better at Madison Square Garden.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

New York Knicks

15 of 15 in NBA

W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

6/10

New York Knicks Form Analysis

Trending

The Knicks enter this matchup with solid momentum, having won six of their last ten...

The Knicks enter this matchup with solid momentum, having won six of their last ten games including impressive road victories. Their 45-26 record reflects consistent play throughout the season, with Karl-Anthony Towns anchoring both ends of the floor when healthy. At home, New York has been particularly effective, posting a 26-10 record while averaging 116.9 points per game. The four-day rest period should benefit their veteran core, allowing them to prepare properly for Indiana's up-tempo style. With several key players listed as questionable, depth could be tested, but their home court advantage at Madison Square Garden remains a significant factor. The Knicks have shown they can control games against weaker opponents.

Indiana Pacers

0 of 5 in NBA

W
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

6/10

Indiana Pacers Form Analysis

Analysis

Indiana's season has been disappointing with a 17-54 record that places them among the league's...

Indiana's season has been disappointing with a 17-54 record that places them among the league's worst teams. Their road struggles are particularly concerning, managing just 6-29 away from home while allowing 121.7 points per game. The Pacers have shown flashes of offensive capability, averaging 111.3 points per game, but their defensive deficiencies have been costly throughout the campaign. Multiple key players remain questionable or out, including Pascal Siakam, which significantly impacts their competitiveness. The four-day rest helps, but their upcoming schedule congestion (four games in seven days) suggests they may be managing workloads. Away from home, Indiana has struggled to maintain intensity for full games.

shieldNew York Knicks14

  • Mathews Garrison

    Injured
  • Evbuomwan Tosan

    Injured
  • Jemison Trey

    Injured
  • Towns Karl-Anthony

    Questionable
  • Ryan Matt

    Injured
Mathews Garrison
Evbuomwan Tosan
Jemison Trey
Towns Karl-Anthony
Ryan Matt
Hart Josh
McBride Miles
Brogdon Malcolm
Len Alex
Sochan Jeremy
Yabusele Guerschon
D. Jones
T. Kolek
McCullar Kevin

Showing 1-5 of 14 injuries

shieldIndiana Pacers20

  • Mathews Garrison

    Injured
  • Martin Cody

    Injured
  • Wiseman James

    Injured
  • Jackson Isaiah

    Injured
  • Mathurin Bennedict

    Injured
Mathews Garrison
Martin Cody
Wiseman James
Jackson Isaiah
Mathurin Bennedict
Siakam Pascal
Wright Delon
Morris Monte
Robinson Jeremiah
McClung Mac
Payne Cameron
Slawson Jalen
E. Thompson
T. Bradley
Q. Jackson
J. Furphy
R. Dennis
G. McGlothan
K. Jones
T. Peter

Showing 1-5 of 20 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.