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New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans25th in NBA (22-46)
VS
Los Angeles Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers18th in NBA (34-33)

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Clippers

Thursday, Mar 19, 2026 · --:--

New Orleans Pelicans Arena

Final
New Orleans Pelicans
124–109
Los Angeles Clippers

New Orleans Pelicans won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Clippers prediction highlights a fascinating matchup between two Western Conference teams heading in opposite directions. The Pelicans (22-48) sit near the bottom of the standings but have shown recent home improvement, winning 4 of their last 6 games at home including impressive victories over quality opponents. The Clippers (36-34) are fighting for playoff positioning but arrive dealing with significant injury concerns and inconsistent road form. Both teams face upcoming fixture congestion with back-to-back games, making this NBA picks opportunity particularly intriguing. The Clippers dominated their recent March 2nd meeting 137-117, but that was at home where they've been much stronger. New Orleans averages 118.4 points at home compared to just 111.3 for the Clippers on the road, creating a pace advantage for the hosts. Expert picks favor the home team getting value as underdogs, with basketball betting tips suggesting the total could exceed expectations given both teams' recent high-scoring affairs.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
New Orleans Pelicans22-4831.4%
Los Angeles Clippers36-3451.4%
Avg Points Scored
New Orleans Pelicans115.8
Los Angeles Clippers113.0
Avg Points Allowed
New Orleans Pelicans120.2
Los Angeles Clippers112.0
Point Differential
New Orleans Pelicans-4.4
Los Angeles Clippers+1.0

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Clippers - Match Analysis

Should I take the Pelicans to cover the +4.5 spread?

Yes, New Orleans offers strong value at +4.5. Despite their poor overall record, the Pelicans have covered 4 of their last 6 home games and benefit from the Clippers' extensive injury list. LA's road struggles (17-19 record) and upcoming fixture congestion create additional advantages for the home team. The spread reflects the season-long disparity but doesn't account for recent form and current circumstances favoring New Orleans.

Will this game go over or under 235.5 points?

The over 235.5 presents excellent value in this matchup. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with the Pelicans averaging 240+ total points in their last 5 home contests. New Orleans scores 118.4 points per game at home while allowing 120.5, creating a pace-friendly environment. The Clippers' recent games have also been high-scoring, and their defensive struggles on the road support the over despite their offensive limitations.

How do the Clippers' injuries affect this game?

The Clippers' extensive injury list significantly impacts their chances, with key players like James Harden, Chris Paul, and Bradley Beal all listed as out. This depletes their offensive firepower and forces them to rely on role players in a difficult road environment. The injuries also affect their depth for upcoming back-to-back games, potentially leading to further fatigue. These absences make the Pelicans' home court advantage even more valuable in this matchup.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

New Orleans Pelicans (5)Los Angeles Clippers (5)
Mar 2, 26
(H)Los Angeles Clippers137 - 117New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Nov 1, 25
(H)Los Angeles Clippers126 - 124New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Apr 3, 25
(H)Los Angeles Clippers114 - 98New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Mar 12, 25
(H)New Orleans Pelicans127 - 120Los Angeles Clippers(A)
H
Dec 31, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans113 - 116Los Angeles Clippers(A)
A
Mar 16, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans112 - 104Los Angeles Clippers(A)
H
Feb 8, 24
(H)Los Angeles Clippers106 - 117New Orleans Pelicans(A)
A
Jan 6, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans95 - 111Los Angeles Clippers(A)
A
Nov 25, 23
(H)Los Angeles Clippers106 - 116New Orleans Pelicans(A)
A
Apr 2, 23
(H)New Orleans Pelicans122 - 114Los Angeles Clippers(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The Clippers have dominated this recent rivalry, winning 6 of the last 8 meetings since 2023. Most notably, LA crushed...

The Clippers have dominated this recent rivalry, winning 6 of the last 8 meetings since 2023. Most notably, LA crushed New Orleans 137-117 just two weeks ago at home, showcasing their offensive firepower. However, the Pelicans have shown they can compete, winning 127-120 at home in March 2025 and taking 2 of the last 4 meetings overall. The recent games have been high-scoring affairs, with 7 of the last 8 meetings going over 220 points. When playing in New Orleans, the series has been more competitive, with the home team covering the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings at this venue.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

New Orleans Pelicans

15 of 15 in NBA

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Form Rating

6/10

New Orleans Pelicans Form Analysis

Trending

New Orleans enters with surprising momentum despite their poor overall record. The Pelicans have won...

New Orleans enters with surprising momentum despite their poor overall record. The Pelicans have won 4 of their last 6 home games, including impressive victories over Toronto (122-111), Washington (138-118), and Philadelphia (126-111). Their home scoring average of 118.4 points per game significantly exceeds their road output, suggesting they benefit greatly from familiar surroundings. The team has been particularly effective in high-scoring games, with their last 5 home contests averaging 240+ total points. However, they face immediate schedule pressure with back-to-back games starting tomorrow, which could impact energy levels. Their defensive struggles continue, allowing 120.5 points per game at home, but their offensive rhythm has been consistent lately.

Los Angeles Clippers

15 of 15 in NBA

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W
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Form Rating

6/10

Los Angeles Clippers Form Analysis

Analysis

The Clippers present a mixed bag on the road, posting a 17-19 away record while...

The Clippers present a mixed bag on the road, posting a 17-19 away record while averaging just 111.3 points per game in road contests. They've won 4 of their last 6 games overall but have been inconsistent away from home, including recent losses to Sacramento (118-109) and San Antonio (116-112). LA's extensive injury list includes key players like James Harden, Chris Paul, and Bradley Beal, significantly impacting their depth and offensive flow. The team faces severe fixture congestion with 4 games in the next 7 days, including back-to-back situations. Their road defensive numbers (112.6 points allowed) are slightly better than at home, but they've struggled to maintain offensive consistency without their full roster available.

shieldNew Orleans Pelicans

check_circle

No reported injuries

shieldLos Angeles Clippers17

  • Bogdanovic Bogdan

    Injured
  • Paul Chris

    Injured
  • Zubac Ivica

    Injured
  • Brown Kobe

    Injured
  • Harden James

    Injured
Bogdanovic Bogdan
Paul Chris
Zubac Ivica
Brown Kobe
Harden James
Batum Nicolas
Beal Bradley
Banton Dalano
Baldwin Patrick
Y. Niederhauser
J. Preston
C. Christie
R. Dennis
N. Omier
K. Sanders
J. Telfort
S. Pedulla

Showing 1-5 of 17 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.