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New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
VS
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Saturday, Mar 21, 2026 · --:--

New Orleans Pelicans Arena

Final
New Orleans Pelicans
106–111
Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction highlights a fascinating matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions. Cleveland (43-30, 58.9% win rate) travels to New Orleans to face the struggling Pelicans (23-48, 32.4% win rate) in what should be a clear-cut NBA picks opportunity. The Cavaliers have been impressive on the road this season, posting a 20-16 away record while averaging 119.8 points per game. New Orleans has been particularly vulnerable at home, managing just 14-22 in their own building while allowing 120.3 points per contest. Both teams enter with adequate rest - Cleveland with 3 days off and New Orleans with 4 days - eliminating any fatigue concerns. The Pelicans have shown some recent life with wins in 4 of their last 6 home games, including impressive victories over Dallas (129-111) and Toronto (122-111). However, Cleveland's superior talent and playoff positioning make them the logical choice in this basketball betting tips scenario. Expert picks favor the visitors to cover what should be a substantial spread.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
New Orleans Pelicans23-4832.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers43-3058.9%
Avg Points Scored
New Orleans Pelicans115.9
Cleveland Cavaliers118.8
Avg Points Allowed
New Orleans Pelicans120.0
Cleveland Cavaliers115.1
Point Differential
New Orleans Pelicans-4.1
Cleveland Cavaliers+3.7

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New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers - Match Analysis

Should I take Cleveland to cover the spread against New Orleans?

Yes, Cleveland should cover comfortably. The Cavaliers have dominated this head-to-head matchup recently, winning 4 of 5 meetings and covering in 3 of their last 4. Their superior 43-30 record compared to New Orleans' 23-48 mark, combined with solid 20-16 road performance, makes them an excellent spread play against the defensively challenged Pelicans.

Will this game go over the total points?

The over looks promising based on both teams' recent scoring trends. Cleveland averages 119.8 points on the road while New Orleans scores 118.7 at home but allows 120.3 points per contest. Their recent head-to-head meetings have been high-scoring affairs, and both teams have shown offensive capability in recent games, suggesting a total over 235 points is achievable.

How does the rest situation affect this matchup?

The rest situation slightly favors New Orleans with 4 days off compared to Cleveland's 3 days, but neither team faces fatigue concerns. Both teams avoided back-to-back situations leading into this game. The rest advantage is minimal and shouldn't override Cleveland's superior talent and recent dominance in this series. Fresh legs should benefit both offenses in what projects as a high-scoring contest.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

New Orleans Pelicans (3)Cleveland Cavaliers (7)
Dec 24, 25
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers141 - 118New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Nov 21, 24
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers128 - 100New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Nov 7, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans122 - 131Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
A
Mar 14, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans95 - 116Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
A
Dec 22, 23
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers104 - 123New Orleans Pelicans(A)
A
Feb 11, 23
(H)New Orleans Pelicans107 - 118Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
A
Jan 16, 23
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers113 - 103New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Feb 1, 22
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers93 - 90New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Dec 29, 21
(H)New Orleans Pelicans108 - 104Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
H
Aug 13, 21
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers74 - 87New Orleans Pelicans(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Cleveland has dominated this recent head-to-head series, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings since 2024. The Cavaliers' most impressive...

Cleveland has dominated this recent head-to-head series, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings since 2024. The Cavaliers' most impressive performance came in their December 2025 matchup, cruising to a 141-118 victory in Cleveland. New Orleans managed just one victory in the November 2024 meeting (131-122), but that came at home where they'll host again tonight. The average total in their last 3 meetings has been 252 points, suggesting both teams can score when they meet. Cleveland has covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 meetings, demonstrating consistent superiority against New Orleans.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

New Orleans Pelicans

15 of 15 in NBA

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Form Rating

6/10

New Orleans Pelicans Form Analysis

Trending

New Orleans enters this contest with a disappointing 23-48 record but has shown recent signs...

New Orleans enters this contest with a disappointing 23-48 record but has shown recent signs of life at home. The Pelicans have won 4 of their last 6 home games, including impressive offensive displays against Dallas (129-111) and Washington (138-118). Their home scoring average of 118.7 points per game is actually higher than their road output, though they still struggle defensively, allowing 120.3 points at home. The team appears to be dealing with significant injury concerns, with multiple players listed as out or questionable. Despite their poor overall record, New Orleans has been competitive in recent games, with 5 of their last 8 contests decided by single digits. Their 4 days of rest should help them prepare properly for this important matchup.

Cleveland Cavaliers

15 of 15 in NBA

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Form Rating

6/10

Cleveland Cavaliers Form Analysis

Analysis

Cleveland brings a strong 43-30 record and excellent road form into New Orleans, posting a...

Cleveland brings a strong 43-30 record and excellent road form into New Orleans, posting a solid 20-16 away record this season. The Cavaliers have been particularly impressive offensively on the road, averaging 119.8 points per game away from home. Their recent form shows resilience, bouncing back from losses with quality wins, including a 123-116 victory over Milwaukee in their last outing. Cleveland's 3 days of rest advantage over their recent schedule should have them fresh and ready. The team has shown good offensive consistency, scoring 115+ points in 8 of their last 10 games. Their superior talent level and playoff positioning make them a dangerous road team, especially against struggling opponents like New Orleans.

shieldNew Orleans Pelicans9

  • Murray Dejounte

    Questionable
  • Springer Jaden

    Injured
  • Jordan DeAndre

    Questionable
  • Looney Kevon

    Injured
  • Alvarado Jose

    Injured
Murray Dejounte
Springer Jaden
Jordan DeAndre
Looney Kevon
Alvarado Jose
B. McGowens
T. Alexander
H. Dickinson
C. Shumate

Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries

shieldCleveland Cavaliers17

  • Travers Luke

    Injured
  • Hunter De'Andre

    Injured
  • Ball Lonzo

    Injured
  • Allen Jarrett

    Injured
  • Garland Darius

    Injured
Travers Luke
Hunter De'Andre
Ball Lonzo
Allen Jarrett
Garland Darius
Porter Craig
Hayes Killian
Nance Larry
C. Livingston
T. Enaruna
T. Proctor
M. Kopp
Minix
N. Tomlin
D. Brown
N. Omier
C. Johnson

Showing 1-5 of 17 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.