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Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies24th in NBA (24-49)
VS
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns13th in NBA (40-33)

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns

Tuesday, Mar 31, 2026 · --:--

Memphis Grizzlies Arena

Final
Memphis Grizzlies
105–131
Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns prediction highlights a fascinating matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions. Memphis sits at 24th in the standings with a dismal 25-53 record, enduring one of the worst seasons in franchise history while dealing with extensive injury issues. The Grizzlies have lost 10 of their last 11 games and are averaging just 115.2 points while allowing 119.7. Phoenix, ranked 13th at 40-33, represents a playoff-contending team that has shown resilience despite inconsistency. The Suns average 112.8 points scored and 110.5 allowed, demonstrating superior defensive efficiency. Memphis benefits from 3 days rest compared to Phoenix's 5 days, though both teams enter without back-to-back fatigue. The Suns face upcoming fixture congestion with 4 games in the next 7 days, potentially affecting their energy levels. Phoenix's superior talent depth and playoff motivation should overcome Memphis's home court advantage. Expert picks favor the Suns to cover the spread and the total to stay under given Memphis's offensive struggles. NBA picks suggest Phoenix's defensive discipline will limit the high-scoring potential, making basketball betting tips lean toward the under.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Memphis Grizzlies25-5332.1%
Phoenix Suns43-3356.6%
Avg Points Scored
Memphis Grizzlies115.2
Phoenix Suns112.8
Avg Points Allowed
Memphis Grizzlies119.7
Phoenix Suns110.5
Point Differential
Memphis Grizzlies-4.5
Phoenix Suns+2.3

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Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns - Match Analysis

Should I take Phoenix to cover the -8.5 spread against Memphis?

Yes, Phoenix should easily cover against Memphis's injury-depleted roster. The Grizzlies have won just 1 of their last 11 games and are missing key players including Ja Morant. Phoenix's superior talent depth and playoff motivation should result in a comfortable victory. Memphis's 13-26 home record shows they can't protect their arena, making Phoenix's spread coverage highly likely in this mismatch.

Will this game go over or under 235.5 points?

The under appears more likely given Memphis's offensive struggles and extensive injuries. The Grizzlies average just 115.2 points and have lost their primary scoring threats. Phoenix's improved defense (110.5 PPG allowed) should limit Memphis's scoring opportunities. While Phoenix can score, they may coast once establishing a comfortable lead, keeping the total below the inflated number that doesn't account for Memphis's current roster limitations.

How do Memphis's injuries affect this matchup?

Memphis's extensive injury list completely changes this game's dynamics. Missing Ja Morant and other key contributors eliminates their competitive edge against playoff-caliber teams. The Grizzlies lack the offensive firepower to keep pace with Phoenix's balanced attack. These injuries explain their 1-10 record in recent games and make them vulnerable to blowout losses. Phoenix should exploit these roster gaps throughout the game.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Memphis Grizzlies (6)Phoenix Suns (4)
Jan 8, 26
(H)Memphis Grizzlies98 - 117Phoenix Suns(A)
A
Oct 30, 25
(H)Phoenix Suns113 - 114Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Mar 11, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies120 - 118Phoenix Suns(A)
H
Feb 26, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies151 - 148Phoenix Suns(A)
H
Feb 12, 25
(H)Phoenix Suns112 - 119Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Jan 1, 25
(H)Phoenix Suns112 - 117Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Jan 8, 24
(H)Phoenix Suns115 - 121Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Dec 3, 23
(H)Phoenix Suns116 - 109Memphis Grizzlies(A)
H
Nov 24, 23
(H)Memphis Grizzlies89 - 110Phoenix Suns(A)
A
Jul 16, 23
(H)Phoenix Suns102 - 79Memphis Grizzlies(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings favor a competitive series with Memphis holding a slight 2-1 edge in their last three encounters since...

Recent head-to-head meetings favor a competitive series with Memphis holding a slight 2-1 edge in their last three encounters since 2025. The Grizzlies won 114-113 in Phoenix early this season and took a thrilling 151-148 overtime victory last February. However, Phoenix dominated 117-98 in their most recent January meeting in Memphis. The series has featured high-scoring affairs, with totals consistently exceeding 225 points. Memphis has shown they can compete with Phoenix when healthy, but their current injury-depleted roster lacks the firepower that made those previous victories possible.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Memphis Grizzlies

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

1.3/10

Memphis Grizzlies Form Analysis

Trending

Memphis enters this contest in complete disarray with a 25-53 record that places them among...

Memphis enters this contest in complete disarray with a 25-53 record that places them among the NBA's worst teams. The Grizzlies have managed just 1 win in their last 11 games, showcasing their inability to compete consistently. Their home record of 13-26 offers little comfort, as they've struggled to protect their arena all season. Memphis averages 115.8 points at home while allowing 118.4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that opponents regularly exploit. The team's extensive injury list includes key players like Ja Morant, creating massive gaps in their rotation. With 3 days of rest, they should be physically prepared, but their talent deficit remains overwhelming. Recent losses to Houston (119-109) and San Antonio (123-98) demonstrate their inability to compete against quality opposition.

Phoenix Suns

15 of 15 in NBA

L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Phoenix Suns Form Analysis

Analysis

Phoenix brings a 40-33 record and playoff aspirations to Memphis, though their recent form shows...

Phoenix brings a 40-33 record and playoff aspirations to Memphis, though their recent form shows concerning inconsistency. The Suns have lost 3 of their last 5 games, including defeats to Denver (125-123) and Milwaukee (108-105), highlighting their struggles against elite competition. However, they've shown resilience with quality wins over Toronto (120-98) and Charlotte (111-99). Phoenix averages 113.6 points on the road while allowing 112.8, demonstrating solid offensive efficiency away from home. Their 18-17 road record indicates they can compete anywhere when focused. With 5 days of rest, they enter well-rested but face upcoming fixture congestion with 4 games in 7 days. This scheduling pressure could motivate them to secure an easy victory against Memphis's depleted roster.

shieldMemphis Grizzlies21

  • Caldwell-Pope Kentavious

    Injured
  • Key Braxton

    Injured
  • Landale Jock

    Injured
  • Hinton Nate

    Injured
  • Aldama Santi

    Injured
Caldwell-Pope Kentavious
Key Braxton
Landale Jock
Hinton Nate
Aldama Santi
Konchar John
Morant Ja
Pippen Jr Scotty
Williams Vince
Clarke Brandon
Jackson Jaren
Anderson Kyle
Bassey Charles
C. J. Koloko
Z. Edey
C. Spencer
P. Hall
J. Small
L. Lovering
J. Mashack
C. Coward

Showing 1-5 of 21 injuries

shieldPhoenix Suns12

  • Richards Nick

    Injured
  • Brooks Dillon

    Injured
  • Coffey Amir

    Injured
  • Highsmith Haywood

    Injured
  • Duke Jr. David

    Injured
Richards Nick
Brooks Dillon
Coffey Amir
Highsmith Haywood
Duke Jr. David
Butler Jared
Livers Isaiah
Hayes Nigel
M. Williams
R. Dunn
K. Brea
C. Huntley

Showing 1-5 of 12 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.