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Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies21st in NBA (18-23)
VS
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans28th in NBA (10-35)

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans

Saturday, Jan 24, 2026 · --:--

Memphis Grizzlies Arena

Final
Memphis Grizzlies
127–133
New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction highlights a crucial Western Conference matchup between two struggling franchises. Memphis (18-23, 21st) hosts New Orleans (10-35, 28th) in what represents a must-win opportunity for the Grizzlies at home. Both teams enter with identical five-day rest advantages, eliminating schedule fatigue as a factor. Memphis has dominated this season series, winning both previous meetings including a 128-122 home victory in October and a 133-128 road win in November. The Grizzlies have shown better recent form with wins in three of their last five games, while the Pelicans remain mired in dysfunction with just one win in their last five contests. Expert picks favor Memphis to capitalize on home court advantage against the league's second-worst team. NBA picks suggest backing the Grizzlies in this basketball betting tips opportunity, as New Orleans continues to struggle defensively and lacks the depth to compete consistently. Memphis should control this game from start to finish, making them an attractive spread play at home.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Memphis Grizzlies (9)New Orleans Pelicans (1)
Nov 27, 25
(H)New Orleans Pelicans128 - 133Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Oct 23, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies128 - 122New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Mar 9, 25
(H)New Orleans Pelicans104 - 107Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Jan 25, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies139 - 126New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Dec 28, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans124 - 132Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Nov 29, 24
(H)Memphis Grizzlies120 - 109New Orleans Pelicans(A)
H
Jul 18, 24
(H)New Orleans Pelicans77 - 88Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Feb 13, 24
(H)Memphis Grizzlies87 - 96New Orleans Pelicans(A)
A
Dec 27, 23
(H)New Orleans Pelicans115 - 116Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Dec 20, 23
(H)New Orleans Pelicans113 - 115Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Memphis completely dominates this head-to-head matchup, winning both meetings this season by a combined 11 points. The Grizzlies swept the...

Memphis completely dominates this head-to-head matchup, winning both meetings this season by a combined 11 points. The Grizzlies swept the season series 2-0, including a 128-122 home victory in October and a 133-128 road win in November. Looking at recent history, Memphis has won 7 of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2023, consistently finding ways to outscore New Orleans in high-scoring affairs. The Grizzlies have covered the spread in both meetings this season, demonstrating their ability to not just win but win convincingly against the Pelicans.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Memphis Grizzlies

15 of 15 in NBA

W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

4/10

Memphis Grizzlies Form Analysis

Trending

Memphis enters with a 18-23 record but has shown signs of life recently, winning three...

Memphis enters with a 18-23 record but has shown signs of life recently, winning three of their last five games including impressive home victories over Orlando (126-109) and Brooklyn (103-98). The Grizzlies have been competitive at home, though they've struggled with consistency throughout the season. Their recent form includes close losses to elite teams like Oklahoma City, showing they can hang with better competition. With five days of rest, Memphis should be fresh and ready to capitalize on home court advantage. The team has dealt with significant injury issues all season, but their recent play suggests they're finding ways to compete despite roster limitations. Key players have stepped up in recent games, and the home crowd should provide additional energy.

New Orleans Pelicans

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

1.3/10

New Orleans Pelicans Form Analysis

Analysis

New Orleans limps into Memphis with a disastrous 10-35 record, sitting as the second-worst team...

New Orleans limps into Memphis with a disastrous 10-35 record, sitting as the second-worst team in the NBA. The Pelicans have managed just one win in their last five games, a narrow 116-113 home victory over Brooklyn. Their recent road form has been particularly concerning, with losses at Houston (119-110) and Indiana (127-119) highlighting their inability to compete away from home. Despite having five days of rest, New Orleans continues to struggle with defensive consistency and lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace with most opponents. The team has been plagued by injuries throughout the season, significantly impacting their rotation and chemistry. Their road struggles are well-documented, and facing a desperate Memphis team at home presents a difficult challenge for this rebuilding franchise.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Memphis Grizzlies19-2741.3%
New Orleans Pelicans10-3721.3%
Avg Points Scored
Memphis Grizzlies115.4
New Orleans Pelicans115.4
Avg Points Allowed
Memphis Grizzlies117.4
New Orleans Pelicans122.6

shieldMemphis Grizzlies14

  • Jerome Ty

    Injured

  • Prosper Olivier-Maxence

    Questionable

  • Key Braxton

    Injured

  • Hinton Nate

    Injured

  • Morant Ja

    Injured
Jerome Ty
Prosper Olivier-Maxence
Key Braxton
Hinton Nate
Morant Ja
Pippen Jr Scotty
Clarke Brandon
Bassey Charles
Z. Edey
P. Hall
J. Small
L. Lovering
J. Mashack
T. Burton

Showing 1-5 of 14 injuries

shieldNew Orleans Pelicans9

  • Springer Jaden

    Injured

  • Jordan DeAndre

    Injured

  • Looney Kevon

    Injured

  • Alvarado Jose

    Injured

  • Jones Herbert

    Injured
Springer Jaden
Jordan DeAndre
Looney Kevon
Alvarado Jose
Jones Herbert
B. McGowens
T. Alexander
H. Dickinson
C. Shumate

Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Memphis Grizzlies-2.0
New Orleans Pelicans-7.2

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans - Match Analysis

Should I take Memphis to cover the -8.5 spread against New Orleans?

Yes, Memphis should easily cover the spread at home. The Grizzlies have dominated this season series 2-0, winning by an average of 5.5 points including road victories. At home with equal rest, Memphis has every advantage against the league's second-worst team. New Orleans struggles defensively and lacks the depth to compete with even mediocre teams on the road. The spread appears conservative given the talent gap.

Will this game go over or under 225.5 points?

The Over 225.5 looks strong based on recent head-to-head history and both teams' offensive capabilities. Their two meetings this season averaged 255.5 points, well above this total. Memphis has scored efficiently at home recently, while New Orleans allows plenty of points on defense. Both teams prefer uptempo play, and with five days of rest, legs should be fresh for an offensive showcase. The pace matchup strongly favors the Over.

How does the five-day rest period affect this matchup?

The equal rest advantage neutralizes schedule fatigue, putting the focus squarely on talent and home court advantage. Both teams should be fresh and ready to play their best basketball. For Memphis, this means their key players will have fresh legs to exploit New Orleans' defensive weaknesses. The Pelicans benefit from rest but still face the challenge of playing a desperate home team with superior talent and motivation.

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