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Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies23rd in NBA (23-41)
VS
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks25th in NBA (21-44)

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

Friday, Mar 13, 2026 · --:--

Memphis Grizzlies Arena

Final
Memphis Grizzlies
112–120
Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks prediction features two struggling teams battling at the bottom of their respective conferences. Both teams sit at identical 24-45 records, making this NBA picks opportunity intriguing for bettors seeking value. Memphis holds a commanding head-to-head advantage, winning all three meetings this season including a dominant 124-105 victory in Dallas just two weeks ago. The Grizzlies' home court advantage becomes crucial here, as they've shown more fight at home despite their poor overall record. Both teams enter with two days of rest, eliminating any fatigue concerns, but Memphis has been more competitive in recent games, pushing quality opponents closer than expected. Dallas continues their road struggles, averaging just 111.7 points away from home while allowing 117.8 points per game. The Mavericks have lost five straight games and appear to be in complete freefall, scoring under 100 points in three of their last six contests. With basketball betting tips pointing toward the home team's recent dominance in this matchup, Memphis represents solid value despite both teams' poor records. Expert picks favor the Grizzlies to continue their season series dominance and cover the spread at home.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Memphis Grizzlies (9)Dallas Mavericks (1)
Feb 28, 26
(H)Dallas Mavericks105 - 124Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Nov 23, 25
(H)Dallas Mavericks96 - 102Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Nov 8, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies118 - 104Dallas Mavericks(A)
H
Apr 19, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies120 - 106Dallas Mavericks(A)
H
Apr 13, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies132 - 97Dallas Mavericks(A)
H
Mar 8, 25
(H)Dallas Mavericks111 - 122Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Jan 7, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies119 - 104Dallas Mavericks(A)
H
Dec 4, 24
(H)Dallas Mavericks121 - 116Memphis Grizzlies(A)
H
Oct 8, 24
(H)Dallas Mavericks116 - 121Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Jul 16, 24
(H)Memphis Grizzlies108 - 88Dallas Mavericks(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Memphis has completely dominated this season series, sweeping all three meetings with convincing victories. The Grizzlies won 124-105 in Dallas...

Memphis has completely dominated this season series, sweeping all three meetings with convincing victories. The Grizzlies won 124-105 in Dallas on February 28th, followed by earlier wins of 102-96 and 118-104. Memphis has outscored Dallas by an average of 15 points per game in their head-to-head meetings this season, demonstrating clear superiority in the matchup. The Grizzlies have covered the spread in all three encounters, making them a reliable against the spread play in this rivalry. Dallas has struggled to find any answers for Memphis' style of play throughout the season series.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Memphis Grizzlies

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2/10

Memphis Grizzlies Form Analysis

Trending

Memphis enters with a 24-45 record but has shown more competitive spirit recently despite their...

Memphis enters with a 24-45 record but has shown more competitive spirit recently despite their poor standing. The Grizzlies are coming off two days of rest after losing 129-139 to Philadelphia, where they managed to score 129 points in a high-scoring affair. Their home record of 12-22 isn't impressive, but they've been more competitive at home, averaging 116.5 points while allowing 118.3. Memphis has dealt with significant injury issues all season, with multiple key players sidelined, but they've continued to fight hard in most games. The team has shown the ability to put up points consistently, reaching 120+ in several recent contests. Their recent form includes quality performances against playoff-contending teams, suggesting they're not simply rolling over despite their poor record.

Dallas Mavericks

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

1.3/10

Dallas Mavericks Form Analysis

Analysis

Dallas limps into Memphis with a matching 24-45 record but appears to be in worse...

Dallas limps into Memphis with a matching 24-45 record but appears to be in worse form than their hosts. The Mavericks have lost five consecutive games, including embarrassing defeats where they scored just 92 and 90 points respectively. Their road struggles are particularly concerning, posting a 9-25 away record while averaging only 111.7 points per game on the road. Dallas has been blown out in several recent contests, losing by 12+ points in four of their last six games. The team's offensive inconsistency has been glaring, failing to reach 100 points in three of their last six outings. With two days of rest, fatigue isn't an excuse, but their confidence appears shattered after the recent losing streak. The Mavericks have struggled particularly against Western Conference opponents on the road.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Memphis Grizzlies24-4534.8%
Dallas Mavericks24-4534.8%
Avg Points Scored
Memphis Grizzlies116.0
Dallas Mavericks113.0
Avg Points Allowed
Memphis Grizzlies119.0
Dallas Mavericks116.8

shieldMemphis Grizzlies19

  • Caldwell-Pope Kentavious

    Injured
  • Key Braxton

    Injured
  • Landale Jock

    Injured
  • Hinton Nate

    Injured
  • Aldama Santi

    Injured
Caldwell-Pope Kentavious
Key Braxton
Landale Jock
Hinton Nate
Aldama Santi
Konchar John
Morant Ja
Pippen Jr Scotty
Williams Vince
Clarke Brandon
Jackson Jaren
Anderson Kyle
Bassey Charles
C. J. Koloko
Z. Edey
P. Hall
W. Clayton
L. Lovering
T. Burton

Showing 1-5 of 19 injuries

shieldDallas Mavericks

check_circle

No reported injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Memphis Grizzlies-3.0
Dallas Mavericks-3.8

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks - Match Analysis

Should I take Memphis to cover the spread against Dallas?

Yes, Memphis represents strong value to cover the spread. The Grizzlies are 3-0 against Dallas this season with an average margin of victory of 15 points. They've covered the spread in all three meetings, demonstrating consistent superiority in this matchup. Dallas' five-game losing streak and poor 9-25 road record make them vulnerable, while Memphis has shown more competitive fight recently despite their poor overall record.

Will this game go over or under the total points?

The total presents a challenging decision given both teams' recent form. Memphis has been involved in higher-scoring games recently, averaging 116.5 points at home, while Dallas has struggled offensively with sub-100 point performances in recent games. The head-to-head history shows varied scoring, but Memphis' ability to put up points consistently against Dallas suggests the over has merit if both teams can reach their season averages.

How does Memphis' home court advantage affect this matchup?

Home court advantage is significant in this matchup, especially given Dallas' poor road record of 9-25. Memphis has been more competitive at home, and their perfect season series record against Dallas includes dominant home victories. The Grizzlies have averaged 116.5 points at home compared to Dallas' road average of 111.7 points, creating a clear advantage for the home team in what should be a competitive game between two struggling franchises.

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