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Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies23rd in NBA (18-26)
VS
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets21st in NBA (19-28)

Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets

Thursday, Jan 29, 2026 · --:--

Memphis Grizzlies Arena

Final
Memphis Grizzlies
97–112
Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets prediction features two struggling teams looking to build momentum in this late January matchup. Memphis sits 23rd in the standings with an 18-26 record, while Charlotte ranks 21st at 19-28, both teams fighting to avoid the bottom of their respective conferences. The Grizzlies have been inconsistent at home, managing just one win in their last three games, including recent losses to Houston and New Orleans. Charlotte arrives with better recent form, winning three of their last five games with impressive victories over Philadelphia (130-93) and Orlando (124-97). Both teams face medium fatigue risk with two days rest, but Memphis benefits from home court advantage. The NBA picks favor Memphis slightly due to their home venue, though Charlotte's superior recent momentum makes this a competitive basketball betting tips opportunity. Expert picks suggest this total could exceed expectations given both teams' offensive capabilities when clicking.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Memphis Grizzlies19-3038.8%
Charlotte Hornets21-3140.4%
Avg Points Scored
Memphis Grizzlies115.4
Charlotte Hornets116.7
Avg Points Allowed
Memphis Grizzlies117.6
Charlotte Hornets115.5
Point Differential
Memphis Grizzlies-2.2
Charlotte Hornets+1.2

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Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets - Match Analysis

Should I take Charlotte to cover the +2.5 spread?

Yes, Charlotte offers excellent value at +2.5. The Hornets have won three of their last four head-to-head meetings and bring superior recent form with three wins in five games. Their offensive explosion potential, highlighted by 130+ point games against Philadelphia and Utah, makes them dangerous against Memphis's struggling defense. Charlotte has covered the spread consistently during their recent hot streak.

Will this game go over or under 225.5 points?

Take the over 225.5 points. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs recently, with Charlotte averaging 120+ points in their last five games and Memphis allowing 115+ consistently. Their October meeting totaled 261 points, and both teams' defensive struggles suggest another offensive showcase. Charlotte's pace-heavy style combined with Memphis's home court desperation creates perfect over conditions.

How does Memphis's injury situation affect this matchup?

Memphis faces significant challenges with Ja Morant and multiple key players sidelined, forcing them to rely heavily on role players. This creates offensive inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities that Charlotte can exploit. The Grizzlies have managed just 18 wins partly due to these absences, while Charlotte's healthier roster provides a clear advantage in depth and execution during crucial moments.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Memphis Grizzlies (5)Charlotte Hornets (5)
Oct 15, 25
(H)Charlotte Hornets145 - 116Memphis Grizzlies(A)
H
Apr 8, 25
(H)Charlotte Hornets100 - 124Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Jan 23, 25
(H)Memphis Grizzlies132 - 120Charlotte Hornets(A)
H
Oct 11, 24
(H)Memphis Grizzlies94 - 119Charlotte Hornets(A)
A
Mar 14, 24
(H)Memphis Grizzlies98 - 110Charlotte Hornets(A)
A
Feb 11, 24
(H)Charlotte Hornets115 - 106Memphis Grizzlies(A)
H
Jan 5, 23
(H)Charlotte Hornets107 - 131Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Nov 5, 22
(H)Memphis Grizzlies130 - 99Charlotte Hornets(A)
H
Feb 13, 22
(H)Charlotte Hornets118 - 125Memphis Grizzlies(A)
A
Nov 11, 21
(H)Memphis Grizzlies108 - 118Charlotte Hornets(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors Charlotte, who dominated Memphis 145-116 in their October 2025 meeting at home. The Hornets have...

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors Charlotte, who dominated Memphis 145-116 in their October 2025 meeting at home. The Hornets have won three of the last four encounters, including convincing victories in 2024-25 (119-94) and 2023-24 (110-98, 115-106). Memphis managed just one win in recent meetings, a 132-120 home victory in January 2025. Charlotte has consistently found success against Memphis, particularly when their offense is flowing, averaging 118 points in their three recent wins.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Memphis Grizzlies

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

3.3/10

Memphis Grizzlies Form Analysis

Trending

Memphis enters with concerning form, losing four of their last five games including a disappointing...

Memphis enters with concerning form, losing four of their last five games including a disappointing 99-108 road loss to Houston. The Grizzlies have struggled defensively, allowing 127+ points in three recent games, including a 133-127 home loss to New Orleans. However, they showed offensive potential in a 137-128 road win over Utah and nearly upset Oklahoma City (116-117). Star guard Ja Morant remains sidelined along with multiple key players, forcing Memphis to rely on role players. Their home court hasn't provided much advantage recently, but they did manage quality wins over Orlando (126-109) and Milwaukee (125-104) when healthy bodies were available.

Charlotte Hornets

15 of 15 in NBA

W
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Charlotte Hornets Form Analysis

Analysis

Charlotte brings impressive momentum with three wins in their last five games, including dominant performances...

Charlotte brings impressive momentum with three wins in their last five games, including dominant performances over Philadelphia (130-93) and Washington (119-115). The Hornets have been explosive offensively, scoring 124+ points in four of their last eight games, highlighted by a remarkable 150-95 demolition of Utah. Their road form has been solid with quality wins at Denver (110-87) and the Lakers (135-117). However, they've shown defensive inconsistencies, allowing 116+ points in several recent contests. Key players remain available despite some injury concerns, and their pace-heavy style has generated high-scoring affairs consistently throughout January.

shieldMemphis Grizzlies15

  • Jerome Ty

    Injured
  • Key Braxton

    Injured
  • Landale Jock

    Questionable
  • Hinton Nate

    Injured
  • Morant Ja

    Injured
Jerome Ty
Key Braxton
Landale Jock
Hinton Nate
Morant Ja
Pippen Jr Scotty
Clarke Brandon
Bassey Charles
C. J. Koloko
Z. Edey
P. Hall
J. Small
L. Lovering
J. Mashack
T. Burton

Showing 1-5 of 15 injuries

shieldCharlotte Hornets8

  • Peterson Drew

    Injured
  • Plumlee Mason

    Injured
  • Dinwiddie Spencer

    Injured
  • Badji Ibou

    Injured
  • Simpson KJ

    Injured
Peterson Drew
Plumlee Mason
Dinwiddie Spencer
Badji Ibou
Simpson KJ
A. Reeves
L. McNeeley
P. Hall

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.