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Los Angeles Sparks W Arena
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The Los Angeles Sparks W vs Seattle Storm W prediction for this July 7 WNBA matchup favors the home side, though neither team enters this contest in convincing form. The Sparks sit at 9-10 on the season and have enjoyed nine full days of rest since their last outing — a significant advantage heading into this game.
Los Angeles has been inconsistent, dropping back-to-back road games to Indiana and Toronto before that stretch, but they did beat Seattle 88-83 on the road on June 11, demonstrating they can handle this matchup. Their home record (3-6) is a concern, but the rest edge and injury-depleted roster on the Seattle side tip the scales. The Sparks are dealing with their own injury issues — C. Brink (Out, 4 games missed), K. Martin (Out), S. Feagin (Out), and K. Plum (Questionable) — which limits their depth considerably.
Seattle arrives with just three days of rest after a 67-90 road loss to Phoenix on July 3. The Storm are 6-17 overall and a dismal 1-10 on the road this season, making them one of the league's worst away teams. T. Mair is listed Out for Seattle. The combined scoring signal of 8.17 points per game (per the prediction data) suggests a moderate-paced contest.
The Sparks' rest advantage, home court, and Seattle's dreadful road record make Los Angeles the pick here. Back the Sparks on the moneyline, with the total leaning toward the under given both teams' defensive tendencies and Seattle's recent low-scoring output.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Looking at head-to-head meetings from the last two seasons, the most recent encounter on June 11, 2026 saw the Sparks...
Looking at head-to-head meetings from the last two seasons, the most recent encounter on June 11, 2026 saw the Sparks win 88-83 in Seattle — the only H2H result from 2026 available. In 2025 meetings, the home team won each contest: Seattle took two home games (91-85 and 108-106) while Los Angeles won at home 94-91. The pattern strongly favors the home side in this rivalry, with four of the last five meetings won by the host team. That trend supports the Sparks tonight.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
4.7/10
The Sparks enter at 9-10 overall, having lost four of their last six games. Their...
The Sparks enter at 9-10 overall, having lost four of their last six games. Their most recent result was a 87-111 road blowout against Indiana on June 28, and they also fell 97-125 at Toronto before that. However, they sandwiched a home win over New York Liberty (98-97) in that stretch and beat Seattle on the road in June. Their home record of 3-6 is underwhelming, but nine days of rest is a meaningful edge. Injury concerns are real — C. Brink, K. Martin, and S. Feagin are all out, while K. Plum is questionable — limiting rotation depth significantly.
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
2/10
Seattle is struggling badly at 6-17 overall, and their road record of 1-10 is among...
Seattle is struggling badly at 6-17 overall, and their road record of 1-10 is among the worst in the league. Their most recent game was a 67-90 loss at Phoenix on July 3, and they have lost seven of their last ten contests. The Storm did show some life with back-to-back home wins over Atlanta (105-90) and New York Liberty (99-88) in late June, but road games have been a completely different story. With only three days of rest and T. Mair ruled out, Seattle faces a tough environment in Los Angeles. Their away scoring average of just 75.6 points per game is a major red flag.
2026 Season
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Los Angeles Sparks W vs Seattle Storm W - Match Analysis
Seattle's road record of 1-10 is one of the worst in the WNBA this season, and it is the single biggest factor in this game. Away from home, the Storm average just 75.6 points per game while conceding 88.5 — a massive negative differential. They also arrive with only three days of rest after a 23-point road loss to Phoenix. Playing in Los Angeles against a rested home side makes this an extremely difficult spot for Seattle to find a win.
The under is the preferred lean here. Seattle's road scoring average of 75.6 points per game is well below their home average, and the Sparks' home offense (87.3 per game) is modest. Both rosters are dealing with injuries — the Sparks are missing three players outright and have K. Plum questionable. The combined scoring signal of 8.17 per game from the prediction data also points toward a lower-scoring contest. Expect a final score in the 155-170 combined range, supporting the under.
Moderate
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Even
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The Sparks' injury list is real — C. Brink, K. Martin, and S. Feagin are all out, and K. Plum is questionable — but the rest advantage and Seattle's road futility offset those concerns. Los Angeles also beat Seattle 88-83 on the road in June, showing they match up well against this opponent. With nine days of rest and home court, the Sparks have enough structural advantages to cover a moderate spread, though the injury uncertainty keeps confidence at a medium level.
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