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Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers7th in NBA (2-2)
VS
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers3rd in NBA (3-1)

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026 · --:--

Indiana Pacers Arena

Final
Indiana Pacers
109–114
Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia 76ers won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction: the 76ers arrive in Indianapolis as the Eastern Conference's top-ranked side at 3-0 in the standings, while the Pacers sit ninth at 1-1. Both teams come in with three days of rest, so neither has a schedule disadvantage, and rest does not separate them here.

Philadelphia's recent form is the clearest edge. They have won three straight, beating New York 106-100 on the road before home wins over Cleveland (114-106) and Milwaukee (127-116). Their season average of 114.4 points scored against 114.6 conceded is modest, but their home scoring of 120.3 per game shows the offense can run hot. Indiana's 2-4 record in league play is more erratic: a 136-109 win at Brooklyn followed a 105-121 home loss to Dallas, and the Pacers have conceded 120 points per game at home.

The head-to-head record also leans heavily toward Philadelphia, who have won each of the last five meetings, including 135-114 and 113-104 in Indianapolis-hosted and Philadelphia-hosted games this past season. Indiana's home court is worth roughly 2-3 points, but both sides list long injury reports, so depth and rotation stability matter. Our pick is the 76ers to win and cover a small spread, with the total leaning toward the Over given both teams' recent scoring.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Indiana Pacers (4)Philadelphia 76ers (6)
Jul 11, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers100 - 93Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Apr 10, 26
(H)Indiana Pacers94 - 105Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Feb 25, 26
(H)Indiana Pacers114 - 135Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Jan 20, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers113 - 104Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Dec 13, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers115 - 105Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Mar 14, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers100 - 112Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Jan 19, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers115 - 102Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Dec 14, 24
(H)Philadelphia 76ers107 - 121Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Oct 27, 24
(H)Indiana Pacers114 - 118Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Jan 26, 24
(H)Indiana Pacers134 - 122Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Philadelphia has dominated this matchup recently, winning each of the last five meetings, including a 100-93 Summer League result in...

Philadelphia has dominated this matchup recently, winning each of the last five meetings, including a 100-93 Summer League result in July. The 76ers won 105-94 on April 10, 135-114 in Indianapolis on February 25, 113-104 on January 20, and 115-105 on December 13. Indiana's last wins in the series came in March and January 2025. The 76ers have scored 100 or more in every one of those recent wins, showing consistent offensive output against the Pacers.

Last 12 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Indiana Pacers

7 of 12 in NBA

W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

4.2/10

Indiana Pacers Form Analysis

Trending

Indiana is 2-4 in league play with a 117.8 points-per-game average and 119.0 conceded. The...

Indiana is 2-4 in league play with a 117.8 points-per-game average and 119.0 conceded. The Pacers have struggled at home, going 1-3 with 118 scored and 120 allowed, and recent results have been one-possession games that slipped away, such as 127-128 against Milwaukee and 117-119 against Atlanta. Their best recent performance was a 136-109 road win at Brooklyn, showing the offense can erupt. With three days of rest and a low fatigue risk, the Pacers are fresh, but the defense has to tighten up. Their injury report lists many players out, which could limit rotation depth.

Philadelphia 76ers

7 of 12 in NBA

W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

5/10

Philadelphia 76ers Form Analysis

Analysis

Philadelphia is 4-3 overall with three straight wins, arriving as the top team in the...

Philadelphia is 4-3 overall with three straight wins, arriving as the top team in the East standings. They score 114.4 and concede 114.6 per game, a balanced profile, though road form is weaker at 1-2 with 106.7 scored and 119.3 allowed. The road win at New York (106-100) is a positive sign. Their earlier losses to Boston (125-120 and 144-106) came against a strong opponent. With 95 hours of rest and low fatigue risk, the 76ers should be fresh. Their long injury list is a depth concern, but recent results show the rotation is holding up.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Indiana Pacers2-433.3%
Philadelphia 76ers4-357.1%
Avg Points Scored
Indiana Pacers117.8
Philadelphia 76ers114.4
Avg Points Allowed
Indiana Pacers119.0
Philadelphia 76ers114.6

shieldIndiana Pacers13

  • Y. Kawamura

    Injured

  • T. Kinsey

    Injured

  • R. Mast

    Injured

  • C. Hildreth

    Injured

  • K. Brooks

    Injured
Y. Kawamura
T. Kinsey
R. Mast
C. Hildreth
K. Brooks
G. McGlothan
A. Reese
T. Peter
B. Smith
K. Keita
J. Warley
K. Reeves
M. Iraldi

Showing 1-5 of 13 injuries

shieldPhiladelphia 76ers13

  • Ayayi Gerald

    Injured

  • J. Broome

    Injured

  • S. Thomas

    Injured

  • M. Wilson

    Injured

  • T. Fields

    Injured
Ayayi Gerald
J. Broome
S. Thomas
M. Wilson
T. Fields
D. Maddox
D. Cisse
I. Johnson
A. Lyles
D. Miles
M. Rogers
N. Townsend
J. Campbell

Showing 1-5 of 13 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

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Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Indiana Pacers-1.2
Philadelphia 76ers-0.2

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers - Match Analysis

Should I take the Philadelphia 76ers to cover the spread against the Indiana Pacers?

Philadelphia has won each of the last five head-to-head meetings and enters on a three-game winning streak, which supports backing them against the spread if the line is tight. The risk is their 1-2 road record and 119.3 points allowed away from home. Indiana's home-court edge is worth about 2-3 points, so a spread near pick'em offers the best value on the 76ers.

Will Indiana vs Philadelphia go over or under the total?

The Over looks favored. Indiana allows about 120 points at home and scores 118, while Philadelphia averages 120.3 at home and has scored 106 or more in its recent wins. Both defenses have given up big numbers, and Indiana's last two home games produced combined totals of 226 and 244 points. Unless the posted line is inflated, the Over is the stronger lean.

Does rest play a factor in the Pacers vs 76ers game?

Not significantly. Indiana has about 73 hours of rest and Philadelphia about 95, and both are listed at low fatigue risk with no back-to-back. That means schedule does not tilt the spread either way. The decision comes down to form, head-to-head history, and Indiana's home-court advantage, rather than any fatigue edge.

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