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Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers29th in NBA (18-61)
VS
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers16th in NBA (43-36)

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Friday, Apr 10, 2026 · --:--

Indiana Pacers Arena

Final
Indiana Pacers
94–105
Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia 76ers won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction centers on a significant class gap between these Eastern Conference rivals. The 76ers sit 13 places higher in the standings with a playoff position, while the Pacers languish near the bottom with just 18 points from 79 games. Philadelphia averages 115.4 points per game compared to Indiana's 112.6, showcasing superior offensive efficiency. Both teams enter with identical three-day rest periods, eliminating any schedule advantage. The Pacers have struggled mightily at home this season, managing just 12 wins in 41 games while allowing 118.9 points per contest. Philadelphia's road form is respectable at 21-19, and they've dominated this matchup recently, winning three of the last four meetings including a commanding 135-114 victory in February. Expert picks favor the visitors to cover the spread in what should be a high-scoring affair. Our NBA picks target Philadelphia's superior talent and playoff motivation against a Pacers team that's been defensively porous all season.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Indiana Pacers (5)Philadelphia 76ers (5)
Feb 25, 26
(H)Indiana Pacers114 - 135Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Jan 20, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers113 - 104Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Dec 13, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers115 - 105Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Mar 14, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers100 - 112Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Jan 19, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers115 - 102Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Dec 14, 24
(H)Philadelphia 76ers107 - 121Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Oct 27, 24
(H)Indiana Pacers114 - 118Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Jan 26, 24
(H)Indiana Pacers134 - 122Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Nov 15, 23
(H)Philadelphia 76ers126 - 132Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Nov 12, 23
(H)Philadelphia 76ers137 - 126Indiana Pacers(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Philadelphia has controlled this recent rivalry, winning three of the last four meetings since 2025. The 76ers' most impressive performance...

Philadelphia has controlled this recent rivalry, winning three of the last four meetings since 2025. The 76ers' most impressive performance came in February with a 135-114 blowout victory at Indiana, showcasing their offensive firepower. The Pacers managed just one win in this stretch, a narrow 112-100 victory in Philadelphia last March. Recent games have been high-scoring affairs, averaging 230 total points, with Philadelphia consistently exploiting Indiana's defensive weaknesses. The 76ers have covered the spread in most recent encounters, demonstrating their ability to win convincingly against this struggling Pacers squad.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Indiana Pacers

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

2/10

Indiana Pacers Form Analysis

Trending

Indiana enters this contest in dismal form, having lost eight of their last ten games...

Indiana enters this contest in dismal form, having lost eight of their last ten games including recent defeats to Minnesota (124-104) and Cleveland (117-108). The Pacers rank 29th in the league with a woeful 18-61 record, scoring just 112.6 points per game while surrendering 120.9. Their home court provides little advantage, posting a 12-29 record at Indiana Pacers Arena while allowing 118.9 points per contest. Recent performances show concerning defensive lapses, particularly in transition and perimeter defense. The team lacks consistent offensive threats and has struggled to maintain leads when they do build them. With extensive injury concerns affecting their rotation depth, the Pacers appear destined for another disappointing result.

Philadelphia 76ers

0 of 8 in NBA

W
W
W
L
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

5/10

Philadelphia 76ers Form Analysis

Analysis

Philadelphia arrives in much better shape despite their own inconsistencies, holding a 44-39 record that...

Philadelphia arrives in much better shape despite their own inconsistencies, holding a 44-39 record that keeps them in playoff contention at 16th in the standings. The 76ers average 115.4 points per game with a more balanced offensive attack, though their 116.3 points allowed shows defensive vulnerabilities. Their road record of 21-19 demonstrates competence away from home, crucial for this matchup. Recent form has been mixed, but the talent differential over Indiana remains substantial. Joel Embiid's questionable status adds uncertainty, but Philadelphia's depth should handle a depleted Pacers roster. The 76ers have shown they can exploit weak defensive teams like Indiana, particularly in transition where they excel.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Indiana Pacers20-6324.1%
Philadelphia 76ers44-3953.0%
Avg Points Scored
Indiana Pacers112.6
Philadelphia 76ers115.4
Avg Points Allowed
Indiana Pacers120.9
Philadelphia 76ers116.3

shieldIndiana Pacers20

  • Mathews Garrison

    Questionable
  • Martin Cody

    Questionable
  • Wiseman James

    Questionable
  • McConnell Timothy John

    Questionable
  • Nembhard Andrew

    Questionable
Mathews Garrison
Martin Cody
Wiseman James
McConnell Timothy John
Nembhard Andrew
Sheppard Ben
Jackson Isaiah
Mathurin Bennedict
Nesmith Aaron
Siakam Pascal
Zubac Ivica
Wright Delon
Morris Monte
Robinson Jeremiah
McClung Mac
Payne Cameron
T. Bradley
J. Furphy
R. Dennis
G. McGlothan

Showing 1-5 of 20 injuries

shieldPhiladelphia 76ers14

  • Terry Dalen

    Questionable
  • Bates Emoni

    Injured
  • Hill Malcolm

    Injured
  • Embiid Joel

    Questionable
  • Lowry Kyle

    Questionable
Terry Dalen
Bates Emoni
Hill Malcolm
Embiid Joel
Lowry Kyle
Gordon Eric
Bassey Charles
Baldwin Patrick
K. Chandler
T. Martin
J. McCain
J. Broome
H. Sallis
S. Thomas

Showing 1-5 of 14 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Indiana Pacers-8.3
Philadelphia 76ers-0.9

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers - Match Analysis

Should I take Philadelphia to cover the -8.5 spread?

Yes, Philadelphia should cover comfortably given their 13-place standings advantage and recent dominance in this matchup. The 76ers have won three of four recent meetings, including a 21-point victory in February. Indiana's 12-29 home record and defensive struggles make them vulnerable to quality opponents. Philadelphia's playoff motivation and superior talent should produce a convincing victory that covers the spread.

Will this game go over or under 235.5 points?

Take the Over 235.5 with confidence. Recent meetings have averaged 230 points, with both teams capable of high-scoring performances. Indiana allows 118.9 points per game at home while Philadelphia averages 115.4 points overall. The Pacers' defensive weaknesses, particularly in transition and perimeter coverage, should allow Philadelphia to reach their scoring potential in what projects as an up-tempo affair.

How does the three-day rest affect this matchup?

The equal rest situation eliminates any schedule advantage, making this purely about talent and form. Both teams had three days off, so fatigue won't be a factor. This actually favors Philadelphia since they can't use rest as an excuse for poor performance. The 76ers' superior roster depth and coaching should shine through when both teams are equally prepared and rested.

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