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Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers28th in NBA (15-43)
VS
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers14th in NBA (31-26)

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Wednesday, Feb 25, 2026 · --:--

Indiana Pacers Arena

Final
Indiana Pacers
114–135
Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia 76ers won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction highlights a crucial Eastern Conference matchup between two struggling teams fighting for playoff positioning. The Pacers (15-43, 28th) host the 76ers (31-26, 14th) at Indiana Pacers Arena, with both teams coming off two days of rest. Indiana has endured a nightmare season, winning just 2 of their last 15 games, while Philadelphia shows mixed form with 3 wins in their last 6 outings. The 76ers hold a significant advantage in this NBA picks scenario, having won the most recent H2H meeting 113-104 in January. Philadelphia's superior talent depth, despite key injuries to Joel Embiid and Paul George, gives them a clear edge over Indiana's depleted roster. The Pacers are dealing with extensive injury issues, missing 16 players including key contributors. Expert picks favor Philadelphia to cover the spread and continue their recent dominance in this series, with the total likely going over given both teams' offensive capabilities when healthy.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Indiana Pacers (5)Philadelphia 76ers (5)
Jan 20, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers113 - 104Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Dec 13, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers115 - 105Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Mar 14, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers100 - 112Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Jan 19, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers115 - 102Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Dec 14, 24
(H)Philadelphia 76ers107 - 121Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Oct 27, 24
(H)Indiana Pacers114 - 118Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Jan 26, 24
(H)Indiana Pacers134 - 122Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Nov 15, 23
(H)Philadelphia 76ers126 - 132Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Nov 12, 23
(H)Philadelphia 76ers137 - 126Indiana Pacers(A)
H
Mar 18, 23
(H)Indiana Pacers121 - 141Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Philadelphia dominates the recent head-to-head series, winning both meetings this season by margins of 9 and 10 points. The 76ers...

Philadelphia dominates the recent head-to-head series, winning both meetings this season by margins of 9 and 10 points. The 76ers have taken 4 of the last 6 encounters since 2024, including convincing victories of 113-104 and 115-105 this season. Indiana's lone recent success came with a 115-102 home victory in January 2025, but they've struggled to consistently compete with Philadelphia's superior roster depth and execution.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Indiana Pacers

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

Indiana Pacers Form Analysis

Trending

Indiana's season has been catastrophic, sitting dead last in the Eastern Conference with a 15-43...

Indiana's season has been catastrophic, sitting dead last in the Eastern Conference with a 15-43 record. They've managed just 2 wins in their last 15 games, including recent losses to Dallas (134-130), Washington twice, and Utah (131-122). The Pacers are dealing with a massive injury crisis, missing 16 players including key rotation pieces. Their offensive struggles are evident, averaging just 111.5 points per game in recent outings. The team shows occasional flashes, like their overtime thriller against the Knicks (137-134 loss), but lacks consistency. Home court advantage has provided little relief, as they continue to struggle with defensive execution and roster continuity issues throughout this disappointing campaign.

Philadelphia 76ers

15 of 15 in NBA

W
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Philadelphia 76ers Form Analysis

Analysis

Philadelphia enters with a 31-26 record, sitting 14th in the Eastern Conference but showing signs...

Philadelphia enters with a 31-26 record, sitting 14th in the Eastern Conference but showing signs of improvement. They've won 3 of their last 6 games, including impressive victories over Minnesota (135-108) and recent wins against Golden State (113-94) and the Clippers (128-113). The 76ers are missing Joel Embiid and Paul George, but their remaining core has stepped up effectively. Their recent 135-108 blowout win over Minnesota demonstrates their potential when clicking offensively. The team has shown resilience on the road, with solid performances in their recent West Coast swing. Despite injury concerns, Philadelphia's depth and coaching give them advantages over struggling opponents like Indiana.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Indiana Pacers17-4527.4%
Philadelphia 76ers32-2952.5%
Avg Points Scored
Indiana Pacers111.8
Philadelphia 76ers115.4
Avg Points Allowed
Indiana Pacers119.2
Philadelphia 76ers115.7

shieldIndiana Pacers20

  • Mathews Garrison

    Injured
  • Martin Cody

    Injured
  • Wiseman James

    Injured
  • McConnell Timothy John

    Questionable
  • Jackson Isaiah

    Injured
Mathews Garrison
Martin Cody
Wiseman James
McConnell Timothy John
Jackson Isaiah
Mathurin Bennedict
Nesmith Aaron
Toppin Obi
Wright Delon
Morris Monte
Robinson Jeremiah
McClung Mac
Payne Cameron
Slawson Jalen
E. Thompson
T. Bradley
J. Furphy
R. Dennis
G. McGlothan
T. Peter

Showing 1-5 of 20 injuries

shieldPhiladelphia 76ers14

  • Bates Emoni

    Injured
  • George Paul

    Injured
  • Beauchamp MarJon

    Injured
  • Hill Malcolm

    Injured
  • Embiid Joel

    Injured
Bates Emoni
George Paul
Beauchamp MarJon
Hill Malcolm
Embiid Joel
Lowry Kyle
Gordon Eric
Bassey Charles
Baldwin Patrick
K. Chandler
J. McCain
J. Broome
H. Sallis
S. Thomas

Showing 1-5 of 14 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Indiana Pacers-7.4
Philadelphia 76ers-0.3

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers - Match Analysis

Should I take Philadelphia to cover the -6.5 spread?

Yes, Philadelphia should cover comfortably. The 76ers have dominated this H2H matchup recently, winning both meetings this season by 9+ points. Indiana's extensive injury list (16 players out) and poor form (2 wins in last 15) create a significant talent gap. Philadelphia's depth advantage and recent road success against struggling teams support the spread pick.

Will this game go over or under 225.5 points?

The over looks promising despite both teams' defensive struggles. Philadelphia has averaged 118+ points in recent wins, while Indiana has been involved in high-scoring affairs like their 264-point total against Dallas. Both teams' pace and offensive capabilities, combined with Indiana's poor defense, should push this total over the number.

How do the extensive injuries affect this matchup?

Indiana's injury crisis is devastating, missing 16 players including key rotation pieces, severely limiting their depth and competitiveness. Philadelphia's injuries to Embiid and George are significant but manageable given their superior roster construction. The injury disparity heavily favors Philadelphia, making them an even stronger road favorite in this Eastern Conference clash.

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