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Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers29th in NBA (15-49)
VS
New York Knicks
New York Knicks5th in NBA (41-25)

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

Friday, Mar 13, 2026 · --:--

Indiana Pacers Arena

Final
Indiana Pacers
92–101
New York Knicks

New York Knicks won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks prediction centers on a massive talent and form disparity at Indiana Pacers Arena. The Pacers (15-49) sit dead last in the Eastern Conference with a dismal 25% win rate, while the Knicks (41-25) occupy 5th place with championship aspirations. Indiana's defensive struggles are glaring, allowing 120.2 points per game while scoring just 111.7. Their recent form shows zero wins in their last 10 games, including blowout losses to Portland (131-111) and the Lakers (128-117). The Knicks bring superior talent and motivation, averaging 115.9 points while allowing 110.2. New York has won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings, including a thrilling 137-134 overtime victory in February. With Indiana's season effectively over and the Knicks fighting for playoff positioning, this represents a classic NBA picks opportunity. Expert picks favor New York's superior roster depth and defensive intensity. Basketball betting tips suggest targeting the spread, as Indiana's home court provides minimal advantage given their 11-23 home record.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Indiana Pacers17-5125.0%
New York Knicks43-2662.3%
Avg Points Scored
Indiana Pacers111.7
New York Knicks115.9
Avg Points Allowed
Indiana Pacers120.2
New York Knicks110.2
Point Differential
Indiana Pacers-8.5
New York Knicks+5.7

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Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks - Match Analysis

Should I take the Knicks to cover the spread against Indiana?

Absolutely. New York's 62.3% win rate against Indiana's 25% creates a massive talent disparity that home court cannot overcome. The Pacers have lost 10 straight games and rank last defensively, while the Knicks fight for playoff positioning. With 86 days of rest advantage and superior depth, New York should cover any reasonable spread comfortably in this mismatch.

Will this game go over the total points?

Yes, the over presents excellent value. Indiana allows 120.2 points per game with the league's worst defense, while New York averages 115.9 points with efficient offense. Their recent head-to-head meetings have consistently exceeded 225 points, including a 271-point overtime thriller. The Pacers' inability to defend combined with both teams' pace should produce a high-scoring affair.

How does Indiana's schedule congestion affect this matchup?

Indiana's brutal schedule (5 games in 7 days) creates significant fatigue disadvantage against a rested Knicks team. The Pacers are already struggling with a 10-game losing streak, and fixture congestion typically leads to worse defensive effort and shooting. Meanwhile, New York has had 86 days to prepare and rest, creating an enormous competitive advantage in this late-season matchup.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Indiana Pacers (6)New York Knicks (4)
Feb 11, 26
(H)New York Knicks134 - 137Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Dec 19, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers113 - 114New York Knicks(A)
A
Jul 17, 25
(H)New York Knicks88 - 91Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Jun 1, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers125 - 108New York Knicks(A)
H
May 30, 25
(H)New York Knicks111 - 94Indiana Pacers(A)
H
May 28, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers130 - 121New York Knicks(A)
H
May 26, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers100 - 106New York Knicks(A)
A
May 24, 25
(H)New York Knicks109 - 114Indiana Pacers(A)
A
May 22, 25
(H)New York Knicks135 - 138Indiana Pacers(A)
A
Feb 12, 25
(H)Indiana Pacers115 - 128New York Knicks(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings favor competitive, high-scoring affairs between these Eastern Conference rivals. The Pacers won a dramatic 137-134 overtime thriller...

Recent head-to-head meetings favor competitive, high-scoring affairs between these Eastern Conference rivals. The Pacers won a dramatic 137-134 overtime thriller at Madison Square Garden in February 2026, while New York took a narrow 114-113 victory in December 2025. Both teams have split their last four regular season meetings, with the road team winning three times. The Knicks dominated their 2024-25 playoff series 4-2, including multiple games exceeding 125 total points. These matchups consistently produce totals over 225 points, with both teams' pace creating offensive opportunities.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Indiana Pacers

15 of 15 in NBA

L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

1.3/10

Indiana Pacers Form Analysis

Trending

Indiana's season has been catastrophic, sitting at 15-49 with the league's worst record. Their 11-23...

Indiana's season has been catastrophic, sitting at 15-49 with the league's worst record. Their 11-23 home record offers little sanctuary, as they've been outscored by 4.6 points per game at Indiana Pacers Arena. The Pacers have lost 10 consecutive games, including recent blowouts where they allowed 131, 128, and 130 points. Their defensive rating ranks dead last, unable to stop anyone. Offensively, they manage just 111.7 points per game with poor shooting efficiency. The team appears to have given up on the season, with veteran players potentially resting and young players getting extended minutes. Their upcoming schedule congestion (5 games in 7 days) suggests further fatigue issues ahead.

New York Knicks

0 of 8 in NBA

W
W
W
L
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

5/10

New York Knicks Form Analysis

Analysis

New York enters with legitimate playoff aspirations at 41-25, sitting 5th in the competitive Eastern...

New York enters with legitimate playoff aspirations at 41-25, sitting 5th in the competitive Eastern Conference. The Knicks have shown resilience with a balanced 26-10 home record and respectable 17-16 road mark. Their offensive efficiency (115.9 PPG) paired with solid defense (110.2 allowed) creates a winning formula. Recent NBA Cup performances showed their championship potential, including a 132-120 victory over Orlando. The Knicks benefit from superior depth and coaching, with multiple players capable of taking over games. Their rest advantage is significant, having not played since December while Indiana battles through a grueling schedule. New York's motivation remains high as they chase home-court advantage in the playoffs.

shieldIndiana Pacers

check_circle

No reported injuries

shieldNew York Knicks15

  • Diawara Mohamed

    Questionable
  • Mathews Garrison

    Injured
  • Evbuomwan Tosan

    Questionable
  • Jemison Trey

    Injured
  • Alvarado Jose

    Injured
Diawara Mohamed
Mathews Garrison
Evbuomwan Tosan
Jemison Trey
Alvarado Jose
Ryan Matt
McBride Miles
Brogdon Malcolm
Len Alex
Sochan Jeremy
Shamet Landry
Dadiet Pacome
Yabusele Guerschon
D. Jones
McCullar Kevin

Showing 1-5 of 15 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.