Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Houston Rockets65%
- San Antonio Spurs35%
Analysis
Houston's rest advantage and dominant head-to-head record drive this prediction. The Rockets' 6-1 recent dominance over San Antonio, combined with their strong home form, creates a compelling case. Point spread analysis favors Houston based on their recent 111-106 home victory over these same Spurs and their consistent home court advantage in this matchup. San Antonio's questionable player availability and recent defensive inconsistencies on the road further support the home team. The pace matchup should favor Houston's balanced offensive attack against San Antonio's sometimes porous road defense.












