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Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers8th in NBA (39-24)
VS
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers14th in NBA (34-28)

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Monday, Mar 9, 2026 · --:--

Cleveland Cavaliers Arena

Final
Cleveland Cavaliers
115–101
Philadelphia 76ers

Cleveland Cavaliers won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction centers on a crucial Eastern Conference matchup at Cleveland Cavaliers Arena. Cleveland enters with a solid 40-27 record (8th in East), while Philadelphia sits at 35-31 (14th in East), making this a pivotal game for playoff positioning. Both teams face challenging fixture congestion with back-to-back games ahead, but Cleveland holds a significant rest advantage with 5 days off compared to Philadelphia's 4 days. The Cavaliers have dominated this season's head-to-head meetings, winning all three encounters including impressive victories of 132-121, 133-107, and 117-115. Cleveland's home court advantage becomes crucial as they average 118.6 points at home while allowing 113.5. Philadelphia struggles on the road with a poor 17-13 away record and defensive issues allowing 114.1 points per game on the road. Our NBA picks favor Cleveland based on superior recent form, home court edge, and head-to-head dominance. Expert picks suggest the Cavaliers' offensive firepower and Philadelphia's injury concerns create excellent basketball betting tips value on the home spread.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Cleveland Cavaliers40-2759.7%
Philadelphia 76ers35-3153.0%
Avg Points Scored
Cleveland Cavaliers118.8
Philadelphia 76ers115.0
Avg Points Allowed
Cleveland Cavaliers115.1
Philadelphia 76ers115.7
Point Differential
Cleveland Cavaliers+3.7
Philadelphia 76ers-0.7

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers - Match Analysis

Should I take Cleveland to cover the -6.5 spread?

Yes, Cleveland presents strong spread value. They're 3-0 against Philadelphia this season with an average margin of 12 points, well above the current spread. The Cavaliers have a 5-day rest advantage while the 76ers deal with key injuries to Embiid and George. Cleveland's home court edge (22-12 record, 118.6 PPG) against Philadelphia's poor road defense (114.1 PPG allowed) creates a favorable matchup that should easily cover the spread.

Will this game go over or under 233.5 points?

The over looks promising based on historical data and pace factors. These teams have averaged 240 total points in their three meetings this season, well above the current total. Both teams play at an uptempo pace when healthy, and Cleveland's offensive firepower at home (118.6 PPG) should push the scoring higher. Philadelphia's defensive struggles on the road also contribute to higher-scoring games, making the over 233.5 an attractive basketball betting option.

How does Cleveland's rest advantage impact this matchup?

Cleveland's 5-day rest advantage is significant compared to Philadelphia's 4 days off. Fresh legs benefit both offensive efficiency and defensive intensity, particularly important given both teams face fixture congestion ahead with back-to-back games. The extended rest also helps Cleveland's injury-prone players like Mitchell and Garland potentially return to full strength. This rest differential typically translates to 2-3 additional points of value, making Cleveland's spread even more attractive in this spot.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Cleveland Cavaliers (7)Philadelphia 76ers (3)
Jan 17, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers115 - 117Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
A
Jan 15, 26
(H)Philadelphia 76ers107 - 133Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
A
Nov 6, 25
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers132 - 121Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Jan 25, 25
(H)Philadelphia 76ers132 - 129Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
H
Dec 22, 24
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers126 - 99Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Nov 14, 24
(H)Philadelphia 76ers106 - 114Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
A
Mar 29, 24
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers117 - 114Philadelphia 76ers(A)
H
Feb 24, 24
(H)Philadelphia 76ers104 - 97Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
H
Feb 13, 24
(H)Cleveland Cavaliers121 - 123Philadelphia 76ers(A)
A
Nov 22, 23
(H)Philadelphia 76ers119 - 122Cleveland Cavaliers(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Cleveland has completely dominated Philadelphia this season, sweeping all three meetings with convincing margins. The Cavaliers won 132-121 at home...

Cleveland has completely dominated Philadelphia this season, sweeping all three meetings with convincing margins. The Cavaliers won 132-121 at home in November, then delivered back-to-back road victories of 133-107 and 117-115 in January. These games averaged 240 total points, indicating both teams play at an uptempo pace when matched up. Cleveland has outscored Philadelphia by an average of 12 points across these meetings, with their offensive efficiency proving too much for the 76ers' inconsistent defense to handle.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted

Cleveland Cavaliers

15 of 15 in NBA

W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

Cleveland Cavaliers Form Analysis

Trending

Cleveland enters on solid form with wins in 3 of their last 5 games, including...

Cleveland enters on solid form with wins in 3 of their last 5 games, including impressive home victories over Detroit (113-109) and the Lakers (129-99). The Cavaliers have been particularly dominant at home this season, posting a 22-12 record while averaging 118.6 points and allowing just 113.5. Their 5-day rest advantage eliminates any fatigue concerns, though they face a challenging stretch with 4 games in the next 7 days. Key players like Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland have been dealing with injuries, but the extended rest should help their availability. Cleveland's offensive rating remains strong, and they've shown the ability to blow out weaker opponents while staying competitive against elite teams.

Philadelphia 76ers

0 of 8 in NBA

W
W
W
L
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

5/10

Philadelphia 76ers Form Analysis

Analysis

Philadelphia has struggled with consistency this season, sitting below .500 with a 35-31 record. The...

Philadelphia has struggled with consistency this season, sitting below .500 with a 35-31 record. The 76ers have been particularly poor on the road with a 17-13 away record, averaging 116.0 points while allowing 114.1 per game. Their recent form shows mixed results, and they're dealing with significant injury concerns including Joel Embiid and Paul George being listed as out. The 4-day rest provides some recovery time, but they face immediate back-to-back games after this matchup. Philadelphia's defensive struggles have been evident, and without their star players, they lack the firepower to match Cleveland's offensive capabilities. Their road struggles against quality opponents make this a challenging spot.

shieldCleveland Cavaliers16

  • Travers Luke

    Injured
  • Hunter De'Andre

    Injured
  • Ball Lonzo

    Injured
  • Garland Darius

    Injured
  • Mitchell Donovan

    Injured
Travers Luke
Hunter De'Andre
Ball Lonzo
Garland Darius
Mitchell Donovan
Wade Dean
Hayes Killian
Nance Larry
C. Livingston
T. Enaruna
T. Proctor
M. Kopp
N. Tomlin
D. Brown
N. Omier
C. Johnson

Showing 1-5 of 16 injuries

shieldPhiladelphia 76ers16

  • Terry Dalen

    Questionable
  • Bates Emoni

    Injured
  • George Paul

    Injured
  • Beauchamp MarJon

    Injured
  • Hill Malcolm

    Injured
Terry Dalen
Bates Emoni
George Paul
Beauchamp MarJon
Hill Malcolm
Embiid Joel
Oubre Kelly Jr.
Gordon Eric
Bassey Charles
Baldwin Patrick
K. Chandler
J. V. Edgecombe
J. McCain
J. Broome
H. Sallis
S. Thomas

Showing 1-5 of 16 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.