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Toronto Tempo W Arena
Dallas Wings W won
The Toronto Tempo W vs Dallas Wings W prediction for this July 5th WNBA matchup pits a struggling home side against one of the league's more consistent road teams this season.
Toronto enter this contest at 9-12 overall, dealing with a significant injury cloud. K. Rice, Milic Nikolina, and Sykes Brittney are all listed as Out, while M. Mabrey and T. Key are both Questionable — meaning the Tempo could be without five roster contributors. Their recent form shows 2 wins in their last 5 games, with a concerning 80-89 home loss to Phoenix Mercury in their most recent outing. On the positive side, Toronto have had 8 full rest days since that game, so fatigue is not a concern.
Dallas arrive at 13-8 overall — a notably stronger record — and have also enjoyed 7 days of rest. However, their fixture congestion is rated medium, with three games in the next seven days including this one. Their recent form has cooled slightly, dropping 2 of their last 3, but their season-long road record of 6-5 with 90.9 points per game away from home shows genuine quality. A. Smith, J. Quinerly, O. Sims, and Verona Costanza are all Out for Dallas, while A. Clark is Questionable.
With the combined scoring average sitting at 8.49 per game (approximately 178-180 combined points), and Toronto's injury-depleted roster facing a superior Dallas side, the Wings are favored to win outright. Take Dallas Wings W on the moneyline and lean toward the Under given both teams' defensive solidity and depleted rosters.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
4.7/10
Toronto Tempo W sit at 9-12 on the season, winning just 2 of their last...
Toronto Tempo W sit at 9-12 on the season, winning just 2 of their last 5 games. Their most recent result was a 80-89 home loss to Phoenix Mercury on June 27th, and they have struggled defensively at times, conceding 4.31 points per game on average. At home this season they are 5-5, averaging 87.5 scored and 85.3 conceded per game. The injury situation is a major concern — K. Rice, Milic Nikolina, and Sykes Brittney are all ruled Out, with M. Mabrey and T. Key both Questionable. This depleted rotation will test Toronto's depth significantly against a quality Dallas side.
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
6/10
Dallas Wings W carry a strong 13-8 record into this road trip, though their recent...
Dallas Wings W carry a strong 13-8 record into this road trip, though their recent form has dipped slightly with 2 losses in their last 3 games — including a 77-85 home defeat to Minnesota Lynx on June 28th. On the road this season, Dallas are 6-5 with 90.9 points scored per game, showing they can produce offensively away from home. Their injury list is notable — A. Smith, J. Quinerly, O. Sims, and Verona Costanza are all Out, and A. Clark is Questionable — but their overall depth and superior win rate suggest they remain the stronger unit heading into Toronto.
2026 Season
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Toronto Tempo W vs Dallas Wings W - Match Analysis
Toronto's injury situation is the defining factor in this matchup. With K. Rice, Milic Nikolina, and Sykes Brittney all confirmed Out — and M. Mabrey and T. Key both Questionable — the Tempo could be missing up to five players from their 13-player active roster. That level of depletion severely limits rotation depth and offensive options, making it very difficult to compete with a Dallas side that, despite their own absences, carries a 13-8 record and superior overall quality.
The Under looks like the smarter play here. Both teams are dealing with notable injury absences that will thin their rotations and likely reduce offensive efficiency. Toronto average just 87.5 points per game at home this season, and their depleted roster could push that number lower. Dallas have also shown they can play in lower-scoring games — their home average allowed is just 77.6 points. With both squads shorthanded, expect a grind-it-out contest below the combined scoring average of 178-180 points.
An upset is possible but unlikely given the circumstances. Toronto's home record of 5-5 is modest, and their recent 80-89 loss to Phoenix Mercury at home signals vulnerability. The injury cloud hanging over the Tempo — potentially five players unavailable — makes it hard to manufacture the offensive firepower needed to beat a 13-8 Dallas side. Dallas's road record of 6-5 with 90.9 points per game away from home shows they travel well. Home court advantage alone is unlikely to be enough for Toronto here.
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