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Toronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W3rd in NBA W (7-5)
VS
Connecticut Sun W
Connecticut Sun W7th in NBA W (2-12)

Toronto Tempo W vs Connecticut Sun W

Wednesday, Jun 10, 2026 · --:--

Toronto Tempo W Arena

Final
Toronto Tempo W
106–102
Connecticut Sun W

Toronto Tempo W won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Toronto Tempo W host struggling Connecticut Sun W in a crucial WNBA matchup at Toronto Tempo W Arena. The home side sits 3rd in the Eastern Conference with 6 wins from 11 games, while Connecticut languishes at the bottom with just 2 wins from 12 games and a concerning -146 goal difference.

Toronto enters with solid rest advantage, having had 3 days off since their 85-68 home victory over Chicago Sky W. The Tempo have been competitive at home this season, posting a 3-3 record while averaging 81.2 points scored and 77.2 conceded in home games. However, they face injury concerns with A. Held and Fasoula Maria ruled out, plus K. Rice and Milic Nikolina listed as questionable.

Connecticut arrives in poor form, managing just 1 win in their last 10 games and struggling particularly on the road with a 2-7 away record. The Sun average only 73.9 points per game on the road while conceding 85.1, highlighting their offensive struggles away from home. With A. Edwards out and Burke Kennedy questionable, their depth issues continue.

The 4-place position gap and Toronto's superior home scoring average suggest the hosts should control this matchup. Take Toronto Tempo W -6.5 and lean toward the Under 172.5 given Connecticut's offensive limitations.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Toronto Tempo W6-746.2%
Connecticut Sun W3-1121.4%
Avg Points Scored
Toronto Tempo W85.9
Connecticut Sun W75.8
Avg Points Allowed
Toronto Tempo W86.3
Connecticut Sun W86.7
Point Differential
Toronto Tempo W-0.4
Connecticut Sun W-10.9

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Toronto Tempo W vs Connecticut Sun W - Match Analysis

Should I take Toronto Tempo W to cover the -6.5 spread?

Yes, Toronto should cover comfortably. They're 3-3 at home while averaging 81.2 points, facing a Connecticut team that's 2-7 on the road scoring just 73.9 per game. The 4-place position gap reflects real quality differences, and Connecticut has managed just 1 win in their last 10 games. Toronto's rest advantage and home court make -6.5 appear conservative given the form disparity.

Will this game go over or under 172.5 points?

Take the Under 172.5. Connecticut's road offensive struggles are well-documented, averaging only 73.9 points away from home while Toronto's home games have averaged 158.4 total points this season. Connecticut has failed to reach 80 points in 6 of their last 10 games, and their poor road form suggests another low-scoring performance. The total appears inflated given both teams' recent scoring patterns.

How do the injury concerns affect this matchup?

Toronto faces more uncertainty with A. Held and Fasoula Maria definitely out, plus K. Rice and Milic Nikolina questionable. However, Connecticut's A. Edwards absence removes a key scorer, while Burke Kennedy's questionable status further limits their depth. Toronto's home court advantage and superior overall roster depth should help them overcome their injury concerns better than Connecticut can manage theirs on the road.

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Last 1 head-to-head matchups

Toronto Tempo W (0)Connecticut Sun W (1)
Apr 29, 26
(H)Toronto Tempo W78 - 83Connecticut Sun W(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Limited head-to-head data available with only one recent meeting between these teams. Connecticut Sun W secured an 83-78 victory when...

Limited head-to-head data available with only one recent meeting between these teams. Connecticut Sun W secured an 83-78 victory when visiting Toronto on April 29th, 2026, in what was a closely contested affair. That result came early in the season when both teams were still finding their rhythm. Since then, Toronto has shown more consistency with 6 wins from 11 games, while Connecticut has struggled significantly with just 2 wins from 12 outings. The previous meeting's narrow margin suggests these teams are competitive against each other, but current form heavily favors the home side.

Last 13 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted

Toronto Tempo W

13 of 13 in NBA W

W
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

4.6/10

Toronto Tempo W Form Analysis

Trending

Toronto Tempo W have posted a respectable 6-7 record through 13 games, sitting 3rd in...

Toronto Tempo W have posted a respectable 6-7 record through 13 games, sitting 3rd in the Eastern Conference. Their recent form shows promise with 3 wins in their last 5 games, including convincing home victories over Chicago Sky W (85-68) and Seattle Storm W (93-72). The Tempo have been particularly effective at home, averaging 81.2 points while conceding just 77.2 per game in 6 home contests. However, they've struggled on the road with a 3-4 away record and higher scoring variance. Key injuries to A. Held and Fasoula Maria limit their frontcourt depth, while questionable status for K. Rice and Milic Nikolina adds uncertainty. Despite these concerns, their 3-day rest advantage and home court should benefit them significantly.

Connecticut Sun W

14 of 14 in NBA W

L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

2.1/10

Connecticut Sun W Form Analysis

Analysis

Connecticut Sun W endure a disappointing campaign with just 3 wins from 14 games, ranking...

Connecticut Sun W endure a disappointing campaign with just 3 wins from 14 games, ranking last in the Eastern Conference. Their recent form is particularly concerning, managing only 1 win in their last 10 outings while averaging just 75.8 points per game overall. Road struggles are evident with a 2-7 away record, scoring only 73.9 points while conceding 85.1 per game on the road. The Sun's offensive limitations are glaring, failing to reach 80 points in 6 of their last 10 games. A. Edwards remains out, removing a key offensive contributor, while Burke Kennedy's questionable status further depletes their rotation. Despite having 4 days rest, their poor form and road difficulties suggest another challenging outing awaits in Toronto.

shieldToronto Tempo W4

  • Fasoula Maria

    Injured
  • Milic Nikolina

    Questionable
  • K. Rice

    Questionable
  • A. Held

    Injured
Fasoula Maria
Milic Nikolina
K. Rice
A. Held

shieldConnecticut Sun W2

  • Burke Kennedy

    Questionable
  • A. Edwards

    Injured
Burke Kennedy
A. Edwards

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

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